{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Dropbox\Foreign Aid & Sanctions Imposition\FPA Version\R&R\Second R&R\Final Second R&R\Using the Carrot as the Stick Replication Files\Using the Carrort as the Stick.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 9 Mar 2018, 12:50:07

{com}. do "D:\Dropbox\Foreign Aid & Sanctions Imposition\FPA Version\R&R\Second R&R\Final Second R&R\Using the Carrot as the Stick Replication Files\Using the Carrot as the Stick - FPA Do File.do"
{txt}
{com}. ***********************************
. * “Using the Carrot as the Stick" *
. * Foreign Policy Analysis                 *
. * By Bryan Early and Amira Jadoon *
. * Date: March 6, 2018                     *
. * Contact: bearly@albany.edu      *
. ***********************************
. 
. 
. /* Identify the folder where the data set is located 
> use "Using the Carrot as the Stick - Early and Jadoon.dta", clear
> 
> */
. 
. ***********************************
. **Analyses Presented in Main Text**
. ***********************************
. 
. **Table 1: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                    time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.66438}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-469.64214}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-461.75807}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.68843}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.15784}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.66092}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.76851}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.71557}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.71509}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.71509}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       463
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    128.61
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-457.71509{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0766

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009445{col 26}{space 2} .0003292{col 37}{space 1}    2.87{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .0002994{col 67}{space 3} .0015897
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.48206{col 26}{space 2} .8322964{col 37}{space 1}   -2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.113331{col 67}{space 3}-.8507887
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4583799{col 26}{space 2} .1503224{col 37}{space 1}    3.05{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1637535{col 67}{space 3} .7530063
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0217674{col 26}{space 2} .0072868{col 37}{space 1}   -2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0360492{col 67}{space 3}-.0074856
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3285262{col 26}{space 2} .8498434{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.699{col 54}{space 4}-1.337136{col 67}{space 3} 1.994189
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0013061{col 26}{space 2} .0002622{col 37}{space 1}    4.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0007922{col 67}{space 3} .0018201
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.695317{col 26}{space 2} 1.475131{col 37}{space 1}   -1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.068{col 54}{space 4} -5.58652{col 67}{space 3} .1958869
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.081312{col 26}{space 2} .5552362{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-.0069312{col 67}{space 3} 2.169555
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1311771{col 26}{space 2} .0613998{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-.2515185{col 67}{space 3}-.0108358
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9423221{col 26}{space 2} 1.068947{col 37}{space 1}    0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.378{col 54}{space 4}-1.152777{col 67}{space 3} 3.037421
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012197{col 26}{space 2}  .000354{col 37}{space 1}    3.45{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0005259{col 67}{space 3} .0019135
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.062603{col 26}{space 2} .5285629{col 37}{space 1}    2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4}  .026639{col 67}{space 3} 2.098568
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2339728{col 26}{space 2}  .108234{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.4461075{col 67}{space 3}-.0218381
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0104141{col 26}{space 2} .0046373{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0013251{col 67}{space 3}  .019503
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.782633{col 26}{space 2} .6154993{col 37}{space 1}   -4.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.988989{col 67}{space 3}-1.576277
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.38707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.45019}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.65932}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.54048}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.60822}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.92438}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.84146}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -392.8412{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1279

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011051{col 26}{space 2}  .000408{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .0003055{col 67}{space 3} .0019047
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.225414{col 26}{space 2} .8689656{col 37}{space 1}   -1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-2.928556{col 67}{space 3} .4777271
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1035966{col 26}{space 2} .7564814{col 37}{space 1}   -0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.891{col 54}{space 4}-1.586273{col 67}{space 3}  1.37908
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3923181{col 26}{space 2} .1121861{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1724373{col 67}{space 3} .6121989
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.494532{col 26}{space 2} .4690527{col 37}{space 1}   -3.19{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-2.413859{col 67}{space 3}-.5752059
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .417658{col 26}{space 2} 1.337874{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.755{col 54}{space 4}-2.204526{col 67}{space 3} 3.039842
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5554522{col 26}{space 2} .8620044{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.519{col 54}{space 4}-1.134045{col 67}{space 3}  2.24495
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.142637{col 26}{space 2} .4631363{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}  .234907{col 67}{space 3} 2.050368
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.437616{col 26}{space 2} .8417872{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.088{col 54}{space 4}-.2122569{col 67}{space 3} 3.087488
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.054573{col 26}{space 2} .9326388{col 37}{space 1}   -2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}-3.882511{col 67}{space 3}-.2266342
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3714295{col 26}{space 2} .1718694{col 37}{space 1}    2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4} .0345716{col 67}{space 3} .7082874
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0177001{col 26}{space 2} .0081767{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4}-.0337261{col 67}{space 3}-.0016741
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -5.30106{col 26}{space 2} 1.675946{col 37}{space 1}   -3.16{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-8.585854{col 67}{space 3}-2.016267
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011536{col 26}{space 2} .0002866{col 37}{space 1}    4.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005918{col 67}{space 3} .0017154
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2646658{col 26}{space 2} .4666848{col 37}{space 1}    0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.571{col 54}{space 4}-.6500195{col 67}{space 3} 1.179351
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.05486{col 26}{space 2} .5749128{col 37}{space 1}    1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.067{col 54}{space 4}-.0719487{col 67}{space 3} 2.181668
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1438127{col 26}{space 2} .0730292{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.2869472{col 67}{space 3}-.0006781
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0210054{col 26}{space 2} .3454253{col 37}{space 1}   -0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.952{col 54}{space 4}-.6980265{col 67}{space 3} .6560157
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5275707{col 26}{space 2} .9075927{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.561{col 54}{space 4}-1.251278{col 67}{space 3}  2.30642
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4393656{col 26}{space 2} .5225177{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.400{col 54}{space 4}-1.463481{col 67}{space 3} .5847502
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0976577{col 26}{space 2} .3968342{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.806{col 54}{space 4} -.680123{col 67}{space 3} .8754384
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6116335{col 26}{space 2} .3822957{col 37}{space 1}   -1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.110{col 54}{space 4}-1.360919{col 67}{space 3} .1376523
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.089859{col 26}{space 2} 1.568099{col 37}{space 1}   -1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4}-5.163277{col 67}{space 3} .9835583
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8826971{col 26}{space 2}  .592371{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-.2783287{col 67}{space 3} 2.043723
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1098177{col 26}{space 2} .0655436{col 37}{space 1}   -1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.094{col 54}{space 4}-.2382809{col 67}{space 3} .0186454
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.052855{col 26}{space 2} 1.320354{col 37}{space 1}    1.55{col 46}{space 3}0.120{col 54}{space 4}-.5349918{col 67}{space 3} 4.640701
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 26}{space 2} .0003706{col 37}{space 1}    3.20{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0004601{col 67}{space 3} .0019131
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4099916{col 26}{space 2} .4853992{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.398{col 54}{space 4}-1.361357{col 67}{space 3} .5413734
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.14389{col 26}{space 2} .4517195{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4}  .258536{col 67}{space 3} 2.029244
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0190415{col 26}{space 2} .0893684{col 37}{space 1}    0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.831{col 54}{space 4}-.1561174{col 67}{space 3} .1942003
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.425325{col 26}{space 2}  .404965{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-1.219042{col 67}{space 3} .3683919
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.721407{col 26}{space 2} 1.050755{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.101{col 54}{space 4}-.3380351{col 67}{space 3}  3.78085
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2156414{col 26}{space 2} .6631693{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.745{col 54}{space 4}-1.084146{col 67}{space 3} 1.515429
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5322241{col 26}{space 2} .4366955{col 37}{space 1}   -1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-1.388132{col 67}{space 3} .3236833
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2346337{col 26}{space 2} .5941621{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.693{col 54}{space 4}-.9299027{col 67}{space 3}  1.39917
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.231817{col 26}{space 2} .5524398{col 37}{space 1}    2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .1490551{col 67}{space 3} 2.314579
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2412756{col 26}{space 2} .1150905{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.4668489{col 67}{space 3}-.0157023
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103427{col 26}{space 2}  .004952{col 37}{space 1}    2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4}  .000637{col 67}{space 3} .0200485
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.373633{col 26}{space 2} 1.310019{col 37}{space 1}   -2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-5.941224{col 67}{space 3}-.8060429
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.482***       -2.055** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.93{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.458***        0.371** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.225   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.104   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.392***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.495***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.418   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.555   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.143** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.438*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.329          -5.301***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.68{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.695*         -2.090   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.081*          0.883   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.131**        -0.110*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.265   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.055*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.144** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.021   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.528   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.439   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.098   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.612   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.942           2.053   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.063**         1.232** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.234**        -0.241** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.410   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.144** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.019   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.425   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.721   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.216   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.532   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.235   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.783***       -3.374** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.31{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          463             413   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.077           0.128   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.38707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.45019}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.65932}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.54048}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.60822}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.92438}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.84146}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -392.8412{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1279

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011051{col 26}{space 2}  .000408{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .0003055{col 67}{space 3} .0019047
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.225414{col 26}{space 2} .8689656{col 37}{space 1}   -1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-2.928556{col 67}{space 3} .4777271
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1035966{col 26}{space 2} .7564814{col 37}{space 1}   -0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.891{col 54}{space 4}-1.586273{col 67}{space 3}  1.37908
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3923181{col 26}{space 2} .1121861{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1724373{col 67}{space 3} .6121989
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.494532{col 26}{space 2} .4690527{col 37}{space 1}   -3.19{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-2.413859{col 67}{space 3}-.5752059
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .417658{col 26}{space 2} 1.337874{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.755{col 54}{space 4}-2.204526{col 67}{space 3} 3.039842
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5554522{col 26}{space 2} .8620044{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.519{col 54}{space 4}-1.134045{col 67}{space 3}  2.24495
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.142637{col 26}{space 2} .4631363{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}  .234907{col 67}{space 3} 2.050368
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.437616{col 26}{space 2} .8417872{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.088{col 54}{space 4}-.2122569{col 67}{space 3} 3.087488
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.054573{col 26}{space 2} .9326388{col 37}{space 1}   -2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}-3.882511{col 67}{space 3}-.2266342
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3714295{col 26}{space 2} .1718694{col 37}{space 1}    2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4} .0345716{col 67}{space 3} .7082874
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0177001{col 26}{space 2} .0081767{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4}-.0337261{col 67}{space 3}-.0016741
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -5.30106{col 26}{space 2} 1.675946{col 37}{space 1}   -3.16{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-8.585854{col 67}{space 3}-2.016267
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011536{col 26}{space 2} .0002866{col 37}{space 1}    4.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005918{col 67}{space 3} .0017154
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2646658{col 26}{space 2} .4666848{col 37}{space 1}    0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.571{col 54}{space 4}-.6500195{col 67}{space 3} 1.179351
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.05486{col 26}{space 2} .5749128{col 37}{space 1}    1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.067{col 54}{space 4}-.0719487{col 67}{space 3} 2.181668
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1438127{col 26}{space 2} .0730292{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.2869472{col 67}{space 3}-.0006781
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0210054{col 26}{space 2} .3454253{col 37}{space 1}   -0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.952{col 54}{space 4}-.6980265{col 67}{space 3} .6560157
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5275707{col 26}{space 2} .9075927{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.561{col 54}{space 4}-1.251278{col 67}{space 3}  2.30642
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4393656{col 26}{space 2} .5225177{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.400{col 54}{space 4}-1.463481{col 67}{space 3} .5847502
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0976577{col 26}{space 2} .3968342{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.806{col 54}{space 4} -.680123{col 67}{space 3} .8754384
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6116335{col 26}{space 2} .3822957{col 37}{space 1}   -1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.110{col 54}{space 4}-1.360919{col 67}{space 3} .1376523
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.089859{col 26}{space 2} 1.568099{col 37}{space 1}   -1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4}-5.163277{col 67}{space 3} .9835583
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8826971{col 26}{space 2}  .592371{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-.2783287{col 67}{space 3} 2.043723
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1098177{col 26}{space 2} .0655436{col 37}{space 1}   -1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.094{col 54}{space 4}-.2382809{col 67}{space 3} .0186454
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.052855{col 26}{space 2} 1.320354{col 37}{space 1}    1.55{col 46}{space 3}0.120{col 54}{space 4}-.5349918{col 67}{space 3} 4.640701
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 26}{space 2} .0003706{col 37}{space 1}    3.20{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0004601{col 67}{space 3} .0019131
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4099916{col 26}{space 2} .4853992{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.398{col 54}{space 4}-1.361357{col 67}{space 3} .5413734
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.14389{col 26}{space 2} .4517195{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4}  .258536{col 67}{space 3} 2.029244
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0190415{col 26}{space 2} .0893684{col 37}{space 1}    0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.831{col 54}{space 4}-.1561174{col 67}{space 3} .1942003
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.425325{col 26}{space 2}  .404965{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-1.219042{col 67}{space 3} .3683919
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.721407{col 26}{space 2} 1.050755{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.101{col 54}{space 4}-.3380351{col 67}{space 3}  3.78085
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2156414{col 26}{space 2} .6631693{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.745{col 54}{space 4}-1.084146{col 67}{space 3} 1.515429
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5322241{col 26}{space 2} .4366955{col 37}{space 1}   -1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-1.388132{col 67}{space 3} .3236833
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2346337{col 26}{space 2} .5941621{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.693{col 54}{space 4}-.9299027{col 67}{space 3}  1.39917
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.231817{col 26}{space 2} .5524398{col 37}{space 1}    2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .1490551{col 67}{space 3} 2.314579
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2412756{col 26}{space 2} .1150905{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.4668489{col 67}{space 3}-.0157023
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103427{col 26}{space 2}  .004952{col 37}{space 1}    2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4}  .000637{col 67}{space 3} .0200485
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.373633{col 26}{space 2} 1.310019{col 37}{space 1}   -2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-5.941224{col 67}{space 3}-.8060429
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. listcoef
{res}
mlogit (N=413): Factor change in the odds of CR_ThreatsSanct 

Variable: realUS_NAT (sd=438.165)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0000{col 41}{space 2} -0.109{col 50}{space 2}  0.913{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.979
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0011{col 41}{space 2}  2.709{col 50}{space 2}  0.007{col 59}{space 2}   1.001{col 69}{space 2}   1.623
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0001{col 41}{space 2} -0.157{col 50}{space 2}  0.875{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.965
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0000{col 41}{space 2}  0.109{col 50}{space 2}  0.913{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   1.021
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0012{col 41}{space 2}  4.025{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   1.001{col 69}{space 2}   1.658
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0000{col 41}{space 2} -0.129{col 50}{space 2}  0.898{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.986
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0011{col 41}{space 2} -2.709{col 50}{space 2}  0.007{col 59}{space 2}   0.999{col 69}{space 2}   0.616
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0012{col 41}{space 2} -4.025{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   0.999{col 69}{space 2}   0.603
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0012{col 41}{space 2} -3.201{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.999{col 69}{space 2}   0.595
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0001{col 41}{space 2}  0.157{col 50}{space 2}  0.875{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   1.036
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0000{col 41}{space 2}  0.129{col 50}{space 2}  0.898{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   1.015
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0012{col 41}{space 2}  3.201{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   1.001{col 69}{space 2}   1.682
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: HighSal4 (sd=0.384)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.4901{col 41}{space 2} -1.558{col 50}{space 2}  0.119{col 59}{space 2}   0.225{col 69}{space 2}   0.564
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.2254{col 41}{space 2} -1.410{col 50}{space 2}  0.158{col 59}{space 2}   0.294{col 69}{space 2}   0.625
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.8154{col 41}{space 2} -0.869{col 50}{space 2}  0.385{col 59}{space 2}   0.442{col 69}{space 2}   0.731
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.4901{col 41}{space 2}  1.558{col 50}{space 2}  0.119{col 59}{space 2}   4.437{col 69}{space 2}   1.772
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2647{col 41}{space 2}  0.567{col 50}{space 2}  0.571{col 59}{space 2}   1.303{col 69}{space 2}   1.107
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6747{col 41}{space 2}  1.232{col 50}{space 2}  0.218{col 59}{space 2}   1.963{col 69}{space 2}   1.296
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.2254{col 41}{space 2}  1.410{col 50}{space 2}  0.158{col 59}{space 2}   3.406{col 69}{space 2}   1.601
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2647{col 41}{space 2} -0.567{col 50}{space 2}  0.571{col 59}{space 2}   0.767{col 69}{space 2}   0.903
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4100{col 41}{space 2}  0.845{col 50}{space 2}  0.398{col 59}{space 2}   1.507{col 69}{space 2}   1.170
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.8154{col 41}{space 2}  0.869{col 50}{space 2}  0.385{col 59}{space 2}   2.260{col 69}{space 2}   1.368
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6747{col 41}{space 2} -1.232{col 50}{space 2}  0.218{col 59}{space 2}   0.509{col 69}{space 2}   0.772
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4100{col 41}{space 2} -0.845{col 50}{space 2}  0.398{col 59}{space 2}   0.664{col 69}{space 2}   0.854
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: IOsupport (sd=0.318)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1585{col 41}{space 2} -1.343{col 50}{space 2}  0.179{col 59}{space 2}   0.314{col 69}{space 2}   0.692
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1036{col 41}{space 2} -0.137{col 50}{space 2}  0.891{col 59}{space 2}   0.902{col 69}{space 2}   0.968
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.2475{col 41}{space 2} -1.741{col 50}{space 2}  0.082{col 59}{space 2}   0.287{col 69}{space 2}   0.673
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1585{col 41}{space 2}  1.343{col 50}{space 2}  0.179{col 59}{space 2}   3.185{col 69}{space 2}   1.445
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.0549{col 41}{space 2}  1.835{col 50}{space 2}  0.067{col 59}{space 2}   2.872{col 69}{space 2}   1.398
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0890{col 41}{space 2} -0.163{col 50}{space 2}  0.870{col 59}{space 2}   0.915{col 69}{space 2}   0.972
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1036{col 41}{space 2}  0.137{col 50}{space 2}  0.891{col 59}{space 2}   1.109{col 69}{space 2}   1.033
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.0549{col 41}{space 2} -1.835{col 50}{space 2}  0.067{col 59}{space 2}   0.348{col 69}{space 2}   0.715
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1439{col 41}{space 2} -2.532{col 50}{space 2}  0.011{col 59}{space 2}   0.319{col 69}{space 2}   0.695
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.2475{col 41}{space 2}  1.741{col 50}{space 2}  0.082{col 59}{space 2}   3.482{col 69}{space 2}   1.487
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0890{col 41}{space 2}  0.163{col 50}{space 2}  0.870{col 59}{space 2}   1.093{col 69}{space 2}   1.029
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1439{col 41}{space 2}  2.532{col 50}{space 2}  0.011{col 59}{space 2}   3.139{col 69}{space 2}   1.439
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: lnrealgdp (sd=2.021)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5361{col 41}{space 2}  4.197{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   1.709{col 69}{space 2}   2.955
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3923{col 41}{space 2}  3.497{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   1.480{col 69}{space 2}   2.210
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3733{col 41}{space 2}  3.459{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   1.452{col 69}{space 2}   2.126
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5361{col 41}{space 2} -4.197{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   0.585{col 69}{space 2}   0.338
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1438{col 41}{space 2} -1.969{col 50}{space 2}  0.049{col 59}{space 2}   0.866{col 69}{space 2}   0.748
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1629{col 41}{space 2} -1.483{col 50}{space 2}  0.138{col 59}{space 2}   0.850{col 69}{space 2}   0.720
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3923{col 41}{space 2} -3.497{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   0.675{col 69}{space 2}   0.453
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1438{col 41}{space 2}  1.969{col 50}{space 2}  0.049{col 59}{space 2}   1.155{col 69}{space 2}   1.337
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0190{col 41}{space 2} -0.213{col 50}{space 2}  0.831{col 59}{space 2}   0.981{col 69}{space 2}   0.962
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3733{col 41}{space 2} -3.459{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.688{col 69}{space 2}   0.470
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1629{col 41}{space 2}  1.483{col 50}{space 2}  0.138{col 59}{space 2}   1.177{col 69}{space 2}   1.390
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0190{col 41}{space 2}  0.213{col 50}{space 2}  0.831{col 59}{space 2}   1.019{col 69}{space 2}   1.039
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: Dem (sd=0.500)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.4735{col 41}{space 2} -2.209{col 50}{space 2}  0.027{col 59}{space 2}   0.229{col 69}{space 2}   0.479
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.4945{col 41}{space 2} -3.186{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.224{col 69}{space 2}   0.474
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.0692{col 41}{space 2} -1.990{col 50}{space 2}  0.047{col 59}{space 2}   0.343{col 69}{space 2}   0.586
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.4735{col 41}{space 2}  2.209{col 50}{space 2}  0.027{col 59}{space 2}   4.365{col 69}{space 2}   2.090
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0210{col 41}{space 2} -0.061{col 50}{space 2}  0.952{col 59}{space 2}   0.979{col 69}{space 2}   0.990
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4043{col 41}{space 2}  0.765{col 50}{space 2}  0.444{col 59}{space 2}   1.498{col 69}{space 2}   1.224
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.4945{col 41}{space 2}  3.186{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   4.457{col 69}{space 2}   2.112
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0210{col 41}{space 2}  0.061{col 50}{space 2}  0.952{col 59}{space 2}   1.021{col 69}{space 2}   1.011
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4253{col 41}{space 2}  1.050{col 50}{space 2}  0.294{col 59}{space 2}   1.530{col 69}{space 2}   1.237
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.0692{col 41}{space 2}  1.990{col 50}{space 2}  0.047{col 59}{space 2}   2.913{col 69}{space 2}   1.707
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4043{col 41}{space 2} -0.765{col 50}{space 2}  0.444{col 59}{space 2}   0.667{col 69}{space 2}   0.817
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4253{col 41}{space 2} -1.050{col 50}{space 2}  0.294{col 59}{space 2}   0.654{col 69}{space 2}   0.808
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: realTargTD (sd=0.156)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1099{col 41}{space 2} -0.080{col 50}{space 2}  0.936{col 59}{space 2}   0.896{col 69}{space 2}   0.983
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4177{col 41}{space 2}  0.312{col 50}{space 2}  0.755{col 59}{space 2}   1.518{col 69}{space 2}   1.067
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.3037{col 41}{space 2} -0.823{col 50}{space 2}  0.411{col 59}{space 2}   0.272{col 69}{space 2}   0.816
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1099{col 41}{space 2}  0.080{col 50}{space 2}  0.936{col 59}{space 2}   1.116{col 69}{space 2}   1.017
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5276{col 41}{space 2}  0.581{col 50}{space 2}  0.561{col 59}{space 2}   1.695{col 69}{space 2}   1.086
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1938{col 41}{space 2} -0.923{col 50}{space 2}  0.356{col 59}{space 2}   0.303{col 69}{space 2}   0.830
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4177{col 41}{space 2} -0.312{col 50}{space 2}  0.755{col 59}{space 2}   0.659{col 69}{space 2}   0.937
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5276{col 41}{space 2} -0.581{col 50}{space 2}  0.561{col 59}{space 2}   0.590{col 69}{space 2}   0.921
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.7214{col 41}{space 2} -1.638{col 50}{space 2}  0.101{col 59}{space 2}   0.179{col 69}{space 2}   0.765
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.3037{col 41}{space 2}  0.823{col 50}{space 2}  0.411{col 59}{space 2}   3.683{col 69}{space 2}   1.225
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1938{col 41}{space 2}  0.923{col 50}{space 2}  0.356{col 59}{space 2}   3.300{col 69}{space 2}   1.204
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.7214{col 41}{space 2}  1.638{col 50}{space 2}  0.101{col 59}{space 2}   5.592{col 69}{space 2}   1.308
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: UNVoteSim_up (sd=0.318)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.9948{col 41}{space 2}  0.979{col 50}{space 2}  0.327{col 59}{space 2}   2.704{col 69}{space 2}   1.371
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5555{col 41}{space 2}  0.644{col 50}{space 2}  0.519{col 59}{space 2}   1.743{col 69}{space 2}   1.193
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3398{col 41}{space 2}  0.311{col 50}{space 2}  0.756{col 59}{space 2}   1.405{col 69}{space 2}   1.114
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.9948{col 41}{space 2} -0.979{col 50}{space 2}  0.327{col 59}{space 2}   0.370{col 69}{space 2}   0.729
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4394{col 41}{space 2} -0.841{col 50}{space 2}  0.400{col 59}{space 2}   0.644{col 69}{space 2}   0.870
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6550{col 41}{space 2} -0.884{col 50}{space 2}  0.377{col 59}{space 2}   0.519{col 69}{space 2}   0.812
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5555{col 41}{space 2} -0.644{col 50}{space 2}  0.519{col 59}{space 2}   0.574{col 69}{space 2}   0.838
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4394{col 41}{space 2}  0.841{col 50}{space 2}  0.400{col 59}{space 2}   1.552{col 69}{space 2}   1.150
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2156{col 41}{space 2} -0.325{col 50}{space 2}  0.745{col 59}{space 2}   0.806{col 69}{space 2}   0.934
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3398{col 41}{space 2} -0.311{col 50}{space 2}  0.756{col 59}{space 2}   0.712{col 69}{space 2}   0.898
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6550{col 41}{space 2}  0.884{col 50}{space 2}  0.377{col 59}{space 2}   1.925{col 69}{space 2}   1.231
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2156{col 41}{space 2}  0.325{col 50}{space 2}  0.745{col 59}{space 2}   1.241{col 69}{space 2}   1.071
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: US_DP (sd=0.483)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.0450{col 41}{space 2}  1.612{col 50}{space 2}  0.107{col 59}{space 2}   2.843{col 69}{space 2}   1.656
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1426{col 41}{space 2}  2.467{col 50}{space 2}  0.014{col 59}{space 2}   3.135{col 69}{space 2}   1.736
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.6749{col 41}{space 2}  2.906{col 50}{space 2}  0.004{col 59}{space 2}   5.338{col 69}{space 2}   2.245
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.0450{col 41}{space 2} -1.612{col 50}{space 2}  0.107{col 59}{space 2}   0.352{col 69}{space 2}   0.604
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0977{col 41}{space 2}  0.246{col 50}{space 2}  0.806{col 59}{space 2}   1.103{col 69}{space 2}   1.048
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6299{col 41}{space 2}  1.114{col 50}{space 2}  0.265{col 59}{space 2}   1.877{col 69}{space 2}   1.355
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1426{col 41}{space 2} -2.467{col 50}{space 2}  0.014{col 59}{space 2}   0.319{col 69}{space 2}   0.576
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0977{col 41}{space 2} -0.246{col 50}{space 2}  0.806{col 59}{space 2}   0.907{col 69}{space 2}   0.954
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5322{col 41}{space 2}  1.219{col 50}{space 2}  0.223{col 59}{space 2}   1.703{col 69}{space 2}   1.293
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.6749{col 41}{space 2} -2.906{col 50}{space 2}  0.004{col 59}{space 2}   0.187{col 69}{space 2}   0.445
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6299{col 41}{space 2} -1.114{col 50}{space 2}  0.265{col 59}{space 2}   0.533{col 69}{space 2}   0.738
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5322{col 41}{space 2} -1.219{col 50}{space 2}  0.223{col 59}{space 2}   0.587{col 69}{space 2}   0.773
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: PostCW (sd=0.477)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.0492{col 41}{space 2}  1.999{col 50}{space 2}  0.046{col 59}{space 2}   7.762{col 69}{space 2}   2.658
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.4376{col 41}{space 2}  1.708{col 50}{space 2}  0.088{col 59}{space 2}   4.211{col 69}{space 2}   1.986
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.2030{col 41}{space 2}  1.196{col 50}{space 2}  0.232{col 59}{space 2}   3.330{col 69}{space 2}   1.775
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.0492{col 41}{space 2} -1.999{col 50}{space 2}  0.046{col 59}{space 2}   0.129{col 69}{space 2}   0.376
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6116{col 41}{space 2} -1.600{col 50}{space 2}  0.110{col 59}{space 2}   0.542{col 69}{space 2}   0.747
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.8463{col 41}{space 2} -1.278{col 50}{space 2}  0.201{col 59}{space 2}   0.429{col 69}{space 2}   0.668
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.4376{col 41}{space 2} -1.708{col 50}{space 2}  0.088{col 59}{space 2}   0.237{col 69}{space 2}   0.504
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6116{col 41}{space 2}  1.600{col 50}{space 2}  0.110{col 59}{space 2}   1.843{col 69}{space 2}   1.339
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2346{col 41}{space 2} -0.395{col 50}{space 2}  0.693{col 59}{space 2}   0.791{col 69}{space 2}   0.894
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.2030{col 41}{space 2} -1.196{col 50}{space 2}  0.232{col 59}{space 2}   0.300{col 69}{space 2}   0.563
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.8463{col 41}{space 2}  1.278{col 50}{space 2}  0.201{col 59}{space 2}   2.331{col 69}{space 2}   1.497
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2346{col 41}{space 2}  0.395{col 50}{space 2}  0.693{col 59}{space 2}   1.264{col 69}{space 2}   1.118
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: time (sd=2.503)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0353{col 41}{space 2}  0.020{col 50}{space 2}  0.984{col 59}{space 2}   1.036{col 69}{space 2}   1.092
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.0546{col 41}{space 2} -2.203{col 50}{space 2}  0.028{col 59}{space 2}   0.128{col 69}{space 2}   0.006
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -3.2864{col 41}{space 2} -3.464{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.037{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0353{col 41}{space 2} -0.020{col 50}{space 2}  0.984{col 59}{space 2}   0.965{col 69}{space 2}   0.915
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.0899{col 41}{space 2} -1.333{col 50}{space 2}  0.183{col 59}{space 2}   0.124{col 69}{space 2}   0.005
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -3.3217{col 41}{space 2} -2.023{col 50}{space 2}  0.043{col 59}{space 2}   0.036{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.0546{col 41}{space 2}  2.203{col 50}{space 2}  0.028{col 59}{space 2}   7.804{col 69}{space 2} 171.142
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.0899{col 41}{space 2}  1.333{col 50}{space 2}  0.183{col 59}{space 2}   8.084{col 69}{space 2} 186.945
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.2318{col 41}{space 2} -2.230{col 50}{space 2}  0.026{col 59}{space 2}   0.292{col 69}{space 2}   0.046
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   3.2864{col 41}{space 2}  3.464{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}  26.746{col 69}{space 2}3735.618
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   3.3217{col 41}{space 2}  2.023{col 50}{space 2}  0.043{col 59}{space 2}  27.707{col 69}{space 2}4080.559
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.2318{col 41}{space 2}  2.230{col 50}{space 2}  0.026{col 59}{space 2}   3.427{col 69}{space 2}  21.828
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: time_sq (sd=33.722)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5113{col 41}{space 2} -0.830{col 50}{space 2}  0.407{col 59}{space 2}   0.600{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3714{col 41}{space 2}  2.161{col 50}{space 2}  0.031{col 59}{space 2}   1.450{col 69}{space 2} 2.8e+05
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6127{col 41}{space 2}  3.327{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   1.845{col 69}{space 2} 9.4e+08
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5113{col 41}{space 2}  0.830{col 50}{space 2}  0.407{col 59}{space 2}   1.667{col 69}{space 2} 3.1e+07
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.8827{col 41}{space 2}  1.490{col 50}{space 2}  0.136{col 59}{space 2}   2.417{col 69}{space 2} 8.5e+12
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1240{col 41}{space 2}  1.856{col 50}{space 2}  0.063{col 59}{space 2}   3.077{col 69}{space 2} 2.9e+16
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3714{col 41}{space 2} -2.161{col 50}{space 2}  0.031{col 59}{space 2}   0.690{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.8827{col 41}{space 2} -1.490{col 50}{space 2}  0.136{col 59}{space 2}   0.414{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2413{col 41}{space 2}  2.096{col 50}{space 2}  0.036{col 59}{space 2}   1.273{col 69}{space 2}3416.109
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6127{col 41}{space 2} -3.327{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.542{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1240{col 41}{space 2} -1.856{col 50}{space 2}  0.063{col 59}{space 2}   0.325{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2413{col 41}{space 2} -2.096{col 50}{space 2}  0.036{col 59}{space 2}   0.786{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: time_cb (sd=507.720)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0921{col 41}{space 2}  1.393{col 50}{space 2}  0.164{col 59}{space 2}   1.096{col 69}{space 2} 2.1e+20
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0177{col 41}{space 2} -2.165{col 50}{space 2}  0.030{col 59}{space 2}   0.982{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0280{col 41}{space 2} -3.191{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.972{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0921{col 41}{space 2} -1.393{col 50}{space 2}  0.164{col 59}{space 2}   0.912{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1098{col 41}{space 2} -1.675{col 50}{space 2}  0.094{col 59}{space 2}   0.896{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1202{col 41}{space 2} -1.818{col 50}{space 2}  0.069{col 59}{space 2}   0.887{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0177{col 41}{space 2}  2.165{col 50}{space 2}  0.030{col 59}{space 2}   1.018{col 69}{space 2}7995.930
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1098{col 41}{space 2}  1.675{col 50}{space 2}  0.094{col 59}{space 2}   1.116{col 69}{space 2} 1.6e+24
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0103{col 41}{space 2} -2.089{col 50}{space 2}  0.037{col 59}{space 2}   0.990{col 69}{space 2}   0.005
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0280{col 41}{space 2}  3.191{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   1.028{col 69}{space 2} 1.5e+06
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1202{col 41}{space 2}  1.818{col 50}{space 2}  0.069{col 59}{space 2}   1.128{col 69}{space 2} 3.1e+26
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0103{col 41}{space 2}  2.089{col 50}{space 2}  0.037{col 59}{space 2}   1.010{col 69}{space 2} 190.797
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{com}. 
. 
. **Figure 1: Average Marginal Effects: Coefficient Plot for Each Outcome, by the Value of U.S. Aid to Targets**
. 
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   c.realUS_NAT  i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.38707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.45019}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.65932}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.54048}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.60822}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.92438}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.84146}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -392.8412{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1279

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     CR_ThreatsSanct{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011051{col 34}{space 2}  .000408{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} .0003055{col 75}{space 3} .0019047
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.225414{col 34}{space 2} .8689656{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-2.928556{col 75}{space 3} .4777271
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1035966{col 34}{space 2} .7564814{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-1.586273{col 75}{space 3}  1.37908
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3923181{col 34}{space 2} .1121861{col 45}{space 1}    3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1724373{col 75}{space 3} .6121989
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.494532{col 34}{space 2} .4690527{col 45}{space 1}   -3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2.413859{col 75}{space 3}-.5752059
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .417658{col 34}{space 2} 1.337874{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.755{col 62}{space 4}-2.204526{col 75}{space 3} 3.039842
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5554522{col 34}{space 2} .8620044{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-1.134045{col 75}{space 3}  2.24495
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.142637{col 34}{space 2} .4631363{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}  .234907{col 75}{space 3} 2.050368
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.437616{col 34}{space 2} .8417872{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-.2122569{col 75}{space 3} 3.087488
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.054573{col 34}{space 2} .9326388{col 45}{space 1}   -2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-3.882511{col 75}{space 3}-.2266342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3714295{col 34}{space 2} .1718694{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .0345716{col 75}{space 3} .7082874
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0177001{col 34}{space 2} .0081767{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-.0337261{col 75}{space 3}-.0016741
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.30106{col 34}{space 2} 1.675946{col 45}{space 1}   -3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-8.585854{col 75}{space 3}-2.016267
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011536{col 34}{space 2} .0002866{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0005918{col 75}{space 3} .0017154
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2646658{col 34}{space 2} .4666848{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4}-.6500195{col 75}{space 3} 1.179351
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.05486{col 34}{space 2} .5749128{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-.0719487{col 75}{space 3} 2.181668
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1438127{col 34}{space 2} .0730292{col 45}{space 1}   -1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-.2869472{col 75}{space 3}-.0006781
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0210054{col 34}{space 2} .3454253{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-.6980265{col 75}{space 3} .6560157
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5275707{col 34}{space 2} .9075927{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-1.251278{col 75}{space 3}  2.30642
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4393656{col 34}{space 2} .5225177{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-1.463481{col 75}{space 3} .5847502
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0976577{col 34}{space 2} .3968342{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.806{col 62}{space 4} -.680123{col 75}{space 3} .8754384
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6116335{col 34}{space 2} .3822957{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-1.360919{col 75}{space 3} .1376523
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.089859{col 34}{space 2} 1.568099{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.183{col 62}{space 4}-5.163277{col 75}{space 3} .9835583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8826971{col 34}{space 2}  .592371{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-.2783287{col 75}{space 3} 2.043723
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1098177{col 34}{space 2} .0655436{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-.2382809{col 75}{space 3} .0186454
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.052855{col 34}{space 2} 1.320354{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.120{col 62}{space 4}-.5349918{col 75}{space 3} 4.640701
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                   {col 22}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 34}{space 2} .0003706{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .0004601{col 75}{space 3} .0019131
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4099916{col 34}{space 2} .4853992{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.398{col 62}{space 4}-1.361357{col 75}{space 3} .5413734
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.14389{col 34}{space 2} .4517195{col 45}{space 1}    2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}  .258536{col 75}{space 3} 2.029244
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0190415{col 34}{space 2} .0893684{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.831{col 62}{space 4}-.1561174{col 75}{space 3} .1942003
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.425325{col 34}{space 2}  .404965{col 45}{space 1}   -1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.294{col 62}{space 4}-1.219042{col 75}{space 3} .3683919
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.721407{col 34}{space 2} 1.050755{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.3380351{col 75}{space 3}  3.78085
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2156414{col 34}{space 2} .6631693{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.745{col 62}{space 4}-1.084146{col 75}{space 3} 1.515429
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5322241{col 34}{space 2} .4366955{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-1.388132{col 75}{space 3} .3236833
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2346337{col 34}{space 2} .5941621{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.693{col 62}{space 4}-.9299027{col 75}{space 3}  1.39917
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.231817{col 34}{space 2} .5524398{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} .1490551{col 75}{space 3} 2.314579
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2412756{col 34}{space 2} .1150905{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-.4668489{col 75}{space 3}-.0157023
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0103427{col 34}{space 2}  .004952{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}  .000637{col 75}{space 3} .0200485
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.373633{col 34}{space 2} 1.310019{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-5.941224{col 75}{space 3}-.8060429
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. estimates store threatsOUT
{txt}
{com}. 
. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) pr (out(-2)) post
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==-2), predict(out(-2))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000428{col 26}{space 2} .0000233{col 37}{space 1}    1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-2.85e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0000884
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. estimate store BackDown
{txt}
{com}. 
. estimates restore threatsOUT
{txt}(results {stata estimates replay threatsOUT:threatsOUT} are active now)

{com}. 
. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) pr (out(-1)) post
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==-1), predict(out(-1))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001369{col 26}{space 2} .0000369{col 37}{space 1}    3.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0000645{col 67}{space 3} .0002093
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. estimate store ImposeSanct
{txt}
{com}. 
. estimates restore threatsOUT
{txt}(results {stata estimates replay threatsOUT:threatsOUT} are active now)

{com}. 
. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) pr (out(0)) post
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==0), predict(out(0))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002525{col 26}{space 2} .0000548{col 37}{space 1}   -4.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0003599{col 67}{space 3}-.0001451
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. estimate store Persists
{txt}
{com}. 
. estimates restore threatsOUT
{txt}(results {stata estimates replay threatsOUT:threatsOUT} are active now)

{com}. 
. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) pr (out(1)) post
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==1), predict(out(1))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000728{col 26}{space 2}   .00003{col 37}{space 1}    2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}  .000014{col 67}{space 3} .0001317
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. estimate store ThreatSucc
{txt}
{com}. 
. coefplot BackDown ImposeSanct Persists ThreatSucc,   legend(row(2)) xline(0) keep(realUS_NAT) 
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure 1.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure 1.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure 1.gph saved)

{com}. 
. 
. **Figure 2: Marginal Effects of U.S. Aid on Threat Success at Represenative Values**
. 
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   c.realUS_NAT  i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.38707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.45019}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.65932}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.54048}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.60822}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.92438}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.84146}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -392.8412{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1279

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     CR_ThreatsSanct{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011051{col 34}{space 2}  .000408{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} .0003055{col 75}{space 3} .0019047
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.225414{col 34}{space 2} .8689656{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-2.928556{col 75}{space 3} .4777271
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1035966{col 34}{space 2} .7564814{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-1.586273{col 75}{space 3}  1.37908
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3923181{col 34}{space 2} .1121861{col 45}{space 1}    3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1724373{col 75}{space 3} .6121989
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.494532{col 34}{space 2} .4690527{col 45}{space 1}   -3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2.413859{col 75}{space 3}-.5752059
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .417658{col 34}{space 2} 1.337874{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.755{col 62}{space 4}-2.204526{col 75}{space 3} 3.039842
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5554522{col 34}{space 2} .8620044{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-1.134045{col 75}{space 3}  2.24495
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.142637{col 34}{space 2} .4631363{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}  .234907{col 75}{space 3} 2.050368
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.437616{col 34}{space 2} .8417872{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-.2122569{col 75}{space 3} 3.087488
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.054573{col 34}{space 2} .9326388{col 45}{space 1}   -2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-3.882511{col 75}{space 3}-.2266342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3714295{col 34}{space 2} .1718694{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .0345716{col 75}{space 3} .7082874
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0177001{col 34}{space 2} .0081767{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-.0337261{col 75}{space 3}-.0016741
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.30106{col 34}{space 2} 1.675946{col 45}{space 1}   -3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-8.585854{col 75}{space 3}-2.016267
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011536{col 34}{space 2} .0002866{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0005918{col 75}{space 3} .0017154
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2646658{col 34}{space 2} .4666848{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4}-.6500195{col 75}{space 3} 1.179351
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.05486{col 34}{space 2} .5749128{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-.0719487{col 75}{space 3} 2.181668
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1438127{col 34}{space 2} .0730292{col 45}{space 1}   -1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-.2869472{col 75}{space 3}-.0006781
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0210054{col 34}{space 2} .3454253{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-.6980265{col 75}{space 3} .6560157
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5275707{col 34}{space 2} .9075927{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-1.251278{col 75}{space 3}  2.30642
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4393656{col 34}{space 2} .5225177{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-1.463481{col 75}{space 3} .5847502
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0976577{col 34}{space 2} .3968342{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.806{col 62}{space 4} -.680123{col 75}{space 3} .8754384
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6116335{col 34}{space 2} .3822957{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-1.360919{col 75}{space 3} .1376523
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.089859{col 34}{space 2} 1.568099{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.183{col 62}{space 4}-5.163277{col 75}{space 3} .9835583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8826971{col 34}{space 2}  .592371{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-.2783287{col 75}{space 3} 2.043723
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1098177{col 34}{space 2} .0655436{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-.2382809{col 75}{space 3} .0186454
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.052855{col 34}{space 2} 1.320354{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.120{col 62}{space 4}-.5349918{col 75}{space 3} 4.640701
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                   {col 22}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 34}{space 2} .0003706{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .0004601{col 75}{space 3} .0019131
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4099916{col 34}{space 2} .4853992{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.398{col 62}{space 4}-1.361357{col 75}{space 3} .5413734
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.14389{col 34}{space 2} .4517195{col 45}{space 1}    2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}  .258536{col 75}{space 3} 2.029244
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0190415{col 34}{space 2} .0893684{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.831{col 62}{space 4}-.1561174{col 75}{space 3} .1942003
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.425325{col 34}{space 2}  .404965{col 45}{space 1}   -1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.294{col 62}{space 4}-1.219042{col 75}{space 3} .3683919
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.721407{col 34}{space 2} 1.050755{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.3380351{col 75}{space 3}  3.78085
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2156414{col 34}{space 2} .6631693{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.745{col 62}{space 4}-1.084146{col 75}{space 3} 1.515429
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5322241{col 34}{space 2} .4366955{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-1.388132{col 75}{space 3} .3236833
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2346337{col 34}{space 2} .5941621{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.693{col 62}{space 4}-.9299027{col 75}{space 3}  1.39917
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.231817{col 34}{space 2} .5524398{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} .1490551{col 75}{space 3} 2.314579
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2412756{col 34}{space 2} .1150905{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-.4668489{col 75}{space 3}-.0157023
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0103427{col 34}{space 2}  .004952{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}  .000637{col 75}{space 3} .0200485
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.373633{col 34}{space 2} 1.310019{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-5.941224{col 75}{space 3}-.8060429
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(100)1000))  pr (out(1))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==1), predict(out(1))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}400}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}500}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}600}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}800}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}900}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1000}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}realUS_NAT   {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000653{col 26}{space 2} .0000197{col 37}{space 1}    3.32{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0000268{col 67}{space 3} .0001039
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000681{col 26}{space 2} .0000225{col 37}{space 1}    3.03{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}  .000024{col 67}{space 3} .0001121
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000706{col 26}{space 2} .0000253{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0000209{col 67}{space 3} .0001202
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000728{col 26}{space 2} .0000282{col 37}{space 1}    2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .0000175{col 67}{space 3} .0001281
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000747{col 26}{space 2}  .000031{col 37}{space 1}    2.41{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .0000139{col 67}{space 3} .0001356
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000763{col 26}{space 2} .0000338{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}   .00001{col 67}{space 3} .0001426
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000775{col 26}{space 2} .0000365{col 37}{space 1}    2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4} 6.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}  .000149
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000784{col 26}{space 2}  .000039{col 37}{space 1}    2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4} 1.98e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0001548
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000788{col 26}{space 2} .0000413{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-2.19e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0001599
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000789{col 26}{space 2} .0000435{col 37}{space 1}    1.81{col 46}{space 3}0.070{col 54}{space 4}-6.42e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0001642
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000785{col 26}{space 2} .0000455{col 37}{space 1}    1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.085{col 54}{space 4}-.0000107{col 67}{space 3} .0001677
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000778{col 26}{space 2} .0000473{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.100{col 54}{space 4} -.000015{col 67}{space 3} .0001705
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000767{col 26}{space 2}  .000049{col 37}{space 1}    1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.117{col 54}{space 4}-.0000193{col 67}{space 3} .0001726
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000752{col 26}{space 2} .0000504{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-.0000236{col 67}{space 3}  .000174
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot,  yline(0) 

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: realUS_NAT{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure 2.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure 2.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure 2.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Figure 3: Marginal Effects of U.S. Aid on Sanctions Imposition at Represenative Values**
. 
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   c.realUS_NAT  i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.38707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.45019}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.65932}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.54048}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.60822}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.92438}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.84146}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -392.8412{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1279

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     CR_ThreatsSanct{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011051{col 34}{space 2}  .000408{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} .0003055{col 75}{space 3} .0019047
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.225414{col 34}{space 2} .8689656{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-2.928556{col 75}{space 3} .4777271
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1035966{col 34}{space 2} .7564814{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-1.586273{col 75}{space 3}  1.37908
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3923181{col 34}{space 2} .1121861{col 45}{space 1}    3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1724373{col 75}{space 3} .6121989
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.494532{col 34}{space 2} .4690527{col 45}{space 1}   -3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2.413859{col 75}{space 3}-.5752059
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .417658{col 34}{space 2} 1.337874{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.755{col 62}{space 4}-2.204526{col 75}{space 3} 3.039842
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5554522{col 34}{space 2} .8620044{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-1.134045{col 75}{space 3}  2.24495
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.142637{col 34}{space 2} .4631363{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}  .234907{col 75}{space 3} 2.050368
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.437616{col 34}{space 2} .8417872{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-.2122569{col 75}{space 3} 3.087488
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.054573{col 34}{space 2} .9326388{col 45}{space 1}   -2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-3.882511{col 75}{space 3}-.2266342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3714295{col 34}{space 2} .1718694{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .0345716{col 75}{space 3} .7082874
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0177001{col 34}{space 2} .0081767{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-.0337261{col 75}{space 3}-.0016741
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.30106{col 34}{space 2} 1.675946{col 45}{space 1}   -3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-8.585854{col 75}{space 3}-2.016267
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011536{col 34}{space 2} .0002866{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0005918{col 75}{space 3} .0017154
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2646658{col 34}{space 2} .4666848{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4}-.6500195{col 75}{space 3} 1.179351
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.05486{col 34}{space 2} .5749128{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-.0719487{col 75}{space 3} 2.181668
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1438127{col 34}{space 2} .0730292{col 45}{space 1}   -1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-.2869472{col 75}{space 3}-.0006781
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0210054{col 34}{space 2} .3454253{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-.6980265{col 75}{space 3} .6560157
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5275707{col 34}{space 2} .9075927{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-1.251278{col 75}{space 3}  2.30642
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4393656{col 34}{space 2} .5225177{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-1.463481{col 75}{space 3} .5847502
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0976577{col 34}{space 2} .3968342{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.806{col 62}{space 4} -.680123{col 75}{space 3} .8754384
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6116335{col 34}{space 2} .3822957{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-1.360919{col 75}{space 3} .1376523
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.089859{col 34}{space 2} 1.568099{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.183{col 62}{space 4}-5.163277{col 75}{space 3} .9835583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8826971{col 34}{space 2}  .592371{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-.2783287{col 75}{space 3} 2.043723
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1098177{col 34}{space 2} .0655436{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-.2382809{col 75}{space 3} .0186454
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.052855{col 34}{space 2} 1.320354{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.120{col 62}{space 4}-.5349918{col 75}{space 3} 4.640701
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                   {col 22}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 34}{space 2} .0003706{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .0004601{col 75}{space 3} .0019131
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4099916{col 34}{space 2} .4853992{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.398{col 62}{space 4}-1.361357{col 75}{space 3} .5413734
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.14389{col 34}{space 2} .4517195{col 45}{space 1}    2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}  .258536{col 75}{space 3} 2.029244
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0190415{col 34}{space 2} .0893684{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.831{col 62}{space 4}-.1561174{col 75}{space 3} .1942003
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.425325{col 34}{space 2}  .404965{col 45}{space 1}   -1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.294{col 62}{space 4}-1.219042{col 75}{space 3} .3683919
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.721407{col 34}{space 2} 1.050755{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.3380351{col 75}{space 3}  3.78085
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2156414{col 34}{space 2} .6631693{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.745{col 62}{space 4}-1.084146{col 75}{space 3} 1.515429
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5322241{col 34}{space 2} .4366955{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-1.388132{col 75}{space 3} .3236833
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2346337{col 34}{space 2} .5941621{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.693{col 62}{space 4}-.9299027{col 75}{space 3}  1.39917
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.231817{col 34}{space 2} .5524398{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} .1490551{col 75}{space 3} 2.314579
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2412756{col 34}{space 2} .1150905{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-.4668489{col 75}{space 3}-.0157023
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0103427{col 34}{space 2}  .004952{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}  .000637{col 75}{space 3} .0200485
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.373633{col 34}{space 2} 1.310019{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-5.941224{col 75}{space 3}-.8060429
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(200)1900))  pr (out(-1))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==-1), predict(out(-1))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}500}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}900}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1500}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1900}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}realUS_NAT   {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001285{col 26}{space 2} .0000281{col 37}{space 1}    4.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0000734{col 67}{space 3} .0001837
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001361{col 26}{space 2}  .000034{col 37}{space 1}    4.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0000694{col 67}{space 3} .0002027
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000141{col 26}{space 2} .0000388{col 37}{space 1}    3.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0000649{col 67}{space 3}  .000217
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001428{col 26}{space 2} .0000421{col 37}{space 1}    3.39{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0000603{col 67}{space 3} .0002253
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001413{col 26}{space 2} .0000439{col 37}{space 1}    3.22{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0000554{col 67}{space 3} .0002273
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001367{col 26}{space 2} .0000443{col 37}{space 1}    3.08{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0000498{col 67}{space 3} .0002235
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001291{col 26}{space 2}  .000044{col 37}{space 1}    2.93{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0000429{col 67}{space 3} .0002154
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001193{col 26}{space 2} .0000437{col 37}{space 1}    2.73{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0000337{col 67}{space 3} .0002049
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001079{col 26}{space 2} .0000438{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .0000221{col 67}{space 3} .0001937
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000957{col 26}{space 2} .0000445{col 37}{space 1}    2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} 8.49e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0001829
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000833{col 26}{space 2} .0000457{col 37}{space 1}    1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.068{col 54}{space 4}-6.14e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0001728
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000714{col 26}{space 2} .0000469{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-.0000206{col 67}{space 3} .0001633
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot,  yline(0) 

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: realUS_NAT{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure 3.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure 3.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure 3.gph saved)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************
. **Robustness Checks Discussed in the Text, Reported in the Appendix**
. *********************************************************************
. 
. **Appendix Table A1: Summary Statistics**
. 
. summ CR_ThreatsSanct  realUS_NAT                         HighSal4 IOsupport lnGDP Dem TargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time if threatevents==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
CR_Threats~t {c |}{res}        463   -.2570194      .74499         -2          1
{txt}{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{res}        463    95.43717    414.9522  -291.4729   6258.249
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{res}        463     .161987    .3688375          0          1
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{res}        463    .1015119     .302332          0          1
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{res}        463    10.49678     2.21599   4.860388   15.38812
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 9}Dem {c |}{res}        463    .4989201    .5005397          0          1
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{res}        415    .1558729    .1561521          0   1.115084
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{res}        459   -.2262974     .320588         -1    .902439
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{res}        463     .336933    .4731731          0          1
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{res}        463    .6825054    .4660052          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 8}time {c |}{res}        463     2.74946    2.568936          1         18
{txt}
{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A2: Correlation Matrix**
. 
. corr CR_ThreatsSanct  realUS_NAT                         HighSal4 IOsupport lnGDP Dem TargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time if threatevents==1
{txt}(obs=413)

             {c |} CR_Thr~t realUS~T HighSal4 IOsupp~t    lnGDP      Dem   TargTD UNVote~p    US_DP   PostCW     time
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 99}
CR_Threats~t {c |}{res}   1.0000
  {txt}realUS_NAT {c |}{res}  -0.0729   1.0000
    {txt}HighSal4 {c |}{res}  -0.0598   0.2164   1.0000
   {txt}IOsupport {c |}{res}  -0.0443   0.0022   0.3097   1.0000
       {txt}lnGDP {c |}{res}  -0.0048  -0.0256  -0.0196  -0.0221   1.0000
         {txt}Dem {c |}{res}   0.0594   0.0065  -0.1577  -0.2981   0.2362   1.0000
      {txt}TargTD {c |}{res}  -0.0716   0.1193   0.1190  -0.0141  -0.1900  -0.0655   1.0000
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{res}  -0.0504   0.1465   0.2654  -0.0569   0.0275   0.0455   0.0224   1.0000
       {txt}US_DP {c |}{res}  -0.1079   0.0125   0.1017  -0.0679  -0.0800   0.1721   0.5374   0.2485   1.0000
      {txt}PostCW {c |}{res}   0.0561  -0.1595  -0.4133  -0.1218  -0.0446   0.3258  -0.0554  -0.4706  -0.1686   1.0000
        {txt}time {c |}{res}   0.1130  -0.1108  -0.1350  -0.1471   0.3429   0.0487  -0.1969  -0.1082  -0.1050  -0.0722   1.0000

{txt}
{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A3: Re-running Table 1 Using Current Year Economic Data**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                                                                                                                                       time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.66438}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-469.59242}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-461.49476}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.46576}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-459.95405}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.40477}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.46147}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41284}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41228}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41228}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       463
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    121.59
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-457.41228{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0772

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0036564{col 26}{space 2}  .001176{col 37}{space 1}    3.11{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0013516{col 67}{space 3} .0059612
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.485796{col 26}{space 2} .8351137{col 37}{space 1}   -2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.122589{col 67}{space 3}-.8490033
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4610239{col 26}{space 2} .1508023{col 37}{space 1}    3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1654569{col 67}{space 3}  .756591
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0219282{col 26}{space 2} .0073165{col 37}{space 1}   -3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0362682{col 67}{space 3}-.0075882
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2686655{col 26}{space 2}  .858583{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.754{col 54}{space 4}-1.414126{col 67}{space 3} 1.951457
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0034786{col 26}{space 2} .0007892{col 37}{space 1}    4.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0019318{col 67}{space 3} .0050253
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.790487{col 26}{space 2} 1.483652{col 37}{space 1}   -1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.060{col 54}{space 4}-5.698391{col 67}{space 3} .1174169
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.101513{col 26}{space 2} .5573544{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0091188{col 67}{space 3} 2.193908
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1324443{col 26}{space 2}  .061589{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.2531565{col 67}{space 3}-.0117321
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.050409{col 26}{space 2} 1.080304{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.331{col 54}{space 4}-1.066949{col 67}{space 3} 3.167766
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0045462{col 26}{space 2} .0009909{col 37}{space 1}    4.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0026041{col 67}{space 3} .0064882
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.075564{col 26}{space 2} .5326565{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .0315764{col 67}{space 3} 2.119551
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2337924{col 26}{space 2} .1090839{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.4475928{col 67}{space 3}-.0199919
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103818{col 26}{space 2} .0046735{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .0012219{col 67}{space 3} .0195416
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.891742{col 26}{space 2} .6234116{col 37}{space 1}   -4.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.113606{col 67}{space 3}-1.669877
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                       HighSal4 IOsupport lnGDP Dem TargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb  if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-402.30603}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.36915}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.55597}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.43844}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.54391}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.87393}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77678}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77651}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77651}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    338.71
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-391.77651{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1302

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0035088{col 26}{space 2} .0011348{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0012847{col 67}{space 3} .0057329
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.053517{col 26}{space 2} .7814315{col 37}{space 1}   -1.35{col 46}{space 3}0.178{col 54}{space 4}-2.585095{col 67}{space 3} .4780602
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1541002{col 26}{space 2} .7631174{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.840{col 54}{space 4}-1.649783{col 67}{space 3} 1.341582
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3690089{col 26}{space 2} .1174445{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1388218{col 67}{space 3}  .599196
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.494012{col 26}{space 2}  .477532{col 37}{space 1}   -3.13{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.429958{col 67}{space 3}-.5580664
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6074959{col 26}{space 2} 1.297048{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.640{col 54}{space 4}-1.934671{col 67}{space 3} 3.149663
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8403758{col 26}{space 2} .8530725{col 37}{space 1}    0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.325{col 54}{space 4}-.8316156{col 67}{space 3} 2.512367
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.077061{col 26}{space 2} .4654238{col 37}{space 1}    2.31{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4} .1648474{col 67}{space 3} 1.989275
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.043178{col 26}{space 2} .8253006{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4} -.574381{col 67}{space 3} 2.660738
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.042631{col 26}{space 2} .9241245{col 37}{space 1}   -2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-3.853882{col 67}{space 3}-.2313801
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3700743{col 26}{space 2} .1697689{col 37}{space 1}    2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .0373334{col 67}{space 3} .7028153
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.01767{col 26}{space 2} .0080808{col 37}{space 1}   -2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-.0335081{col 67}{space 3}-.0018318
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.535173{col 26}{space 2} 1.696976{col 37}{space 1}   -2.67{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-7.861185{col 67}{space 3} -1.20916
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0033619{col 26}{space 2} .0007914{col 37}{space 1}    4.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0018108{col 67}{space 3}  .004913
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3583346{col 26}{space 2}  .466179{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-.5553594{col 67}{space 3} 1.272029
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.046355{col 26}{space 2} .5695773{col 37}{space 1}    1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-.0699964{col 67}{space 3} 2.162706
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.161215{col 26}{space 2} .0709236{col 37}{space 1}   -2.27{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4}-.3002227{col 67}{space 3}-.0222073
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0474372{col 26}{space 2} .3511245{col 37}{space 1}    0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.893{col 54}{space 4}-.6407541{col 67}{space 3} .7356285
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6185621{col 26}{space 2} .9417916{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.511{col 54}{space 4}-1.227316{col 67}{space 3}  2.46444
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4022145{col 26}{space 2} .5286704{col 37}{space 1}   -0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.447{col 54}{space 4}-1.438389{col 67}{space 3} .6339604
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0197177{col 26}{space 2} .4094255{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.962{col 54}{space 4}-.7827415{col 67}{space 3}  .822177
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5938679{col 26}{space 2} .3653419{col 37}{space 1}   -1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-1.309925{col 67}{space 3}  .122189
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.089169{col 26}{space 2} 1.576852{col 37}{space 1}   -1.32{col 46}{space 3}0.185{col 54}{space 4}-5.179742{col 67}{space 3} 1.001404
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8771266{col 26}{space 2} .5962102{col 37}{space 1}    1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.141{col 54}{space 4}-.2914239{col 67}{space 3} 2.045677
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1088765{col 26}{space 2} .0660636{col 37}{space 1}   -1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.099{col 54}{space 4}-.2383588{col 67}{space 3} .0206058
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.107524{col 26}{space 2} 1.246332{col 37}{space 1}    1.69{col 46}{space 3}0.091{col 54}{space 4}-.3352407{col 67}{space 3} 4.550289
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .004377{col 26}{space 2} .0010051{col 37}{space 1}    4.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .002407{col 67}{space 3} .0063469
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3234216{col 26}{space 2} .4926063{col 37}{space 1}   -0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.511{col 54}{space 4}-1.288912{col 67}{space 3}  .642069
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122141{col 26}{space 2} .4595315{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}  .221476{col 67}{space 3} 2.022806
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0220257{col 26}{space 2}  .097479{col 37}{space 1}    0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.821{col 54}{space 4}-.1690296{col 67}{space 3} .2130809
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4514461{col 26}{space 2} .4218935{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.285{col 54}{space 4}-1.278342{col 67}{space 3} .3754499
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.673409{col 26}{space 2} 1.063695{col 37}{space 1}    1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.4113957{col 67}{space 3} 3.758213
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2136248{col 26}{space 2} .6663393{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.749{col 54}{space 4}-1.092376{col 67}{space 3} 1.519626
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5343783{col 26}{space 2} .4385082{col 37}{space 1}   -1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-1.393838{col 67}{space 3}  .325082
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0894872{col 26}{space 2} .5593816{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.873{col 54}{space 4}-1.006881{col 67}{space 3} 1.185855
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.260576{col 26}{space 2} .5613389{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}  .160372{col 67}{space 3}  2.36078
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2437537{col 26}{space 2} .1174485{col 37}{space 1}   -2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.4739486{col 67}{space 3}-.0135588
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103915{col 26}{space 2} .0050554{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0004832{col 67}{space 3} .0202999
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -3.41152{col 26}{space 2}  1.29577{col 37}{space 1}   -2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-5.951183{col 67}{space 3}-.8718581
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.004***        0.004***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.486***       -2.043** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.461***        0.370** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.054   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.78{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.154   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.369***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.494***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.607   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.840   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.077** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.043   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.269          -4.535***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.70{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.003***        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.790*         -2.089   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.102**         0.877   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.132**        -0.109*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.358   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.046*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                       -0.161** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.047   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.619   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.402   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.020   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.594   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        1.050           2.108*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.25{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.005***        0.004***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.076**         1.261** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.234**        -0.244** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.323   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.122** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.022   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.451   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        1.673   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.214   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.534   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.089   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.892***       -3.412***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          463             413   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.077           0.130   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A4: Re-running Table 1 Using Robust Standard Errors**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                                                                                                                                       time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, robust base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.66438}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-469.59242}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-461.49476}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.46576}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-459.95405}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.40477}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.46147}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41284}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41228}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41228}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       463
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}     44.16
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-457.41228{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0772

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0036564{col 26}{space 2} .0014145{col 37}{space 1}    2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .0008839{col 67}{space 3} .0064288
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.485796{col 26}{space 2} .7239572{col 37}{space 1}   -3.43{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-3.904726{col 67}{space 3}-1.066866
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4610239{col 26}{space 2} .1381146{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1903243{col 67}{space 3} .7317235
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0219282{col 26}{space 2} .0070164{col 37}{space 1}   -3.13{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-.0356801{col 67}{space 3}-.0081764
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2686655{col 26}{space 2} .7045175{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.703{col 54}{space 4}-1.112163{col 67}{space 3} 1.649494
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0034786{col 26}{space 2} .0012583{col 37}{space 1}    2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0010123{col 67}{space 3} .0059448
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.790487{col 26}{space 2}  1.50609{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-5.742369{col 67}{space 3}  .161395
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.101513{col 26}{space 2} .5772637{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.056{col 54}{space 4}-.0299026{col 67}{space 3} 2.232929
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1324443{col 26}{space 2} .0647301{col 37}{space 1}   -2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-.2593131{col 67}{space 3}-.0055755
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.050409{col 26}{space 2} 1.075985{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.329{col 54}{space 4}-1.058484{col 67}{space 3} 3.159301
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0045462{col 26}{space 2}  .001227{col 37}{space 1}    3.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0021412{col 67}{space 3} .0069511
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.075564{col 26}{space 2} .4632334{col 37}{space 1}    2.32{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .1676432{col 67}{space 3} 1.983485
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2337924{col 26}{space 2} .0966818{col 37}{space 1}   -2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4}-.4232852{col 67}{space 3}-.0442995
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103818{col 26}{space 2} .0042038{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .0021425{col 67}{space 3}  .018621
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.891742{col 26}{space 2} .5672792{col 37}{space 1}   -5.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.003588{col 67}{space 3}-1.779895
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                       HighSal4 IOsupport lnGDP Dem TargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb  if threatevents==1, robust base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-402.30603}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.36915}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.55597}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.43844}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.54391}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.87393}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77678}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77651}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77651}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}     81.94
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-391.77651{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1302

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0035088{col 26}{space 2} .0014784{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .0006112{col 67}{space 3} .0064064
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.053517{col 26}{space 2} .7431685{col 37}{space 1}   -1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.156{col 54}{space 4}-2.510101{col 67}{space 3} .4030662
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1541002{col 26}{space 2} .7854457{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.844{col 54}{space 4}-1.693546{col 67}{space 3} 1.385345
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3690089{col 26}{space 2} .1176942{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1383325{col 67}{space 3} .5996853
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.494012{col 26}{space 2} .5200686{col 37}{space 1}   -2.87{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-2.513328{col 67}{space 3}-.4746962
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6074959{col 26}{space 2} 1.338271{col 37}{space 1}    0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.650{col 54}{space 4}-2.015467{col 67}{space 3} 3.230459
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8403758{col 26}{space 2} .9612161{col 37}{space 1}    0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.382{col 54}{space 4}-1.043573{col 67}{space 3} 2.724325
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.077061{col 26}{space 2} .5219862{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .0539871{col 67}{space 3} 2.100135
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.043178{col 26}{space 2} .7830173{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4}-.4915073{col 67}{space 3} 2.577864
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.042631{col 26}{space 2} .8082989{col 37}{space 1}   -2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4}-3.626868{col 67}{space 3}-.4583942
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3700743{col 26}{space 2} .1531596{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4}  .069887{col 67}{space 3} .6702617
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.01767{col 26}{space 2}  .007539{col 37}{space 1}   -2.34{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4}-.0324462{col 67}{space 3}-.0028937
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.535173{col 26}{space 2} 1.710849{col 37}{space 1}   -2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-7.888375{col 67}{space 3} -1.18197
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0033619{col 26}{space 2} .0012891{col 37}{space 1}    2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .0008353{col 67}{space 3} .0058886
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3583346{col 26}{space 2}  .377544{col 37}{space 1}    0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.343{col 54}{space 4} -.381638{col 67}{space 3} 1.098307
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.046355{col 26}{space 2} .4324117{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .1988432{col 67}{space 3} 1.893866
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.161215{col 26}{space 2} .0722654{col 37}{space 1}   -2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4}-.3028526{col 67}{space 3}-.0195774
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0474372{col 26}{space 2} .3071867{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.877{col 54}{space 4}-.5546376{col 67}{space 3}  .649512
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6185621{col 26}{space 2} .9673911{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.523{col 54}{space 4} -1.27749{col 67}{space 3} 2.514614
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4022145{col 26}{space 2} .4951295{col 37}{space 1}   -0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.417{col 54}{space 4}-1.372651{col 67}{space 3} .5682216
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0197177{col 26}{space 2} .3596538{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.956{col 54}{space 4}-.6851907{col 67}{space 3} .7246262
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5938679{col 26}{space 2}   .34789{col 37}{space 1}   -1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.088{col 54}{space 4} -1.27572{col 67}{space 3}  .087984
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.089169{col 26}{space 2} 1.623869{col 37}{space 1}   -1.29{col 46}{space 3}0.198{col 54}{space 4}-5.271893{col 67}{space 3} 1.093556
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8771266{col 26}{space 2} .6281547{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.163{col 54}{space 4}-.3540339{col 67}{space 3} 2.108287
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1088765{col 26}{space 2} .0707434{col 37}{space 1}   -1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4} -.247531{col 67}{space 3}  .029778
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.107524{col 26}{space 2} 1.320854{col 37}{space 1}    1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.111{col 54}{space 4}-.4813022{col 67}{space 3} 4.696351
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .004377{col 26}{space 2} .0012791{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0018699{col 67}{space 3}  .006884
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3234216{col 26}{space 2} .5404123{col 37}{space 1}   -0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.550{col 54}{space 4} -1.38261{col 67}{space 3} .7357671
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122141{col 26}{space 2} .5317766{col 37}{space 1}    2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4} .0798782{col 67}{space 3} 2.164404
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0220257{col 26}{space 2} .1095449{col 37}{space 1}    0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.841{col 54}{space 4}-.1926784{col 67}{space 3} .2367297
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4514461{col 26}{space 2} .4628798{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.329{col 54}{space 4}-1.358674{col 67}{space 3} .4557816
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.673409{col 26}{space 2} 1.366323{col 37}{space 1}    1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.221{col 54}{space 4}-1.004536{col 67}{space 3} 4.351353
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2136248{col 26}{space 2} .7152846{col 37}{space 1}    0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.765{col 54}{space 4}-1.188307{col 67}{space 3} 1.615557
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5343783{col 26}{space 2} .4859997{col 37}{space 1}   -1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.272{col 54}{space 4} -1.48692{col 67}{space 3} .4181637
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0894872{col 26}{space 2} .5513575{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.871{col 54}{space 4}-.9911537{col 67}{space 3} 1.170128
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.260576{col 26}{space 2} .4686529{col 37}{space 1}    2.69{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .3420332{col 67}{space 3} 2.179119
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2437537{col 26}{space 2} .0995538{col 37}{space 1}   -2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}-.4388756{col 67}{space 3}-.0486317
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103915{col 26}{space 2} .0043549{col 37}{space 1}    2.39{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4} .0018561{col 67}{space 3}  .018927
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -3.41152{col 26}{space 2} 1.282229{col 37}{space 1}   -2.66{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-5.924643{col 67}{space 3}-.8983981
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.004***        0.004** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.486***       -2.043** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.81{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.461***        0.370** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.054   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.154   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.369***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.494***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.607   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.840   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.96{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.077** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.043   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.78{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.269          -4.535***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.70{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.71{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.003***        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.790*         -2.089   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.51{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.62{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.102*          0.877   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.132**        -0.109   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.358   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.046** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                       -0.161** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.047   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.619   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.97{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.402   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.020   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.594*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        1.050           2.108   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.005***        0.004***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.076**         1.261***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.234**        -0.244** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.323   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.122** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.022   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.451   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        1.673   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.214   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.534   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.089   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.892***       -3.412***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.28{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          463             413   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.077           0.130   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A5: Re-running Table 1 Using Standard Errors Clustered by Target Country**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                                                                                                                                       time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, cluster(ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.66438}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-469.59242}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-461.49476}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.46576}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-459.95405}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.40477}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.46147}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41284}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41228}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41228}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       463
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    121.59
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-457.41228{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0772

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0036564{col 26}{space 2}  .001176{col 37}{space 1}    3.11{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0013516{col 67}{space 3} .0059612
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.485796{col 26}{space 2} .8351137{col 37}{space 1}   -2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.122589{col 67}{space 3}-.8490033
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4610239{col 26}{space 2} .1508023{col 37}{space 1}    3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1654569{col 67}{space 3}  .756591
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0219282{col 26}{space 2} .0073165{col 37}{space 1}   -3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0362682{col 67}{space 3}-.0075882
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2686655{col 26}{space 2}  .858583{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.754{col 54}{space 4}-1.414126{col 67}{space 3} 1.951457
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0034786{col 26}{space 2} .0007892{col 37}{space 1}    4.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0019318{col 67}{space 3} .0050253
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.790487{col 26}{space 2} 1.483652{col 37}{space 1}   -1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.060{col 54}{space 4}-5.698391{col 67}{space 3} .1174169
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.101513{col 26}{space 2} .5573544{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0091188{col 67}{space 3} 2.193908
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1324443{col 26}{space 2}  .061589{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.2531565{col 67}{space 3}-.0117321
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.050409{col 26}{space 2} 1.080304{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.331{col 54}{space 4}-1.066949{col 67}{space 3} 3.167766
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0045462{col 26}{space 2} .0009909{col 37}{space 1}    4.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0026041{col 67}{space 3} .0064882
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.075564{col 26}{space 2} .5326565{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .0315764{col 67}{space 3} 2.119551
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2337924{col 26}{space 2} .1090839{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.4475928{col 67}{space 3}-.0199919
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103818{col 26}{space 2} .0046735{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .0012219{col 67}{space 3} .0195416
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.891742{col 26}{space 2} .6234116{col 37}{space 1}   -4.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.113606{col 67}{space 3}-1.669877
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                       HighSal4 IOsupport lnGDP Dem TargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb  if threatevents==1, cluster(ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-402.30603}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.36915}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.55597}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.43844}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.54391}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.87393}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77678}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77651}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.77651}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    338.71
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-391.77651{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1302

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0035088{col 26}{space 2} .0011348{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0012847{col 67}{space 3} .0057329
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.053517{col 26}{space 2} .7814315{col 37}{space 1}   -1.35{col 46}{space 3}0.178{col 54}{space 4}-2.585095{col 67}{space 3} .4780602
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1541002{col 26}{space 2} .7631174{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.840{col 54}{space 4}-1.649783{col 67}{space 3} 1.341582
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3690089{col 26}{space 2} .1174445{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1388218{col 67}{space 3}  .599196
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.494012{col 26}{space 2}  .477532{col 37}{space 1}   -3.13{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.429958{col 67}{space 3}-.5580664
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6074959{col 26}{space 2} 1.297048{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.640{col 54}{space 4}-1.934671{col 67}{space 3} 3.149663
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8403758{col 26}{space 2} .8530725{col 37}{space 1}    0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.325{col 54}{space 4}-.8316156{col 67}{space 3} 2.512367
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.077061{col 26}{space 2} .4654238{col 37}{space 1}    2.31{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4} .1648474{col 67}{space 3} 1.989275
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.043178{col 26}{space 2} .8253006{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4} -.574381{col 67}{space 3} 2.660738
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.042631{col 26}{space 2} .9241245{col 37}{space 1}   -2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-3.853882{col 67}{space 3}-.2313801
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3700743{col 26}{space 2} .1697689{col 37}{space 1}    2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .0373334{col 67}{space 3} .7028153
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.01767{col 26}{space 2} .0080808{col 37}{space 1}   -2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-.0335081{col 67}{space 3}-.0018318
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.535173{col 26}{space 2} 1.696976{col 37}{space 1}   -2.67{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-7.861185{col 67}{space 3} -1.20916
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0033619{col 26}{space 2} .0007914{col 37}{space 1}    4.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0018108{col 67}{space 3}  .004913
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3583346{col 26}{space 2}  .466179{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-.5553594{col 67}{space 3} 1.272029
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.046355{col 26}{space 2} .5695773{col 37}{space 1}    1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-.0699964{col 67}{space 3} 2.162706
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.161215{col 26}{space 2} .0709236{col 37}{space 1}   -2.27{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4}-.3002227{col 67}{space 3}-.0222073
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0474372{col 26}{space 2} .3511245{col 37}{space 1}    0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.893{col 54}{space 4}-.6407541{col 67}{space 3} .7356285
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6185621{col 26}{space 2} .9417916{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.511{col 54}{space 4}-1.227316{col 67}{space 3}  2.46444
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4022145{col 26}{space 2} .5286704{col 37}{space 1}   -0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.447{col 54}{space 4}-1.438389{col 67}{space 3} .6339604
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0197177{col 26}{space 2} .4094255{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.962{col 54}{space 4}-.7827415{col 67}{space 3}  .822177
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5938679{col 26}{space 2} .3653419{col 37}{space 1}   -1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-1.309925{col 67}{space 3}  .122189
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.089169{col 26}{space 2} 1.576852{col 37}{space 1}   -1.32{col 46}{space 3}0.185{col 54}{space 4}-5.179742{col 67}{space 3} 1.001404
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8771266{col 26}{space 2} .5962102{col 37}{space 1}    1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.141{col 54}{space 4}-.2914239{col 67}{space 3} 2.045677
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1088765{col 26}{space 2} .0660636{col 37}{space 1}   -1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.099{col 54}{space 4}-.2383588{col 67}{space 3} .0206058
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.107524{col 26}{space 2} 1.246332{col 37}{space 1}    1.69{col 46}{space 3}0.091{col 54}{space 4}-.3352407{col 67}{space 3} 4.550289
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .004377{col 26}{space 2} .0010051{col 37}{space 1}    4.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .002407{col 67}{space 3} .0063469
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3234216{col 26}{space 2} .4926063{col 37}{space 1}   -0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.511{col 54}{space 4}-1.288912{col 67}{space 3}  .642069
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122141{col 26}{space 2} .4595315{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}  .221476{col 67}{space 3} 2.022806
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0220257{col 26}{space 2}  .097479{col 37}{space 1}    0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.821{col 54}{space 4}-.1690296{col 67}{space 3} .2130809
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4514461{col 26}{space 2} .4218935{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.285{col 54}{space 4}-1.278342{col 67}{space 3} .3754499
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.673409{col 26}{space 2} 1.063695{col 37}{space 1}    1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.4113957{col 67}{space 3} 3.758213
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2136248{col 26}{space 2} .6663393{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.749{col 54}{space 4}-1.092376{col 67}{space 3} 1.519626
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5343783{col 26}{space 2} .4385082{col 37}{space 1}   -1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-1.393838{col 67}{space 3}  .325082
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0894872{col 26}{space 2} .5593816{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.873{col 54}{space 4}-1.006881{col 67}{space 3} 1.185855
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.260576{col 26}{space 2} .5613389{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}  .160372{col 67}{space 3}  2.36078
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2437537{col 26}{space 2} .1174485{col 37}{space 1}   -2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.4739486{col 67}{space 3}-.0135588
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103915{col 26}{space 2} .0050554{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0004832{col 67}{space 3} .0202999
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -3.41152{col 26}{space 2}  1.29577{col 37}{space 1}   -2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-5.951183{col 67}{space 3}-.8718581
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.004***        0.004***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.486***       -2.043** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.461***        0.370** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.054   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.78{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.154   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.369***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.494***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.607   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.840   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.077** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.043   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.269          -4.535***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.70{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.003***        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.790*         -2.089   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.102**         0.877   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.132**        -0.109*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.358   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.046*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                       -0.161** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.047   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.619   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.402   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.020   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.594   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        1.050           2.108*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.25{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.005***        0.004***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.076**         1.261** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.234**        -0.244** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.323   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.122** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.022   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.451   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        1.673   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.214   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.534   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.089   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.892***       -3.412***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          463             413   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.077           0.130   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A6: Re-running Table 1 Using Multinomial Probit**
. eststo M1: mprobit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                                                                                                                                      time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.19368}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.16015}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.06717}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.06679}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.06679}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       463
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}     92.77
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-458.06679{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}_2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0029699{col 26}{space 2} .0008928{col 37}{space 1}    3.33{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}   .00122{col 67}{space 3} .0047198
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.410031{col 26}{space 2} .4793786{col 37}{space 1}   -2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-2.349596{col 67}{space 3}-.4704663
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2540892{col 26}{space 2} .0848411{col 37}{space 1}    2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0878036{col 67}{space 3} .4203747
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0117879{col 26}{space 2} .0039884{col 37}{space 1}   -2.96{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0196049{col 67}{space 3}-.0039708
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1443651{col 26}{space 2} .5260157{col 37}{space 1}   -0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.784{col 54}{space 4}-1.175337{col 67}{space 3} .8866068
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}_1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0028543{col 26}{space 2} .0005982{col 37}{space 1}    4.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0016818{col 67}{space 3} .0040268
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.16025{col 26}{space 2}  1.10786{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-4.331615{col 67}{space 3} .0111152
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8345355{col 26}{space 2} .4167476{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4} .0177253{col 67}{space 3} 1.651346
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0985533{col 26}{space 2} .0462512{col 37}{space 1}   -2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-.1892041{col 67}{space 3}-.0079025
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7999486{col 26}{space 2} .8131569{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.325{col 54}{space 4}-.7938096{col 67}{space 3} 2.393707
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0035745{col 26}{space 2} .0007908{col 37}{space 1}    4.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0020245{col 67}{space 3} .0051244
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6317678{col 26}{space 2} .3404194{col 37}{space 1}    1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-.0354421{col 67}{space 3} 1.298978
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1404695{col 26}{space 2} .0654809{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.2688097{col 67}{space 3}-.0121293
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0063173{col 26}{space 2} .0027639{col 37}{space 1}    2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4}    .0009{col 67}{space 3} .0117345
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.98505{col 26}{space 2} .4105044{col 37}{space 1}   -4.84{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.789624{col 67}{space 3}-1.180477
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mprobit  CR_ThreatsSanct  US_NAT                      HighSal4 IOsupport lnGDP Dem TargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb  if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-397.89639}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.98236}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -393.762}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.76128}  
{res}{txt}Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.76128}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial probit regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    276.80
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-393.76128{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}_2           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0027497{col 26}{space 2} .0008624{col 37}{space 1}    3.19{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0010594{col 67}{space 3} .0044399
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5696579{col 26}{space 2} .4389264{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.194{col 54}{space 4}-1.429938{col 67}{space 3}  .290622
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1674003{col 26}{space 2} .4960802{col 37}{space 1}    0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.736{col 54}{space 4} -.804899{col 67}{space 3}   1.1397
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .218515{col 26}{space 2} .0831172{col 37}{space 1}    2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .0556084{col 67}{space 3} .3814216
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9252196{col 26}{space 2} .3121302{col 37}{space 1}   -2.96{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-1.536983{col 67}{space 3}-.3134557
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4248082{col 26}{space 2}  .886651{col 37}{space 1}    0.48{col 46}{space 3}0.632{col 54}{space 4}-1.312996{col 67}{space 3} 2.162612
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2685663{col 26}{space 2} .5078557{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.597{col 54}{space 4}-.7268126{col 67}{space 3} 1.263945
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5964978{col 26}{space 2} .3069531{col 37}{space 1}    1.94{col 46}{space 3}0.052{col 54}{space 4}-.0051192{col 67}{space 3} 1.198115
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4092089{col 26}{space 2} .4542308{col 37}{space 1}    0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.368{col 54}{space 4}-.4810671{col 67}{space 3} 1.299485
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.111631{col 26}{space 2} .5487835{col 37}{space 1}   -2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-2.187227{col 67}{space 3}-.0360351
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1963326{col 26}{space 2}  .099935{col 37}{space 1}    1.96{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4} .0004636{col 67}{space 3} .3922016
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0093449{col 26}{space 2}  .004639{col 37}{space 1}   -2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4}-.0184372{col 67}{space 3}-.0002526
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.889894{col 26}{space 2}  1.07318{col 37}{space 1}   -2.69{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}-4.993288{col 67}{space 3}-.7864998
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}_1           {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0026774{col 26}{space 2} .0005945{col 37}{space 1}    4.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0015122{col 67}{space 3} .0038426
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2878629{col 26}{space 2} .3707828{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.438{col 54}{space 4}-.4388581{col 67}{space 3} 1.014584
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8554894{col 26}{space 2} .4513264{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0290941{col 67}{space 3} 1.740073
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1217038{col 26}{space 2} .0546976{col 37}{space 1}   -2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4}-.2289091{col 67}{space 3}-.0144986
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0152913{col 26}{space 2} .2701756{col 37}{space 1}    0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.955{col 54}{space 4} -.514243{col 67}{space 3} .5448257
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5298636{col 26}{space 2} .7475396{col 37}{space 1}    0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.478{col 54}{space 4} -.935287{col 67}{space 3} 1.995014
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2725298{col 26}{space 2} .4041942{col 37}{space 1}   -0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.500{col 54}{space 4}-1.064736{col 67}{space 3} .5196762
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0475883{col 26}{space 2} .3097597{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.878{col 54}{space 4}-.5595296{col 67}{space 3} .6547062
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4100244{col 26}{space 2} .2808321{col 37}{space 1}   -1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.144{col 54}{space 4}-.9604451{col 67}{space 3} .1403963
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.674029{col 26}{space 2} 1.202361{col 37}{space 1}   -1.39{col 46}{space 3}0.164{col 54}{space 4}-4.030614{col 67}{space 3} .6825547
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6882104{col 26}{space 2} .4565584{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.132{col 54}{space 4}-.2066276{col 67}{space 3} 1.583048
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0839512{col 26}{space 2} .0509988{col 37}{space 1}   -1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.100{col 54}{space 4} -.183907{col 67}{space 3} .0160045
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.592789{col 26}{space 2}   .98863{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.3448901{col 67}{space 3} 3.530468
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 6}US_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .00335{col 26}{space 2} .0007483{col 37}{space 1}    4.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0018835{col 67}{space 3} .0048166
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2318298{col 26}{space 2}   .34308{col 37}{space 1}   -0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.499{col 54}{space 4}-.9042542{col 67}{space 3} .4405946
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8459417{col 26}{space 2} .3254958{col 37}{space 1}    2.60{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .2079817{col 67}{space 3} 1.483902
{txt}{space 7}lnGDP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0253977{col 26}{space 2} .0670024{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.705{col 54}{space 4}-.1059246{col 67}{space 3} .1567199
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3057337{col 26}{space 2} .2759295{col 37}{space 1}   -1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.268{col 54}{space 4}-.8465457{col 67}{space 3} .2350782
{txt}{space 6}TargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.164855{col 26}{space 2} .7180795{col 37}{space 1}    1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.105{col 54}{space 4}-.2425549{col 67}{space 3} 2.572265
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1699849{col 26}{space 2} .4412984{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.700{col 54}{space 4}-.6949441{col 67}{space 3} 1.034914
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3347478{col 26}{space 2} .2859987{col 37}{space 1}   -1.17{col 46}{space 3}0.242{col 54}{space 4} -.895295{col 67}{space 3} .2257993
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0431379{col 26}{space 2} .3454452{col 37}{space 1}    0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.901{col 54}{space 4}-.6339222{col 67}{space 3} .7201981
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7709066{col 26}{space 2} .3595619{col 37}{space 1}    2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} .0661782{col 67}{space 3} 1.475635
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1512602{col 26}{space 2} .0706035{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.2896406{col 67}{space 3}-.0128798
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0065011{col 26}{space 2} .0030023{col 37}{space 1}    2.17{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} .0006168{col 67}{space 3} .0123854
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.443828{col 26}{space 2} .8989583{col 37}{space 1}   -2.72{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}-4.205754{col 67}{space 3}-.6819022
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}_2                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.003***        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -1.410***       -1.112** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.254***        0.196** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.012***       -0.009** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.570   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.167   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.219***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.925***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.425   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.89{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.269   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.51{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.596*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.409   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -0.144          -2.890***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}_1                                          {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.003***        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.160*         -1.674   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.20{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.835**         0.688   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.099**        -0.084*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.288   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.855*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                       -0.122** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.015   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.27{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.530   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.75{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.273   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.048   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.31{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.410   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.800           1.593   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.81{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.99{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}US_NAT      {res}        0.004***        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.632*          0.771** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.140**        -0.151** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.006**         0.007** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.232   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.846***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.33{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnGDP       {res}                        0.025   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.306   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}TargTD      {res}                        1.165   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.170   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.335   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.29{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.043   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -1.985***       -2.444***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          463             413   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}                                {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A7: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats with High Leverage Egypt Cases Excluded**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                                                  time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 &caseid!=1995021701 & caseid!=1960050301, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-490.38596}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -465.2538}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.28953}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-456.25201}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.67981}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.19545}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.34345}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.26801}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.26762}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.26762}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       461
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    133.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-453.26762{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0757

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0004626{col 26}{space 2} .0004766{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.332{col 54}{space 4}-.0004716{col 67}{space 3} .0013968
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.388968{col 26}{space 2} .8339891{col 37}{space 1}   -2.86{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-4.023557{col 67}{space 3}-.7543795
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4430249{col 26}{space 2} .1501667{col 37}{space 1}    2.95{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .1487037{col 67}{space 3} .7373462
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0210535{col 26}{space 2} .0072566{col 37}{space 1}   -2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-.0352761{col 67}{space 3}-.0068309
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2013932{col 26}{space 2} .8659501{col 37}{space 1}    0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.816{col 54}{space 4}-1.495838{col 67}{space 3} 1.898624
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012204{col 26}{space 2} .0002684{col 37}{space 1}    4.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006943{col 67}{space 3} .0017466
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.714186{col 26}{space 2}  1.47262{col 37}{space 1}   -1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.065{col 54}{space 4}-5.600469{col 67}{space 3} .1720962
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.086821{col 26}{space 2}  .554806{col 37}{space 1}    1.96{col 46}{space 3}0.050{col 54}{space 4}-.0005788{col 67}{space 3} 2.174221
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1317015{col 26}{space 2} .0613944{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.2520323{col 67}{space 3}-.0113707
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .967259{col 26}{space 2} 1.064676{col 37}{space 1}    0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.364{col 54}{space 4}-1.119467{col 67}{space 3} 3.053985
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .001138{col 26}{space 2} .0003623{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0004279{col 67}{space 3} .0018481
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.056961{col 26}{space 2} .5272662{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4}  .023538{col 67}{space 3} 2.090383
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2331894{col 26}{space 2} .1079539{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.4447752{col 67}{space 3}-.0216037
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .010385{col 26}{space 2} .0046255{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0013192{col 67}{space 3} .0194507
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.768513{col 26}{space 2} .6136316{col 37}{space 1}   -4.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.971208{col 67}{space 3}-1.565817
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 &caseid!=1995021701 & caseid!=1960050301, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-445.12227}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.45335}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.35168}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.62831}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.51314}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.57316}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.88434}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.80132}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.80103}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.80103}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       411
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    322.51
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-387.80103{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1288

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0004888{col 26}{space 2} .0005021{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.330{col 54}{space 4}-.0004953{col 67}{space 3} .0014728
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.020449{col 26}{space 2} .8145859{col 37}{space 1}   -1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.210{col 54}{space 4}-2.617008{col 67}{space 3} .5761097
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0257923{col 26}{space 2} .7585557{col 37}{space 1}   -0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.973{col 54}{space 4}-1.512534{col 67}{space 3}  1.46095
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4156733{col 26}{space 2} .1145175{col 37}{space 1}    3.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1912231{col 67}{space 3} .6401234
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.503304{col 26}{space 2} .5195949{col 37}{space 1}   -2.89{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-2.521692{col 67}{space 3}-.4849171
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7349395{col 26}{space 2} 1.367142{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.591{col 54}{space 4}-1.944609{col 67}{space 3} 3.414488
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9299302{col 26}{space 2} .9483073{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-.9287179{col 67}{space 3} 2.788578
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.237542{col 26}{space 2} .4821612{col 37}{space 1}    2.57{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .2925238{col 67}{space 3} 2.182561
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.684927{col 26}{space 2} .9697338{col 37}{space 1}    1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.082{col 54}{space 4}-.2157166{col 67}{space 3}  3.58557
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.893201{col 26}{space 2} .9173217{col 37}{space 1}   -2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4}-3.691119{col 67}{space 3}-.0952837
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3432341{col 26}{space 2} .1663335{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .0172265{col 67}{space 3} .6692417
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0161883{col 26}{space 2} .0077847{col 37}{space 1}   -2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.0314461{col 67}{space 3}-.0009306
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.024993{col 26}{space 2} 1.676109{col 37}{space 1}   -3.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-9.310106{col 67}{space 3} -2.73988
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010907{col 26}{space 2} .0002981{col 37}{space 1}    3.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005065{col 67}{space 3} .0016749
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2539052{col 26}{space 2} .4673126{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.587{col 54}{space 4}-.6620107{col 67}{space 3} 1.169821
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.036663{col 26}{space 2} .5722019{col 37}{space 1}    1.81{col 46}{space 3}0.070{col 54}{space 4}-.0848324{col 67}{space 3} 2.158158
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1449524{col 26}{space 2} .0731812{col 37}{space 1}   -1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4}-.2883849{col 67}{space 3}  -.00152
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0302601{col 26}{space 2} .3446575{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.930{col 54}{space 4}-.7057765{col 67}{space 3} .6452562
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .544899{col 26}{space 2} .9083275{col 37}{space 1}    0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.549{col 54}{space 4} -1.23539{col 67}{space 3} 2.325188
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4840162{col 26}{space 2} .5269616{col 37}{space 1}   -0.92{col 46}{space 3}0.358{col 54}{space 4}-1.516842{col 67}{space 3} .5488095
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0829908{col 26}{space 2} .3969468{col 37}{space 1}    0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.834{col 54}{space 4}-.6950107{col 67}{space 3} .8609923
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6498799{col 26}{space 2}  .390576{col 37}{space 1}   -1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.096{col 54}{space 4}-1.415395{col 67}{space 3} .1156349
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.110641{col 26}{space 2} 1.565221{col 37}{space 1}   -1.35{col 46}{space 3}0.178{col 54}{space 4}-5.178418{col 67}{space 3} .9571361
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8887178{col 26}{space 2} .5917553{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.133{col 54}{space 4}-.2711013{col 67}{space 3} 2.048537
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1103652{col 26}{space 2} .0655154{col 37}{space 1}   -1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.092{col 54}{space 4} -.238773{col 67}{space 3} .0180426
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.115758{col 26}{space 2} 1.313499{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.4586527{col 67}{space 3} 4.690168
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011168{col 26}{space 2} .0003833{col 37}{space 1}    2.91{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .0003656{col 67}{space 3} .0018679
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4098938{col 26}{space 2} .4856658{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.399{col 54}{space 4}-1.361781{col 67}{space 3} .5419936
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.126782{col 26}{space 2} .4485392{col 37}{space 1}    2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .2476614{col 67}{space 3} 2.005903
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0195681{col 26}{space 2} .0890673{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.826{col 54}{space 4}-.1550007{col 67}{space 3} .1941368
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4321885{col 26}{space 2} .4051266{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.286{col 54}{space 4}-1.226222{col 67}{space 3}  .361845
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.725319{col 26}{space 2} 1.052842{col 37}{space 1}    1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.101{col 54}{space 4}-.3382129{col 67}{space 3}  3.78885
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1698475{col 26}{space 2} .6589389{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.797{col 54}{space 4}-1.121649{col 67}{space 3} 1.461344
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5336915{col 26}{space 2} .4381189{col 37}{space 1}   -1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-1.392389{col 67}{space 3} .3250058
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2062122{col 26}{space 2}  .597321{col 37}{space 1}    0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.730{col 54}{space 4}-.9645154{col 67}{space 3}  1.37694
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.223707{col 26}{space 2} .5505275{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .1446933{col 67}{space 3} 2.302722
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2401326{col 26}{space 2} .1147641{col 37}{space 1}   -2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.4650661{col 67}{space 3}-.0151992
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0102924{col 26}{space 2} .0049395{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0006112{col 67}{space 3} .0199736
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.348473{col 26}{space 2} 1.312315{col 37}{space 1}   -2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4}-5.920563{col 67}{space 3}-.7763824
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.389***       -1.893** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.443***        0.343** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.021***       -0.016** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.020   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.81{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.026   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.416***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.503***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.735   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.930   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.95{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.238** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.685*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.97{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.201          -6.025***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.68{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.714*         -2.111   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.47{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.087*          0.889   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.132**        -0.110*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.254   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.037*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.145** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.030   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.545   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.484   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.083   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.650*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.967           2.116   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.31{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.057**         1.224** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.233**        -0.240** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.410   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.127** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.020   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.432   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.725   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.170   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.534   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.206   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.769***       -3.348** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.61{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.31{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          461             411   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.076           0.129   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Figure A1: Marginal Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on U.S. Backing Down with All Episodes**
. 
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   c.realUS_NAT  i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.38707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.45019}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.65932}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.54048}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.60822}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.92438}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.84146}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -392.8412}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.45
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -392.8412{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1279

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     CR_ThreatsSanct{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011051{col 34}{space 2}  .000408{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} .0003055{col 75}{space 3} .0019047
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.225414{col 34}{space 2} .8689656{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-2.928556{col 75}{space 3} .4777271
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1035966{col 34}{space 2} .7564814{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-1.586273{col 75}{space 3}  1.37908
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3923181{col 34}{space 2} .1121861{col 45}{space 1}    3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1724373{col 75}{space 3} .6121989
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.494532{col 34}{space 2} .4690527{col 45}{space 1}   -3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2.413859{col 75}{space 3}-.5752059
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .417658{col 34}{space 2} 1.337874{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.755{col 62}{space 4}-2.204526{col 75}{space 3} 3.039842
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5554522{col 34}{space 2} .8620044{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-1.134045{col 75}{space 3}  2.24495
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.142637{col 34}{space 2} .4631363{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}  .234907{col 75}{space 3} 2.050368
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.437616{col 34}{space 2} .8417872{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.088{col 62}{space 4}-.2122569{col 75}{space 3} 3.087488
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.054573{col 34}{space 2} .9326388{col 45}{space 1}   -2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-3.882511{col 75}{space 3}-.2266342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3714295{col 34}{space 2} .1718694{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .0345716{col 75}{space 3} .7082874
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0177001{col 34}{space 2} .0081767{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-.0337261{col 75}{space 3}-.0016741
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5.30106{col 34}{space 2} 1.675946{col 45}{space 1}   -3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-8.585854{col 75}{space 3}-2.016267
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011536{col 34}{space 2} .0002866{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0005918{col 75}{space 3} .0017154
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2646658{col 34}{space 2} .4666848{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4}-.6500195{col 75}{space 3} 1.179351
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.05486{col 34}{space 2} .5749128{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-.0719487{col 75}{space 3} 2.181668
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1438127{col 34}{space 2} .0730292{col 45}{space 1}   -1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-.2869472{col 75}{space 3}-.0006781
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0210054{col 34}{space 2} .3454253{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-.6980265{col 75}{space 3} .6560157
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5275707{col 34}{space 2} .9075927{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-1.251278{col 75}{space 3}  2.30642
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4393656{col 34}{space 2} .5225177{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-1.463481{col 75}{space 3} .5847502
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0976577{col 34}{space 2} .3968342{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.806{col 62}{space 4} -.680123{col 75}{space 3} .8754384
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6116335{col 34}{space 2} .3822957{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-1.360919{col 75}{space 3} .1376523
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.089859{col 34}{space 2} 1.568099{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.183{col 62}{space 4}-5.163277{col 75}{space 3} .9835583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8826971{col 34}{space 2}  .592371{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-.2783287{col 75}{space 3} 2.043723
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1098177{col 34}{space 2} .0655436{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-.2382809{col 75}{space 3} .0186454
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.052855{col 34}{space 2} 1.320354{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.120{col 62}{space 4}-.5349918{col 75}{space 3} 4.640701
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                   {col 22}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 34}{space 2} .0003706{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .0004601{col 75}{space 3} .0019131
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4099916{col 34}{space 2} .4853992{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.398{col 62}{space 4}-1.361357{col 75}{space 3} .5413734
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.14389{col 34}{space 2} .4517195{col 45}{space 1}    2.53{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}  .258536{col 75}{space 3} 2.029244
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0190415{col 34}{space 2} .0893684{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.831{col 62}{space 4}-.1561174{col 75}{space 3} .1942003
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.425325{col 34}{space 2}  .404965{col 45}{space 1}   -1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.294{col 62}{space 4}-1.219042{col 75}{space 3} .3683919
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.721407{col 34}{space 2} 1.050755{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.3380351{col 75}{space 3}  3.78085
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2156414{col 34}{space 2} .6631693{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.745{col 62}{space 4}-1.084146{col 75}{space 3} 1.515429
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5322241{col 34}{space 2} .4366955{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-1.388132{col 75}{space 3} .3236833
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2346337{col 34}{space 2} .5941621{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.693{col 62}{space 4}-.9299027{col 75}{space 3}  1.39917
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.231817{col 34}{space 2} .5524398{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} .1490551{col 75}{space 3} 2.314579
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2412756{col 34}{space 2} .1150905{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-.4668489{col 75}{space 3}-.0157023
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0103427{col 34}{space 2}  .004952{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}  .000637{col 75}{space 3} .0200485
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.373633{col 34}{space 2} 1.310019{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-5.941224{col 75}{space 3}-.8060429
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(500)6300))  pr (out(-2))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==-2), predict(out(-2))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}6200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}realUS_NAT   {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .00004{col 26}{space 2} .0000153{col 37}{space 1}    2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} 9.98e-06{col 67}{space 3}   .00007
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000445{col 26}{space 2} .0000263{col 37}{space 1}    1.69{col 46}{space 3}0.090{col 54}{space 4}-6.96e-06{col 67}{space 3}  .000096
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000438{col 26}{space 2} .0000366{col 37}{space 1}    1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.231{col 54}{space 4}-.0000279{col 67}{space 3} .0001154
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000038{col 26}{space 2} .0000439{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.388{col 54}{space 4}-.0000482{col 67}{space 3} .0001241
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000292{col 26}{space 2} .0000475{col 37}{space 1}    0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.539{col 54}{space 4}-.0000639{col 67}{space 3} .0001223
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000199{col 26}{space 2} .0000478{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.678{col 54}{space 4}-.0000738{col 67}{space 3} .0001136
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000118{col 26}{space 2} .0000462{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.799{col 54}{space 4}-.0000789{col 67}{space 3} .0001024
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.57e-06{col 26}{space 2}  .000044{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.899{col 54}{space 4}-.0000807{col 67}{space 3} .0000918
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000418{col 37}{space 1}    0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.975{col 54}{space 4}-.0000806{col 67}{space 3} .0000832
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.47e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000398{col 37}{space 1}   -0.04{col 46}{space 3}0.971{col 54}{space 4}-.0000795{col 67}{space 3} .0000766
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.17e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000381{col 37}{space 1}   -0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.934{col 54}{space 4}-.0000779{col 67}{space 3} .0000715
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.17e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000367{col 37}{space 1}   -0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.909{col 54}{space 4} -.000076{col 67}{space 3} .0000677
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.73e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000354{col 37}{space 1}   -0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.894{col 54}{space 4}-.0000741{col 67}{space 3} .0000646
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.03e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000342{col 37}{space 1}   -0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.883{col 54}{space 4}-.0000721{col 67}{space 3} .0000621
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot,  yline(0) 

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: realUS_NAT{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure A1.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure A1.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure A1.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Appendix Figure A2: Marginal Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on U.S. Backing Down, Excluding the Egypt High Leverage Episodes**
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   c.realUS_NAT  i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1 &caseid!=1995021701 & caseid!=1960050301, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-445.12227}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.45335}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.35168}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.62831}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.51314}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.57316}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.88434}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.80132}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.80103}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-387.80103}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       411
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    322.51
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-387.80103{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1288

{txt}{ralign 86:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}     CR_ThreatsSanct{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0004888{col 34}{space 2} .0005021{col 45}{space 1}    0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.330{col 62}{space 4}-.0004953{col 75}{space 3} .0014728
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.020449{col 34}{space 2} .8145859{col 45}{space 1}   -1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.210{col 62}{space 4}-2.617008{col 75}{space 3} .5761097
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0257923{col 34}{space 2} .7585557{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.973{col 62}{space 4}-1.512534{col 75}{space 3}  1.46095
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4156733{col 34}{space 2} .1145175{col 45}{space 1}    3.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1912231{col 75}{space 3} .6401234
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.503304{col 34}{space 2} .5195949{col 45}{space 1}   -2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-2.521692{col 75}{space 3}-.4849171
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7349395{col 34}{space 2} 1.367142{col 45}{space 1}    0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.591{col 62}{space 4}-1.944609{col 75}{space 3} 3.414488
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9299302{col 34}{space 2} .9483073{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-.9287179{col 75}{space 3} 2.788578
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.237542{col 34}{space 2} .4821612{col 45}{space 1}    2.57{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} .2925238{col 75}{space 3} 2.182561
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.684927{col 34}{space 2} .9697338{col 45}{space 1}    1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-.2157166{col 75}{space 3}  3.58557
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.893201{col 34}{space 2} .9173217{col 45}{space 1}   -2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-3.691119{col 75}{space 3}-.0952837
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3432341{col 34}{space 2} .1663335{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} .0172265{col 75}{space 3} .6692417
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0161883{col 34}{space 2} .0077847{col 45}{space 1}   -2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4}-.0314461{col 75}{space 3}-.0009306
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.024993{col 34}{space 2} 1.676109{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-9.310106{col 75}{space 3} -2.73988
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                   {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0010907{col 34}{space 2} .0002981{col 45}{space 1}    3.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .0005065{col 75}{space 3} .0016749
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2539052{col 34}{space 2} .4673126{col 45}{space 1}    0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.587{col 62}{space 4}-.6620107{col 75}{space 3} 1.169821
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.036663{col 34}{space 2} .5722019{col 45}{space 1}    1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.070{col 62}{space 4}-.0848324{col 75}{space 3} 2.158158
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1449524{col 34}{space 2} .0731812{col 45}{space 1}   -1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4}-.2883849{col 75}{space 3}  -.00152
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0302601{col 34}{space 2} .3446575{col 45}{space 1}   -0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.930{col 62}{space 4}-.7057765{col 75}{space 3} .6452562
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .544899{col 34}{space 2} .9083275{col 45}{space 1}    0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.549{col 62}{space 4} -1.23539{col 75}{space 3} 2.325188
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4840162{col 34}{space 2} .5269616{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.358{col 62}{space 4}-1.516842{col 75}{space 3} .5488095
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0829908{col 34}{space 2} .3969468{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.834{col 62}{space 4}-.6950107{col 75}{space 3} .8609923
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6498799{col 34}{space 2}  .390576{col 45}{space 1}   -1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.096{col 62}{space 4}-1.415395{col 75}{space 3} .1156349
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.110641{col 34}{space 2} 1.565221{col 45}{space 1}   -1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-5.178418{col 75}{space 3} .9571361
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8887178{col 34}{space 2} .5917553{col 45}{space 1}    1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-.2711013{col 75}{space 3} 2.048537
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1103652{col 34}{space 2} .0655154{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.092{col 62}{space 4} -.238773{col 75}{space 3} .0180426
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.115758{col 34}{space 2} 1.313499{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-.4586527{col 75}{space 3} 4.690168
{txt}{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                   {col 22}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 10}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0011168{col 34}{space 2} .0003833{col 45}{space 1}    2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} .0003656{col 75}{space 3} .0018679
{txt}{space 10}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4098938{col 34}{space 2} .4856658{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.399{col 62}{space 4}-1.361781{col 75}{space 3} .5419936
{txt}{space 9}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.126782{col 34}{space 2} .4485392{col 45}{space 1}    2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .2476614{col 75}{space 3} 2.005903
{txt}{space 11}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0195681{col 34}{space 2} .0890673{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.826{col 62}{space 4}-.1550007{col 75}{space 3} .1941368
{txt}{space 15}1.Dem {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4321885{col 34}{space 2} .4051266{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.286{col 62}{space 4}-1.226222{col 75}{space 3}  .361845
{txt}{space 10}realTargTD {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.725319{col 34}{space 2} 1.052842{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-.3382129{col 75}{space 3}  3.78885
{txt}{space 8}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1698475{col 34}{space 2} .6589389{col 45}{space 1}    0.26{col 54}{space 3}0.797{col 62}{space 4}-1.121649{col 75}{space 3} 1.461344
{txt}{space 13}1.US_DP {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5336915{col 34}{space 2} .4381189{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-1.392389{col 75}{space 3} .3250058
{txt}{space 12}1.PostCW {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2062122{col 34}{space 2}  .597321{col 45}{space 1}    0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.730{col 62}{space 4}-.9645154{col 75}{space 3}  1.37694
{txt}{space 16}time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.223707{col 34}{space 2} .5505275{col 45}{space 1}    2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} .1446933{col 75}{space 3} 2.302722
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2401326{col 34}{space 2} .1147641{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-.4650661{col 75}{space 3}-.0151992
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0102924{col 34}{space 2} .0049395{col 45}{space 1}    2.08{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} .0006112{col 75}{space 3} .0199736
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.348473{col 34}{space 2} 1.312315{col 45}{space 1}   -2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-5.920563{col 75}{space 3}-.7763824
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins if threatevents==1, dydx(c.realUS_NAT) at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(500)6300))  pr (out(-2))
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       411
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==-2), predict(out(-2))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:realUS_NAT}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}6200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}realUS_NAT   {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000123{col 26}{space 2} .0000239{col 37}{space 1}    0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.608{col 54}{space 4}-.0000346{col 67}{space 3} .0000591
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.40e-06{col 26}{space 2}  .000027{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.784{col 54}{space 4}-.0000455{col 67}{space 3} .0000603
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.33e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000275{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.961{col 54}{space 4}-.0000525{col 67}{space 3} .0000552
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.58e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000254{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.857{col 54}{space 4}-.0000544{col 67}{space 3} .0000452
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.15e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000213{col 37}{space 1}   -0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.668{col 54}{space 4}-.0000509{col 67}{space 3} .0000326
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000119{col 26}{space 2} .0000162{col 37}{space 1}   -0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.463{col 54}{space 4}-.0000437{col 67}{space 3} .0000199
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000131{col 26}{space 2} .0000113{col 37}{space 1}   -1.16{col 46}{space 3}0.245{col 54}{space 4}-.0000353{col 67}{space 3} 8.99e-06
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000133{col 26}{space 2} 7.55e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.078{col 54}{space 4}-.0000281{col 67}{space 3} 1.50e-06
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000128{col 26}{space 2} 5.70e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} -.000024{col 67}{space 3}-1.65e-06
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000012{col 26}{space 2} 5.55e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4}-.0000229{col 67}{space 3}-1.14e-06
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000011{col 26}{space 2} 6.12e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.071{col 54}{space 4} -.000023{col 67}{space 3} 9.61e-07
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.92e-06{col 26}{space 2} 6.90e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.44{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}-.0000234{col 67}{space 3} 3.61e-06
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.75e-06{col 26}{space 2} 7.82e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.263{col 54}{space 4}-.0000241{col 67}{space 3} 6.58e-06
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.56e-06{col 26}{space 2} 8.76e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.388{col 54}{space 4}-.0000247{col 67}{space 3} 9.61e-06
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot,  yline(0) 

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: realUS_NAT{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure A2.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure A2.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure A2.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A8: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Using Only the Public Aid Threat Episodes**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                                                  time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & aidthreatonly==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-354.78525}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-333.04895}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-319.49605}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-317.25227}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -316.9387}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-316.21382}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-315.92669}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-315.91402}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-315.91396}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-315.91396}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       359
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    121.37
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-315.91396{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1096

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:94} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012748{col 26}{space 2} .0004015{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0004879{col 67}{space 3} .0020617
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.712798{col 26}{space 2} 1.350815{col 37}{space 1}   -2.75{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}-6.360346{col 67}{space 3}-1.065249
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7030047{col 26}{space 2} .2525908{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .2079358{col 67}{space 3} 1.198074
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0342997{col 26}{space 2} .0129193{col 37}{space 1}   -2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} -.059621{col 67}{space 3}-.0089784
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9797484{col 26}{space 2} 1.241381{col 37}{space 1}    0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.430{col 54}{space 4}-1.453313{col 67}{space 3}  3.41281
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0017518{col 26}{space 2} .0004007{col 37}{space 1}    4.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0009665{col 67}{space 3} .0025371
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5174812{col 26}{space 2} 1.478101{col 37}{space 1}   -0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.726{col 54}{space 4}-3.414506{col 67}{space 3} 2.379543
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4237748{col 26}{space 2}  .527341{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.422{col 54}{space 4}-.6097946{col 67}{space 3} 1.457344
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0686944{col 26}{space 2} .0545625{col 37}{space 1}   -1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.208{col 54}{space 4} -.175635{col 67}{space 3} .0382461
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.240529{col 26}{space 2} 1.124807{col 37}{space 1}   -1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-3.445109{col 67}{space 3} .9640518
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .001727{col 26}{space 2}  .000419{col 37}{space 1}    4.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0009059{col 67}{space 3} .0025482
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.383529{col 26}{space 2} .5944591{col 37}{space 1}    2.33{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .2184101{col 67}{space 3} 2.548647
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2615748{col 26}{space 2}  .109412{col 37}{space 1}   -2.39{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4}-.4760185{col 67}{space 3}-.0471312
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0111038{col 26}{space 2} .0045352{col 37}{space 1}    2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .0022149{col 67}{space 3} .0199927
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.671639{col 26}{space 2} .8255713{col 37}{space 1}   -4.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-5.289729{col 67}{space 3}-2.053549
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & aidthreatonly==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-315.56761}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.64103}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-267.06228}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -265.5014}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -265.3084}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-265.21482}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.72094}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.63805}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.63658}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.63658}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       311
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}   6518.09
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-264.63658{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1614

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:84} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0019282{col 26}{space 2} .0009102{col 37}{space 1}    2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4} .0001442{col 67}{space 3} .0037122
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -16.3429{col 26}{space 2}  2.30126{col 37}{space 1}   -7.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-20.85329{col 67}{space 3}-11.83252
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .606262{col 26}{space 2} 1.300782{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.641{col 54}{space 4}-1.943224{col 67}{space 3} 3.155749
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2079596{col 26}{space 2} .1588249{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.190{col 54}{space 4}-.1033314{col 67}{space 3} .5192506
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7218844{col 26}{space 2} .7155385{col 37}{space 1}   -1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.313{col 54}{space 4}-2.124314{col 67}{space 3} .6805453
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.016044{col 26}{space 2} 1.691195{col 37}{space 1}   -0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.548{col 54}{space 4}-4.330725{col 67}{space 3} 2.298636
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8767558{col 26}{space 2} 1.359146{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.519{col 54}{space 4}-1.787122{col 67}{space 3} 3.540634
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.788323{col 26}{space 2} .6169742{col 37}{space 1}    2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}  .579076{col 67}{space 3}  2.99757
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.124314{col 26}{space 2} 1.275433{col 37}{space 1}    0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.378{col 54}{space 4}-1.375488{col 67}{space 3} 3.624117
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.253714{col 26}{space 2} 1.391227{col 37}{space 1}   -2.34{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4}-5.980469{col 67}{space 3} -.526959
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .590209{col 26}{space 2} .2531916{col 37}{space 1}    2.33{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .0939624{col 67}{space 3} 1.086455
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0276102{col 26}{space 2} .0121945{col 37}{space 1}   -2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}-.0515111{col 67}{space 3}-.0037094
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.576496{col 26}{space 2} 2.076941{col 37}{space 1}   -1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.215{col 54}{space 4}-6.647226{col 67}{space 3} 1.494233
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0014653{col 26}{space 2} .0004387{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0006055{col 67}{space 3}  .002325
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4596894{col 26}{space 2} .6509738{col 37}{space 1}    0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.480{col 54}{space 4}-.8161958{col 67}{space 3} 1.735575
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1233425{col 26}{space 2} 1.346354{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.927{col 54}{space 4}-2.762148{col 67}{space 3} 2.515463
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2000048{col 26}{space 2} .0890875{col 37}{space 1}   -2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} -.374613{col 67}{space 3}-.0253965
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2218757{col 26}{space 2}  .378943{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.558{col 54}{space 4}-.5208388{col 67}{space 3} .9645903
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8518752{col 26}{space 2} 1.145129{col 37}{space 1}   -0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.457{col 54}{space 4}-3.096287{col 67}{space 3} 1.392537
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5535443{col 26}{space 2} .7325417{col 37}{space 1}   -0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.450{col 54}{space 4}  -1.9893{col 67}{space 3}  .882211
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5412595{col 26}{space 2}  .434525{col 37}{space 1}    1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.213{col 54}{space 4}-.3103939{col 67}{space 3} 1.392913
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9365006{col 26}{space 2} .6336641{col 37}{space 1}   -1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.139{col 54}{space 4}-2.178459{col 67}{space 3} .3054582
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1511352{col 26}{space 2} 1.596197{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.925{col 54}{space 4}-3.279625{col 67}{space 3} 2.977354
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3091314{col 26}{space 2} .5669154{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.586{col 54}{space 4}-.8020024{col 67}{space 3} 1.420265
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0564457{col 26}{space 2} .0584568{col 37}{space 1}   -0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.334{col 54}{space 4} -.171019{col 67}{space 3} .0581275
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9419768{col 26}{space 2}  1.49111{col 37}{space 1}    0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.528{col 54}{space 4}-1.980544{col 67}{space 3} 3.864498
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0017364{col 26}{space 2}  .000546{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0006662{col 67}{space 3} .0028065
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2246339{col 26}{space 2} .8156829{col 37}{space 1}   -0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.783{col 54}{space 4}-1.823343{col 67}{space 3} 1.374075
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.907566{col 26}{space 2} .7894435{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .3602851{col 67}{space 3} 3.454847
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2522533{col 26}{space 2} .1150957{col 37}{space 1}   -2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}-.4778367{col 67}{space 3}-.0266698
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.371314{col 26}{space 2} .6272714{col 37}{space 1}   -0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.554{col 54}{space 4}-1.600743{col 67}{space 3} .8581153
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.465076{col 26}{space 2} .9983045{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .5084348{col 67}{space 3} 4.421717
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.234895{col 26}{space 2} .9425244{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.190{col 54}{space 4}-.6124191{col 67}{space 3} 3.082209
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9896726{col 26}{space 2} .7385097{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.180{col 54}{space 4}-2.437125{col 67}{space 3} .4577799
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.109729{col 26}{space 2} 1.247273{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.374{col 54}{space 4}-1.334881{col 67}{space 3} 3.554339
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.390127{col 26}{space 2} .5868426{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .2399369{col 67}{space 3} 2.540318
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2236393{col 26}{space 2} .1011063{col 37}{space 1}   -2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-.4218041{col 67}{space 3}-.0254745
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .009395{col 26}{space 2}  .004226{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .0011122{col 67}{space 3} .0176777
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.778423{col 26}{space 2} 1.795867{col 37}{space 1}   -0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.322{col 54}{space 4}-5.298258{col 67}{space 3} 1.741412
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.002** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -3.713***       -3.254** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.35{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.703***        0.590** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.25{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.25{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.034***       -0.028** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                      -16.343***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.606   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.208   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.722   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                       -1.016   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.69{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.877   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.788***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.124   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.28{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.980          -2.576   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.24{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.08{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -0.517          -0.151   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.424           0.309   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.069          -0.056   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.460   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.123   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.200** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.222   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                       -0.852   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.15{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.554   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.73{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.541   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.937   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -1.241           0.942   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.49{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002***        0.002***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.384**         1.390** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.262**        -0.224** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.011**         0.009** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.225   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.82{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.908** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.252** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.371   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        2.465** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        1.235   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.990   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.110   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.25{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.672***       -1.778   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.80{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          359             311   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.110           0.161   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                             HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & aidthreatonly==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-315.56761}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-277.64103}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-267.06228}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -265.5014}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -265.3084}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-265.21482}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.72094}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.63805}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.63658}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-264.63658}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       311
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}   6518.09
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-264.63658{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1614

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:84} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0019282{col 26}{space 2} .0009102{col 37}{space 1}    2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4} .0001442{col 67}{space 3} .0037122
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -16.3429{col 26}{space 2}  2.30126{col 37}{space 1}   -7.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-20.85329{col 67}{space 3}-11.83252
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .606262{col 26}{space 2} 1.300782{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.641{col 54}{space 4}-1.943224{col 67}{space 3} 3.155749
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2079596{col 26}{space 2} .1588249{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.190{col 54}{space 4}-.1033314{col 67}{space 3} .5192506
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7218844{col 26}{space 2} .7155385{col 37}{space 1}   -1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.313{col 54}{space 4}-2.124314{col 67}{space 3} .6805453
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.016044{col 26}{space 2} 1.691195{col 37}{space 1}   -0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.548{col 54}{space 4}-4.330725{col 67}{space 3} 2.298636
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8767558{col 26}{space 2} 1.359146{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.519{col 54}{space 4}-1.787122{col 67}{space 3} 3.540634
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.788323{col 26}{space 2} .6169742{col 37}{space 1}    2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}  .579076{col 67}{space 3}  2.99757
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.124314{col 26}{space 2} 1.275433{col 37}{space 1}    0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.378{col 54}{space 4}-1.375488{col 67}{space 3} 3.624117
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.253714{col 26}{space 2} 1.391227{col 37}{space 1}   -2.34{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4}-5.980469{col 67}{space 3} -.526959
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .590209{col 26}{space 2} .2531916{col 37}{space 1}    2.33{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .0939624{col 67}{space 3} 1.086455
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0276102{col 26}{space 2} .0121945{col 37}{space 1}   -2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}-.0515111{col 67}{space 3}-.0037094
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.576496{col 26}{space 2} 2.076941{col 37}{space 1}   -1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.215{col 54}{space 4}-6.647226{col 67}{space 3} 1.494233
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0014653{col 26}{space 2} .0004387{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0006055{col 67}{space 3}  .002325
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4596894{col 26}{space 2} .6509738{col 37}{space 1}    0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.480{col 54}{space 4}-.8161958{col 67}{space 3} 1.735575
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1233425{col 26}{space 2} 1.346354{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.927{col 54}{space 4}-2.762148{col 67}{space 3} 2.515463
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2000048{col 26}{space 2} .0890875{col 37}{space 1}   -2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} -.374613{col 67}{space 3}-.0253965
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2218757{col 26}{space 2}  .378943{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.558{col 54}{space 4}-.5208388{col 67}{space 3} .9645903
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8518752{col 26}{space 2} 1.145129{col 37}{space 1}   -0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.457{col 54}{space 4}-3.096287{col 67}{space 3} 1.392537
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5535443{col 26}{space 2} .7325417{col 37}{space 1}   -0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.450{col 54}{space 4}  -1.9893{col 67}{space 3}  .882211
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5412595{col 26}{space 2}  .434525{col 37}{space 1}    1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.213{col 54}{space 4}-.3103939{col 67}{space 3} 1.392913
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9365006{col 26}{space 2} .6336641{col 37}{space 1}   -1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.139{col 54}{space 4}-2.178459{col 67}{space 3} .3054582
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1511352{col 26}{space 2} 1.596197{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.925{col 54}{space 4}-3.279625{col 67}{space 3} 2.977354
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3091314{col 26}{space 2} .5669154{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.586{col 54}{space 4}-.8020024{col 67}{space 3} 1.420265
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0564457{col 26}{space 2} .0584568{col 37}{space 1}   -0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.334{col 54}{space 4} -.171019{col 67}{space 3} .0581275
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9419768{col 26}{space 2}  1.49111{col 37}{space 1}    0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.528{col 54}{space 4}-1.980544{col 67}{space 3} 3.864498
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0017364{col 26}{space 2}  .000546{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0006662{col 67}{space 3} .0028065
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2246339{col 26}{space 2} .8156829{col 37}{space 1}   -0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.783{col 54}{space 4}-1.823343{col 67}{space 3} 1.374075
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.907566{col 26}{space 2} .7894435{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .3602851{col 67}{space 3} 3.454847
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2522533{col 26}{space 2} .1150957{col 37}{space 1}   -2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}-.4778367{col 67}{space 3}-.0266698
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.371314{col 26}{space 2} .6272714{col 37}{space 1}   -0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.554{col 54}{space 4}-1.600743{col 67}{space 3} .8581153
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.465076{col 26}{space 2} .9983045{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .5084348{col 67}{space 3} 4.421717
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.234895{col 26}{space 2} .9425244{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.190{col 54}{space 4}-.6124191{col 67}{space 3} 3.082209
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9896726{col 26}{space 2} .7385097{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.180{col 54}{space 4}-2.437125{col 67}{space 3} .4577799
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.109729{col 26}{space 2} 1.247273{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.374{col 54}{space 4}-1.334881{col 67}{space 3} 3.554339
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.390127{col 26}{space 2} .5868426{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .2399369{col 67}{space 3} 2.540318
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2236393{col 26}{space 2} .1011063{col 37}{space 1}   -2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-.4218041{col 67}{space 3}-.0254745
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .009395{col 26}{space 2}  .004226{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .0011122{col 67}{space 3} .0176777
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.778423{col 26}{space 2} 1.795867{col 37}{space 1}   -0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.322{col 54}{space 4}-5.298258{col 67}{space 3} 1.741412
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. listcoef
{res}
mlogit (N=311): Factor change in the odds of CR_ThreatsSanct 

Variable: realUS_NAT (sd=488.510)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0005{col 41}{space 2}  0.469{col 50}{space 2}  0.639{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   1.254
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0019{col 41}{space 2}  2.118{col 50}{space 2}  0.034{col 59}{space 2}   1.002{col 69}{space 2}   2.565
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0002{col 41}{space 2}  0.199{col 50}{space 2}  0.842{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   1.098
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0005{col 41}{space 2} -0.469{col 50}{space 2}  0.639{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.798
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0015{col 41}{space 2}  3.340{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   1.001{col 69}{space 2}   2.046
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0003{col 41}{space 2} -0.733{col 50}{space 2}  0.463{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.876
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0019{col 41}{space 2} -2.118{col 50}{space 2}  0.034{col 59}{space 2}   0.998{col 69}{space 2}   0.390
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0015{col 41}{space 2} -3.340{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.999{col 69}{space 2}   0.489
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0017{col 41}{space 2} -3.180{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.998{col 69}{space 2}   0.428
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0002{col 41}{space 2} -0.199{col 50}{space 2}  0.842{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.911
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0003{col 41}{space 2}  0.733{col 50}{space 2}  0.463{col 59}{space 2}   1.000{col 69}{space 2}   1.142
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0017{col 41}{space 2}  3.180{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   1.002{col 69}{space 2}   2.336
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: HighSal4 (sd=0.282)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1} -16.8026{col 41}{space 2} -7.194{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   0.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.009
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1} -16.3429{col 41}{space 2} -7.102{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   0.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.010
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1} -16.1183{col 41}{space 2} -7.512{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2}   0.000{col 69}{space 2}   0.011
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  16.8026{col 41}{space 2}  7.194{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2} 2.0e+07{col 69}{space 2} 114.282
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4597{col 41}{space 2}  0.706{col 50}{space 2}  0.480{col 59}{space 2}   1.584{col 69}{space 2}   1.138
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6843{col 41}{space 2}  0.755{col 50}{space 2}  0.450{col 59}{space 2}   1.982{col 69}{space 2}   1.213
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  16.3429{col 41}{space 2}  7.102{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2} 1.3e+07{col 69}{space 2} 100.386
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4597{col 41}{space 2} -0.706{col 50}{space 2}  0.480{col 59}{space 2}   0.631{col 69}{space 2}   0.878
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2246{col 41}{space 2}  0.275{col 50}{space 2}  0.783{col 59}{space 2}   1.252{col 69}{space 2}   1.065
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  16.1183{col 41}{space 2}  7.512{col 50}{space 2}  0.000{col 59}{space 2} 1.0e+07{col 69}{space 2}  94.224
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6843{col 41}{space 2} -0.755{col 50}{space 2}  0.450{col 59}{space 2}   0.504{col 69}{space 2}   0.824
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2246{col 41}{space 2} -0.275{col 50}{space 2}  0.783{col 59}{space 2}   0.799{col 69}{space 2}   0.939
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: IOsupport (sd=0.193)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.7296{col 41}{space 2}  0.634{col 50}{space 2}  0.526{col 59}{space 2}   2.074{col 69}{space 2}   1.151
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.6063{col 41}{space 2}  0.466{col 50}{space 2}  0.641{col 59}{space 2}   1.834{col 69}{space 2}   1.124
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.3013{col 41}{space 2} -1.311{col 50}{space 2}  0.190{col 59}{space 2}   0.272{col 69}{space 2}   0.778
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.7296{col 41}{space 2} -0.634{col 50}{space 2}  0.526{col 59}{space 2}   0.482{col 69}{space 2}   0.869
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1233{col 41}{space 2} -0.092{col 50}{space 2}  0.927{col 59}{space 2}   0.884{col 69}{space 2}   0.976
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.0309{col 41}{space 2} -1.868{col 50}{space 2}  0.062{col 59}{space 2}   0.131{col 69}{space 2}   0.676
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.6063{col 41}{space 2} -0.466{col 50}{space 2}  0.641{col 59}{space 2}   0.545{col 69}{space 2}   0.890
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1233{col 41}{space 2}  0.092{col 50}{space 2}  0.927{col 59}{space 2}   1.131{col 69}{space 2}   1.024
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.9076{col 41}{space 2} -2.416{col 50}{space 2}  0.016{col 59}{space 2}   0.148{col 69}{space 2}   0.692
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.3013{col 41}{space 2}  1.311{col 50}{space 2}  0.190{col 59}{space 2}   3.674{col 69}{space 2}   1.285
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.0309{col 41}{space 2}  1.868{col 50}{space 2}  0.062{col 59}{space 2}   7.621{col 69}{space 2}   1.480
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.9076{col 41}{space 2}  2.416{col 50}{space 2}  0.016{col 59}{space 2}   6.737{col 69}{space 2}   1.445
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: lnrealgdp (sd=2.005)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4080{col 41}{space 2}  2.355{col 50}{space 2}  0.019{col 59}{space 2}   1.504{col 69}{space 2}   2.266
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2080{col 41}{space 2}  1.309{col 50}{space 2}  0.190{col 59}{space 2}   1.231{col 69}{space 2}   1.517
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.4602{col 41}{space 2}  2.772{col 50}{space 2}  0.006{col 59}{space 2}   1.584{col 69}{space 2}   2.516
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4080{col 41}{space 2} -2.355{col 50}{space 2}  0.019{col 59}{space 2}   0.665{col 69}{space 2}   0.441
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2000{col 41}{space 2} -2.245{col 50}{space 2}  0.025{col 59}{space 2}   0.819{col 69}{space 2}   0.670
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0522{col 41}{space 2}  0.359{col 50}{space 2}  0.720{col 59}{space 2}   1.054{col 69}{space 2}   1.110
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2080{col 41}{space 2} -1.309{col 50}{space 2}  0.190{col 59}{space 2}   0.812{col 69}{space 2}   0.659
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2000{col 41}{space 2}  2.245{col 50}{space 2}  0.025{col 59}{space 2}   1.221{col 69}{space 2}   1.493
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2523{col 41}{space 2}  2.192{col 50}{space 2}  0.028{col 59}{space 2}   1.287{col 69}{space 2}   1.658
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.4602{col 41}{space 2} -2.772{col 50}{space 2}  0.006{col 59}{space 2}   0.631{col 69}{space 2}   0.397
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0522{col 41}{space 2} -0.359{col 50}{space 2}  0.720{col 59}{space 2}   0.949{col 69}{space 2}   0.901
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2523{col 41}{space 2} -2.192{col 50}{space 2}  0.028{col 59}{space 2}   0.777{col 69}{space 2}   0.603
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: Dem (sd=0.500)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.9438{col 41}{space 2} -1.011{col 50}{space 2}  0.312{col 59}{space 2}   0.389{col 69}{space 2}   0.624
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.7219{col 41}{space 2} -1.009{col 50}{space 2}  0.313{col 59}{space 2}   0.486{col 69}{space 2}   0.697
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3506{col 41}{space 2} -0.418{col 50}{space 2}  0.676{col 59}{space 2}   0.704{col 69}{space 2}   0.839
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.9438{col 41}{space 2}  1.011{col 50}{space 2}  0.312{col 59}{space 2}   2.570{col 69}{space 2}   1.604
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2219{col 41}{space 2}  0.586{col 50}{space 2}  0.558{col 59}{space 2}   1.248{col 69}{space 2}   1.117
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5932{col 41}{space 2}  0.748{col 50}{space 2}  0.454{col 59}{space 2}   1.810{col 69}{space 2}   1.346
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.7219{col 41}{space 2}  1.009{col 50}{space 2}  0.313{col 59}{space 2}   2.058{col 69}{space 2}   1.435
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2219{col 41}{space 2} -0.586{col 50}{space 2}  0.558{col 59}{space 2}   0.801{col 69}{space 2}   0.895
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3713{col 41}{space 2}  0.592{col 50}{space 2}  0.554{col 59}{space 2}   1.450{col 69}{space 2}   1.204
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3506{col 41}{space 2}  0.418{col 50}{space 2}  0.676{col 59}{space 2}   1.420{col 69}{space 2}   1.192
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5932{col 41}{space 2} -0.748{col 50}{space 2}  0.454{col 59}{space 2}   0.553{col 69}{space 2}   0.743
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3713{col 41}{space 2} -0.592{col 50}{space 2}  0.554{col 59}{space 2}   0.690{col 69}{space 2}   0.830
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: realTargTD (sd=0.165)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1642{col 41}{space 2} -0.091{col 50}{space 2}  0.928{col 59}{space 2}   0.849{col 69}{space 2}   0.973
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.0160{col 41}{space 2} -0.601{col 50}{space 2}  0.548{col 59}{space 2}   0.362{col 69}{space 2}   0.845
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -3.4811{col 41}{space 2} -1.939{col 50}{space 2}  0.052{col 59}{space 2}   0.031{col 69}{space 2}   0.563
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1642{col 41}{space 2}  0.091{col 50}{space 2}  0.928{col 59}{space 2}   1.178{col 69}{space 2}   1.028
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.8519{col 41}{space 2} -0.744{col 50}{space 2}  0.457{col 59}{space 2}   0.427{col 69}{space 2}   0.869
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -3.3170{col 41}{space 2} -2.351{col 50}{space 2}  0.019{col 59}{space 2}   0.036{col 69}{space 2}   0.578
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.0160{col 41}{space 2}  0.601{col 50}{space 2}  0.548{col 59}{space 2}   2.762{col 69}{space 2}   1.183
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.8519{col 41}{space 2}  0.744{col 50}{space 2}  0.457{col 59}{space 2}   2.344{col 69}{space 2}   1.151
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.4651{col 41}{space 2} -2.469{col 50}{space 2}  0.014{col 59}{space 2}   0.085{col 69}{space 2}   0.665
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   3.4811{col 41}{space 2}  1.939{col 50}{space 2}  0.052{col 59}{space 2}  32.496{col 69}{space 2}   1.778
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   3.3170{col 41}{space 2}  2.351{col 50}{space 2}  0.019{col 59}{space 2}  27.576{col 69}{space 2}   1.730
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.4651{col 41}{space 2}  2.469{col 50}{space 2}  0.014{col 59}{space 2}  11.764{col 69}{space 2}   1.503
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: UNVoteSim_up (sd=0.314)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.4303{col 41}{space 2}  0.872{col 50}{space 2}  0.383{col 59}{space 2}   4.180{col 69}{space 2}   1.568
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.8768{col 41}{space 2}  0.645{col 50}{space 2}  0.519{col 59}{space 2}   2.403{col 69}{space 2}   1.317
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3581{col 41}{space 2} -0.192{col 50}{space 2}  0.848{col 59}{space 2}   0.699{col 69}{space 2}   0.894
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.4303{col 41}{space 2} -0.872{col 50}{space 2}  0.383{col 59}{space 2}   0.239{col 69}{space 2}   0.638
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5535{col 41}{space 2} -0.756{col 50}{space 2}  0.450{col 59}{space 2}   0.575{col 69}{space 2}   0.840
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.7884{col 41}{space 2} -1.674{col 50}{space 2}  0.094{col 59}{space 2}   0.167{col 69}{space 2}   0.570
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.8768{col 41}{space 2} -0.645{col 50}{space 2}  0.519{col 59}{space 2}   0.416{col 69}{space 2}   0.759
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5535{col 41}{space 2}  0.756{col 50}{space 2}  0.450{col 59}{space 2}   1.739{col 69}{space 2}   1.190
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.2349{col 41}{space 2} -1.310{col 50}{space 2}  0.190{col 59}{space 2}   0.291{col 69}{space 2}   0.678
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3581{col 41}{space 2}  0.192{col 50}{space 2}  0.848{col 59}{space 2}   1.431{col 69}{space 2}   1.119
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.7884{col 41}{space 2}  1.674{col 50}{space 2}  0.094{col 59}{space 2}   5.980{col 69}{space 2}   1.754
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.2349{col 41}{space 2}  1.310{col 50}{space 2}  0.190{col 59}{space 2}   3.438{col 69}{space 2}   1.474
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: US_DP (sd=0.488)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.2471{col 41}{space 2}  1.656{col 50}{space 2}  0.098{col 59}{space 2}   3.480{col 69}{space 2}   1.837
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.7883{col 41}{space 2}  2.899{col 50}{space 2}  0.004{col 59}{space 2}   5.979{col 69}{space 2}   2.392
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.7780{col 41}{space 2}  3.097{col 50}{space 2}  0.002{col 59}{space 2}  16.087{col 69}{space 2}   3.875
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.2471{col 41}{space 2} -1.656{col 50}{space 2}  0.098{col 59}{space 2}   0.287{col 69}{space 2}   0.544
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5413{col 41}{space 2}  1.246{col 50}{space 2}  0.213{col 59}{space 2}   1.718{col 69}{space 2}   1.302
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.5309{col 41}{space 2}  1.768{col 50}{space 2}  0.077{col 59}{space 2}   4.622{col 69}{space 2}   2.110
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.7883{col 41}{space 2} -2.899{col 50}{space 2}  0.004{col 59}{space 2}   0.167{col 69}{space 2}   0.418
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5413{col 41}{space 2} -1.246{col 50}{space 2}  0.213{col 59}{space 2}   0.582{col 69}{space 2}   0.768
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.9897{col 41}{space 2}  1.340{col 50}{space 2}  0.180{col 59}{space 2}   2.690{col 69}{space 2}   1.620
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.7780{col 41}{space 2} -3.097{col 50}{space 2}  0.002{col 59}{space 2}   0.062{col 69}{space 2}   0.258
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.5309{col 41}{space 2} -1.768{col 50}{space 2}  0.077{col 59}{space 2}   0.216{col 69}{space 2}   0.474
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.9897{col 41}{space 2} -1.340{col 50}{space 2}  0.180{col 59}{space 2}   0.372{col 69}{space 2}   0.617
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: PostCW (sd=0.440)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.0608{col 41}{space 2}  1.313{col 50}{space 2}  0.189{col 59}{space 2}   7.852{col 69}{space 2}   2.474
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1243{col 41}{space 2}  0.882{col 50}{space 2}  0.378{col 59}{space 2}   3.078{col 69}{space 2}   1.639
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0146{col 41}{space 2}  0.008{col 50}{space 2}  0.993{col 59}{space 2}   1.015{col 69}{space 2}   1.006
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.0608{col 41}{space 2} -1.313{col 50}{space 2}  0.189{col 59}{space 2}   0.127{col 69}{space 2}   0.404
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.9365{col 41}{space 2} -1.478{col 50}{space 2}  0.139{col 59}{space 2}   0.392{col 69}{space 2}   0.663
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -2.0462{col 41}{space 2} -1.674{col 50}{space 2}  0.094{col 59}{space 2}   0.129{col 69}{space 2}   0.407
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1243{col 41}{space 2} -0.882{col 50}{space 2}  0.378{col 59}{space 2}   0.325{col 69}{space 2}   0.610
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.9365{col 41}{space 2}  1.478{col 50}{space 2}  0.139{col 59}{space 2}   2.551{col 69}{space 2}   1.509
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.1097{col 41}{space 2} -0.890{col 50}{space 2}  0.374{col 59}{space 2}   0.330{col 69}{space 2}   0.614
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0146{col 41}{space 2} -0.008{col 50}{space 2}  0.993{col 59}{space 2}   0.986{col 69}{space 2}   0.994
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   2.0462{col 41}{space 2}  1.674{col 50}{space 2}  0.094{col 59}{space 2}   7.739{col 69}{space 2}   2.458
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.1097{col 41}{space 2}  0.890{col 50}{space 2}  0.374{col 59}{space 2}   3.034{col 69}{space 2}   1.629
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: time (sd=2.754)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -3.1026{col 41}{space 2} -1.452{col 50}{space 2}  0.146{col 59}{space 2}   0.045{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -3.2537{col 41}{space 2} -2.339{col 50}{space 2}  0.019{col 59}{space 2}   0.039{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -4.6438{col 41}{space 2} -3.319{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2}   0.010{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   3.1026{col 41}{space 2}  1.452{col 50}{space 2}  0.146{col 59}{space 2}  22.255{col 69}{space 2}5145.057
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.1511{col 41}{space 2} -0.095{col 50}{space 2}  0.925{col 59}{space 2}   0.860{col 69}{space 2}   0.659
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.5413{col 41}{space 2} -0.939{col 50}{space 2}  0.348{col 59}{space 2}   0.214{col 69}{space 2}   0.014
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   3.2537{col 41}{space 2}  2.339{col 50}{space 2}  0.019{col 59}{space 2}  25.886{col 69}{space 2}7801.574
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.1511{col 41}{space 2}  0.095{col 50}{space 2}  0.925{col 59}{space 2}   1.163{col 69}{space 2}   1.516
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -1.3901{col 41}{space 2} -2.369{col 50}{space 2}  0.018{col 59}{space 2}   0.249{col 69}{space 2}   0.022
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   4.6438{col 41}{space 2}  3.319{col 50}{space 2}  0.001{col 59}{space 2} 103.943{col 69}{space 2} 3.6e+05
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.5413{col 41}{space 2}  0.939{col 50}{space 2}  0.348{col 59}{space 2}   4.670{col 69}{space 2}  69.775
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   1.3901{col 41}{space 2}  2.369{col 50}{space 2}  0.018{col 59}{space 2}   4.015{col 69}{space 2}  46.016
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: time_sq (sd=38.278)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2811{col 41}{space 2}  0.447{col 50}{space 2}  0.655{col 59}{space 2}   1.325{col 69}{space 2} 4.7e+04
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5902{col 41}{space 2}  2.331{col 50}{space 2}  0.020{col 59}{space 2}   1.804{col 69}{space 2} 6.5e+09
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.8138{col 41}{space 2}  3.160{col 50}{space 2}  0.002{col 59}{space 2}   2.257{col 69}{space 2} 3.4e+13
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2811{col 41}{space 2} -0.447{col 50}{space 2}  0.655{col 59}{space 2}   0.755{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.3091{col 41}{space 2}  0.545{col 50}{space 2}  0.586{col 59}{space 2}   1.362{col 69}{space 2} 1.4e+05
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.5328{col 41}{space 2}  0.939{col 50}{space 2}  0.348{col 59}{space 2}   1.704{col 69}{space 2} 7.2e+08
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5902{col 41}{space 2} -2.331{col 50}{space 2}  0.020{col 59}{space 2}   0.554{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.3091{col 41}{space 2} -0.545{col 50}{space 2}  0.586{col 59}{space 2}   0.734{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.2236{col 41}{space 2}  2.212{col 50}{space 2}  0.027{col 59}{space 2}   1.251{col 69}{space 2}5221.408
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.8138{col 41}{space 2} -3.160{col 50}{space 2}  0.002{col 59}{space 2}   0.443{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.5328{col 41}{space 2} -0.939{col 50}{space 2}  0.348{col 59}{space 2}   0.587{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.2236{col 41}{space 2} -2.212{col 50}{space 2}  0.027{col 59}{space 2}   0.800{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{res}Variable: time_cb (sd=581.460)
{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
{col 30}{c |}         b{col 41}        z{col 50}    P>|z|{col 59}       e^b{col 69}   e^bStdX
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}
-2           vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0288{col 41}{space 2}  0.479{col 50}{space 2}  0.632{col 59}{space 2}   1.029{col 69}{space 2} 1.9e+07
{txt}-2           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0276{col 41}{space 2} -2.264{col 50}{space 2}  0.024{col 59}{space 2}   0.973{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-2           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0370{col 41}{space 2} -2.962{col 50}{space 2}  0.003{col 59}{space 2}   0.964{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0288{col 41}{space 2} -0.479{col 50}{space 2}  0.632{col 59}{space 2}   0.972{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0564{col 41}{space 2} -0.966{col 50}{space 2}  0.334{col 59}{space 2}   0.945{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}-1           vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0658{col 41}{space 2} -1.127{col 50}{space 2}  0.260{col 59}{space 2}   0.936{col 69}{space 2}   0.000
{txt}0            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0276{col 41}{space 2}  2.264{col 50}{space 2}  0.024{col 59}{space 2}   1.028{col 69}{space 2} 9.4e+06
{txt}0            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0564{col 41}{space 2}  0.966{col 50}{space 2}  0.334{col 59}{space 2}   1.058{col 69}{space 2} 1.8e+14
{txt}0            vs 1            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}  -0.0094{col 41}{space 2} -2.223{col 50}{space 2}  0.026{col 59}{space 2}   0.991{col 69}{space 2}   0.004
{txt}1            vs -2           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0370{col 41}{space 2}  2.962{col 50}{space 2}  0.003{col 59}{space 2}   1.038{col 69}{space 2} 2.2e+09
{txt}1            vs -1           {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0658{col 41}{space 2}  1.127{col 50}{space 2}  0.260{col 59}{space 2}   1.068{col 69}{space 2} 4.2e+16
{txt}1            vs 0            {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 1}   0.0094{col 41}{space 2}  2.223{col 50}{space 2}  0.026{col 59}{space 2}   1.009{col 69}{space 2} 235.756
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 10}{hline 9}{hline 9}{hline 10}{hline 10}

{com}. 
. /*
> 
> This Table and Set of Figures Were Not Referenced in the Published Version of the Manuscript:
> 
> **Appendix Table A9: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats with an Interaction between Public Aid Threat and U.S. Foreign Aid**
> 
> eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.aidthreat c.realUS_NAT#i.aidthreat                                                                                                                                                                                      time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)
> eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.aidthreat c.realUS_NAT#i.aidthreat HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW  time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)
> esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
> 
> **Appendix Figure A3: Conditional Average Marginal Effects of Pubic Aid Threats on Threat Success Across the Values of U.S. Foreign Aid**
> 
> mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.aidthreat c.realUS_NAT#i.aidthreat i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW  c.time c.time#c.time  c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)
> margins aidthreat, at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(500)6300)) pr (out(1))
> marginsplot, recastci(rarea) xline(0)
> 
> graph save Graph "Figure A3.gph", replace
> 
> **Appendix Figure A4: Conditional Average Marginal Effects of Pubic Aid Threats on Sanctions Imposition Across the Values of U.S. Foreign Aid**
> mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.aidthreat c.realUS_NAT#i.aidthreat i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW  c.time c.time#c.time  c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)
> margins aidthreat, at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(500)6300)) pr (out(-1))
> marginsplot, recastci(rarea) xline(0)
> 
> graph save Graph "Figure A4.gph", replace
> 
> */
. 
. **Appendix Table A10: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Using the Lagged Value of U.S. Foreign Aid***
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   lagrealUSNAT                                                                                                                                                                                time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-491.51491}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-465.88991}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.90229}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -456.7372}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -456.3074}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.87689}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.99753}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -453.9449}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -453.9444}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -453.9444}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       461
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    125.55
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -453.9444{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0764

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
lagrealUSNAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009626{col 26}{space 2} .0004197{col 37}{space 1}    2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4} .0001401{col 67}{space 3} .0017851
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.418347{col 26}{space 2} .8308117{col 37}{space 1}   -2.91{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-4.046708{col 67}{space 3}-.7899859
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4484714{col 26}{space 2} .1500233{col 37}{space 1}    2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .1544312{col 67}{space 3} .7425116
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0213147{col 26}{space 2}  .007258{col 37}{space 1}   -2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0355401{col 67}{space 3}-.0070893
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2184425{col 26}{space 2} .8459345{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.796{col 54}{space 4}-1.439559{col 67}{space 3} 1.876444
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
lagrealUSNAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0013097{col 26}{space 2} .0004274{col 37}{space 1}    3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0004719{col 67}{space 3} .0021474
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.553375{col 26}{space 2} 1.477676{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.084{col 54}{space 4}-5.449567{col 67}{space 3} .3428164
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.040251{col 26}{space 2} .5566901{col 37}{space 1}    1.87{col 46}{space 3}0.062{col 54}{space 4}-.0508418{col 67}{space 3} 2.131343
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1278107{col 26}{space 2}   .06162{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.2485836{col 67}{space 3}-.0070377
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .806911{col 26}{space 2} 1.072126{col 37}{space 1}    0.75{col 46}{space 3}0.452{col 54}{space 4}-1.294418{col 67}{space 3}  2.90824
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
lagrealUSNAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010678{col 26}{space 2} .0004565{col 37}{space 1}    2.34{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4} .0001732{col 67}{space 3} .0019625
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.054704{col 26}{space 2} .5334908{col 37}{space 1}    1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0090808{col 67}{space 3} 2.100326
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2342055{col 26}{space 2} .1095361{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-.4488923{col 67}{space 3}-.0195187
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0104465{col 26}{space 2} .0046948{col 37}{space 1}    2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .0012449{col 67}{space 3} .0196481
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.74444{col 26}{space 2} .6186049{col 37}{space 1}   -4.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.956883{col 67}{space 3}-1.531997
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   lagrealUSNAT                                                HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-446.34196}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.71956}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.32997}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.35658}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.25069}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.34287}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.67795}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.60532}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.60503}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.60503}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       411
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    342.50
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-388.60503{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1294

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
lagrealUSNAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011409{col 26}{space 2}  .000466{col 37}{space 1}    2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .0002275{col 67}{space 3} .0020542
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.217888{col 26}{space 2} .9395262{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.195{col 54}{space 4}-3.059325{col 67}{space 3} .6235494
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0421385{col 26}{space 2} .7394761{col 37}{space 1}   -0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.955{col 54}{space 4}-1.491485{col 67}{space 3} 1.407208
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4313644{col 26}{space 2} .1156847{col 37}{space 1}    3.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2046265{col 67}{space 3} .6581022
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -1.5705{col 26}{space 2} .5119425{col 37}{space 1}   -3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.573889{col 67}{space 3} -.567111
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5500716{col 26}{space 2} 1.385631{col 37}{space 1}    0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.691{col 54}{space 4}-2.165715{col 67}{space 3} 3.265859
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7530659{col 26}{space 2} .8959305{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.401{col 54}{space 4}-1.002926{col 67}{space 3} 2.509057
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.252832{col 26}{space 2} .4888604{col 37}{space 1}    2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .2946828{col 67}{space 3}  2.21098
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.762344{col 26}{space 2} .9223542{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.056{col 54}{space 4} -.045437{col 67}{space 3} 3.570125
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.939277{col 26}{space 2} .9233111{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-3.748934{col 67}{space 3}-.1296207
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3518884{col 26}{space 2}  .168453{col 37}{space 1}    2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0217266{col 67}{space 3} .6820502
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0166491{col 26}{space 2} .0079134{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-.0321591{col 67}{space 3}-.0011391
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.217249{col 26}{space 2} 1.660894{col 37}{space 1}   -3.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-9.472542{col 67}{space 3}-2.961956
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
lagrealUSNAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .001135{col 26}{space 2} .0004061{col 37}{space 1}    2.79{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}  .000339{col 67}{space 3}  .001931
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2184022{col 26}{space 2} .4656932{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.639{col 54}{space 4}-.6943397{col 67}{space 3} 1.131144
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9982841{col 26}{space 2} .5800004{col 37}{space 1}    1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.085{col 54}{space 4}-.1384959{col 67}{space 3} 2.135064
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1363639{col 26}{space 2} .0727852{col 37}{space 1}   -1.87{col 46}{space 3}0.061{col 54}{space 4}-.2790202{col 67}{space 3} .0062924
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0275499{col 26}{space 2}  .344049{col 37}{space 1}   -0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.936{col 54}{space 4}-.7018735{col 67}{space 3} .6467737
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .494705{col 26}{space 2} .9048974{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.585{col 54}{space 4}-1.278861{col 67}{space 3} 2.268271
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.533351{col 26}{space 2} .5266708{col 37}{space 1}   -1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.311{col 54}{space 4}-1.565607{col 67}{space 3} .4989049
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1129198{col 26}{space 2}  .392463{col 37}{space 1}    0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.774{col 54}{space 4}-.6562935{col 67}{space 3} .8821331
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6292227{col 26}{space 2} .3877158{col 37}{space 1}   -1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.105{col 54}{space 4}-1.389132{col 67}{space 3} .1306862
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.019258{col 26}{space 2} 1.562758{col 37}{space 1}   -1.29{col 46}{space 3}0.196{col 54}{space 4}-5.082207{col 67}{space 3} 1.043691
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8603927{col 26}{space 2} .5906439{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.145{col 54}{space 4}-.2972481{col 67}{space 3} 2.018033
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1080025{col 26}{space 2}  .065392{col 37}{space 1}   -1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.099{col 54}{space 4}-.2361684{col 67}{space 3} .0201634
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.921443{col 26}{space 2} 1.324195{col 37}{space 1}    1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.147{col 54}{space 4}-.6739326{col 67}{space 3} 4.516818
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
lagrealUSNAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010447{col 26}{space 2} .0004566{col 37}{space 1}    2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4} .0001498{col 67}{space 3} .0019396
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3970068{col 26}{space 2} .4788988{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.407{col 54}{space 4}-1.335631{col 67}{space 3} .5416177
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.11875{col 26}{space 2} .4449031{col 37}{space 1}    2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .2467556{col 67}{space 3} 1.990744
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0238124{col 26}{space 2} .0892602{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.790{col 54}{space 4}-.1511344{col 67}{space 3} .1987591
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4069216{col 26}{space 2} .3973332{col 37}{space 1}   -1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.306{col 54}{space 4} -1.18568{col 67}{space 3} .3718372
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.770844{col 26}{space 2} 1.012053{col 37}{space 1}    1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4}-.2127447{col 67}{space 3} 3.754432
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2134305{col 26}{space 2}  .667241{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.749{col 54}{space 4}-1.094338{col 67}{space 3} 1.521199
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5560688{col 26}{space 2} .4363506{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.203{col 54}{space 4}  -1.4113{col 67}{space 3} .2991626
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2195953{col 26}{space 2} .5957571{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.712{col 54}{space 4}-.9480671{col 67}{space 3} 1.387258
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.22241{col 26}{space 2} .5568593{col 37}{space 1}    2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}  .130986{col 67}{space 3} 2.313834
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2418275{col 26}{space 2} .1161478{col 37}{space 1}   -2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4}-.4694729{col 67}{space 3} -.014182
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103926{col 26}{space 2} .0049965{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0005997{col 67}{space 3} .0201854
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.380483{col 26}{space 2} 1.323426{col 37}{space 1}   -2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4}-5.974351{col 67}{space 3}-.7866155
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}lagrealUSNAT{res}        0.001**         0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.418***       -1.939** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.448***        0.352** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.021***       -0.017** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.218   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.042   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.431***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.570***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.51{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.550   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.753   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.253** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.762*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.218          -6.217***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.66{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}lagrealUSNAT{res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.553*         -2.019   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.040*          0.860   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.128**        -0.108*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.218   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.998*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.136*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.028   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.495   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.533   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.113   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.629   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.807           1.921   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}lagrealUSNAT{res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}lagrealUSNAT{res}        0.001**         0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.055**         1.222** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.234**        -0.242** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.397   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.119** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.024   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.407   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.771*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.213   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.556   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.220   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.744***       -3.380** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          461             411   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.076           0.129   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A11: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Using the Value of U.S. Foreign Aid Before the Threat was Issued***
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   PYrealUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                                                time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-491.51491}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-466.21254}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.34147}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.26031}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-456.79657}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.31499}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.40714}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.35266}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.35212}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.35212}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       461
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    131.11
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-454.35212{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0756

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
PYrealUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0007742{col 26}{space 2} .0003721{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0000449{col 67}{space 3} .0015035
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.416536{col 26}{space 2} .8290079{col 37}{space 1}   -2.91{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-4.041361{col 67}{space 3}-.7917103
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4475152{col 26}{space 2} .1496208{col 37}{space 1}    2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .1542639{col 67}{space 3} .7407665
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0212561{col 26}{space 2} .0072332{col 37}{space 1}   -2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} -.035433{col 67}{space 3}-.0070793
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2346975{col 26}{space 2} .8438339{col 37}{space 1}    0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.781{col 54}{space 4}-1.419187{col 67}{space 3} 1.888582
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
PYrealUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011546{col 26}{space 2} .0003426{col 37}{space 1}    3.37{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0004831{col 67}{space 3}  .001826
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.623144{col 26}{space 2}   1.4928{col 37}{space 1}   -1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.079{col 54}{space 4}-5.548978{col 67}{space 3} .3026901
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.068721{col 26}{space 2} .5627999{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0343469{col 67}{space 3} 2.171788
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1310337{col 26}{space 2} .0623396{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4} -.253217{col 67}{space 3}-.0088505
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .866038{col 26}{space 2} 1.082532{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.424{col 54}{space 4}-1.255685{col 67}{space 3} 2.987761
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
PYrealUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009707{col 26}{space 2} .0003299{col 37}{space 1}    2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0003242{col 67}{space 3} .0016173
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.071554{col 26}{space 2} .5326056{col 37}{space 1}    2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4} .0276665{col 67}{space 3} 2.115442
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2369366{col 26}{space 2}  .109091{col 37}{space 1}   -2.17{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} -.450751{col 67}{space 3}-.0231221
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0105505{col 26}{space 2} .0046718{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}  .001394{col 67}{space 3}  .019707
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.759564{col 26}{space 2} .6158418{col 37}{space 1}   -4.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.966591{col 67}{space 3}-1.552536
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   PYrealUS_NAT                                                HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-446.34196}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.95599}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.62488}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.73364}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.62388}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.67102}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.97963}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.89575}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.89541}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.89541}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       411
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    334.06
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-388.89541{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1287

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
PYrealUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009688{col 26}{space 2} .0004106{col 37}{space 1}    2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .0001641{col 67}{space 3} .0017735
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.200443{col 26}{space 2} .9124348{col 37}{space 1}   -1.32{col 46}{space 3}0.188{col 54}{space 4}-2.988782{col 67}{space 3} .5878967
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0489679{col 26}{space 2} .7338855{col 37}{space 1}   -0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.947{col 54}{space 4}-1.487357{col 67}{space 3} 1.389421
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4324382{col 26}{space 2} .1144055{col 37}{space 1}    3.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2082076{col 67}{space 3} .6566688
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.557727{col 26}{space 2} .5095284{col 37}{space 1}   -3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.556385{col 67}{space 3}-.5590699
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5966284{col 26}{space 2} 1.371944{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.664{col 54}{space 4}-2.092333{col 67}{space 3}  3.28559
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7500548{col 26}{space 2} .8934137{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.401{col 54}{space 4}-1.001004{col 67}{space 3} 2.501113
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.23966{col 26}{space 2} .4876119{col 37}{space 1}    2.54{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .2839581{col 67}{space 3} 2.195362
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.752474{col 26}{space 2} .9338624{col 37}{space 1}    1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.061{col 54}{space 4}-.0778627{col 67}{space 3} 3.582811
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.930578{col 26}{space 2} .9200115{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-3.733767{col 67}{space 3}-.1273887
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .34957{col 26}{space 2} .1676965{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0208909{col 67}{space 3}  .678249
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0165272{col 26}{space 2} .0078682{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.0319487{col 67}{space 3}-.0011057
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.218357{col 26}{space 2}  1.65056{col 37}{space 1}   -3.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-9.453395{col 67}{space 3}-2.983319
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
PYrealUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010162{col 26}{space 2} .0003473{col 37}{space 1}    2.93{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0003355{col 67}{space 3} .0016968
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2085899{col 26}{space 2}  .466704{col 37}{space 1}    0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.655{col 54}{space 4}-.7061331{col 67}{space 3} 1.123313
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9903123{col 26}{space 2} .5778192{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.087{col 54}{space 4}-.1421926{col 67}{space 3} 2.122817
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1328756{col 26}{space 2} .0730317{col 37}{space 1}   -1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.069{col 54}{space 4}-.2760152{col 67}{space 3}  .010264
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0196074{col 26}{space 2}  .344404{col 37}{space 1}   -0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.955{col 54}{space 4}-.6946268{col 67}{space 3} .6554121
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .526237{col 26}{space 2} .9053713{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.561{col 54}{space 4}-1.248258{col 67}{space 3} 2.300732
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5586298{col 26}{space 2} .5278509{col 37}{space 1}   -1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.290{col 54}{space 4}-1.593199{col 67}{space 3} .4759389
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1069118{col 26}{space 2} .3941704{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.786{col 54}{space 4}-.6656479{col 67}{space 3} .8794716
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6451357{col 26}{space 2} .3799352{col 37}{space 1}   -1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.090{col 54}{space 4}-1.389795{col 67}{space 3} .0995237
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.084826{col 26}{space 2}  1.57601{col 37}{space 1}   -1.32{col 46}{space 3}0.186{col 54}{space 4}-5.173749{col 67}{space 3} 1.004097
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .886833{col 26}{space 2} .5958146{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.137{col 54}{space 4}-.2809423{col 67}{space 3} 2.054608
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1110037{col 26}{space 2} .0659779{col 37}{space 1}   -1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.092{col 54}{space 4}-.2403181{col 67}{space 3} .0183107
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.939151{col 26}{space 2} 1.329112{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.145{col 54}{space 4}  -.66586{col 67}{space 3} 4.544162
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
PYrealUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010012{col 26}{space 2} .0003668{col 37}{space 1}    2.73{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0002822{col 67}{space 3} .0017202
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4401083{col 26}{space 2} .4835294{col 37}{space 1}   -0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.363{col 54}{space 4}-1.387809{col 67}{space 3}  .507592
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.13484{col 26}{space 2} .4448555{col 37}{space 1}    2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .2629397{col 67}{space 3} 2.006741
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0278435{col 26}{space 2} .0899035{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.757{col 54}{space 4}-.1483641{col 67}{space 3} .2040512
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4091708{col 26}{space 2} .3965723{col 37}{space 1}   -1.03{col 46}{space 3}0.302{col 54}{space 4}-1.186438{col 67}{space 3} .3680966
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.763048{col 26}{space 2} 1.003707{col 37}{space 1}    1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.079{col 54}{space 4}-.2041826{col 67}{space 3} 3.730278
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1723396{col 26}{space 2} .6664385{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.796{col 54}{space 4}-1.133856{col 67}{space 3} 1.478535
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5497041{col 26}{space 2} .4340419{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.205{col 54}{space 4}-1.400411{col 67}{space 3} .3010023
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2184711{col 26}{space 2} .5980849{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.715{col 54}{space 4}-.9537538{col 67}{space 3} 1.390696
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.243306{col 26}{space 2} .5583487{col 37}{space 1}    2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .1489626{col 67}{space 3} 2.337649
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2453133{col 26}{space 2} .1159014{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-.4724759{col 67}{space 3}-.0181508
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0105216{col 26}{space 2} .0049787{col 37}{space 1}    2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4} .0007635{col 67}{space 3} .0202797
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.454662{col 26}{space 2} 1.341604{col 37}{space 1}   -2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-6.084158{col 67}{space 3}-.8251669
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}PYrealUS_NAT{res}        0.001**         0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.417***       -1.931** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.448***        0.350** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.021***       -0.017** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.200   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.049   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.73{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.432***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.558***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.51{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.597   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.750   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.89{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.240** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.752*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.93{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.235          -6.218***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.65{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}PYrealUS_NAT{res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.623*         -2.085   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.49{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.069*          0.887   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.131**        -0.111*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.209   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.990*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.133*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.020   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.526   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.559   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.107   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.645*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.866           1.939   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.33{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}PYrealUS_NAT{res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}PYrealUS_NAT{res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.072**         1.243** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.237**        -0.245** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.011**         0.011** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.440   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.135** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.028   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.409   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.763*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.172   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.550   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.218   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.760***       -3.455** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.34{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          461             411   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.076           0.129   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. ***Appendix Table A12: The Effects of Increasing and Decreasing Foreign Aid Flows on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats***
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   AidDeclines AidIncreases                                                                                                                                                                            time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-491.51491}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-459.95275}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -452.3571}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-451.51891}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-451.22997}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-449.97963}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-449.22304}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-449.15948}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -449.1592}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -449.1592}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       461
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}15{txt}){col 67}= {res}    147.96
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -449.1592{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0862

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 1}AidDeclines {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3691541{col 26}{space 2}  .557054{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.508{col 54}{space 4}-.7226517{col 67}{space 3}  1.46096
{txt}AidIncreases {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.915298{col 26}{space 2} .7208731{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.204{col 54}{space 4}-2.328183{col 67}{space 3} .4975873
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.380931{col 26}{space 2} .8442032{col 37}{space 1}   -2.82{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-4.035539{col 67}{space 3}-.7263231
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4346242{col 26}{space 2} .1564547{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .1279785{col 67}{space 3} .7412698
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0204888{col 26}{space 2} .0076189{col 37}{space 1}   -2.69{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}-.0354215{col 67}{space 3} -.005556
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .371312{col 26}{space 2} .8378336{col 37}{space 1}    0.44{col 46}{space 3}0.658{col 54}{space 4}-1.270812{col 67}{space 3} 2.013436
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 1}AidDeclines {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.250286{col 26}{space 2} .3774547{col 37}{space 1}    3.31{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .5104884{col 67}{space 3} 1.990084
{txt}AidIncreases {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7286139{col 26}{space 2} .3486378{col 37}{space 1}    2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0452963{col 67}{space 3} 1.411931
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.493817{col 26}{space 2} 1.484468{col 37}{space 1}   -1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.093{col 54}{space 4}-5.403321{col 67}{space 3} .4156872
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9968126{col 26}{space 2} .5552144{col 37}{space 1}    1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.073{col 54}{space 4}-.0913877{col 67}{space 3} 2.085013
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1213057{col 26}{space 2} .0613216{col 37}{space 1}   -1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4}-.2414938{col 67}{space 3}-.0011176
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1835021{col 26}{space 2} 1.136378{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.872{col 54}{space 4}-2.043757{col 67}{space 3} 2.410761
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 1}AidDeclines {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0774154{col 26}{space 2} .4314363{col 37}{space 1}    0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.858{col 54}{space 4}-.7681841{col 67}{space 3} .9230149
{txt}AidIncreases {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3498075{col 26}{space 2}  .406503{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.389{col 54}{space 4}-.4469237{col 67}{space 3} 1.146539
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9557736{col 26}{space 2} .5159935{col 37}{space 1}    1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-.0555551{col 67}{space 3} 1.967102
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2141712{col 26}{space 2}  .106683{col 37}{space 1}   -2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4}-.4232661{col 67}{space 3}-.0050764
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0096179{col 26}{space 2} .0045838{col 37}{space 1}    2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4} .0006337{col 67}{space 3} .0186021
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.72582{col 26}{space 2} .6615695{col 37}{space 1}   -4.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.022472{col 67}{space 3}-1.429168
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   AidDeclines AidIncreases                                            HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-446.34196}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.52115}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-383.34522}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-382.45222}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-382.38068}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-381.90709}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-381.14214}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-381.00352}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-381.00218}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-381.00218}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       411
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}39{txt}){col 67}= {res}    254.24
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-381.00218{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1464

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 1}AidDeclines {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1903822{col 26}{space 2} .6380754{col 37}{space 1}    0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.765{col 54}{space 4}-1.060223{col 67}{space 3} 1.440987
{txt}AidIncreases {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.319123{col 26}{space 2} .8660575{col 37}{space 1}   -1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-3.016565{col 67}{space 3} .3783183
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.017065{col 26}{space 2} .7277079{col 37}{space 1}   -1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.162{col 54}{space 4}-2.443346{col 67}{space 3} .4092163
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4286907{col 26}{space 2} .7476098{col 37}{space 1}   -0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.566{col 54}{space 4}-1.893979{col 67}{space 3} 1.036598
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4137988{col 26}{space 2} .1186292{col 37}{space 1}    3.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1812899{col 67}{space 3} .6463077
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.680688{col 26}{space 2} .5497867{col 37}{space 1}   -3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} -2.75825{col 67}{space 3}-.6031259
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.107476{col 26}{space 2} 1.258601{col 37}{space 1}    0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.379{col 54}{space 4}-1.359336{col 67}{space 3} 3.574288
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5146778{col 26}{space 2} 1.096946{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.639{col 54}{space 4}-1.635297{col 67}{space 3} 2.664653
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.294976{col 26}{space 2} .4461354{col 37}{space 1}    2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .4205663{col 67}{space 3} 2.169385
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.809814{col 26}{space 2} .9306949{col 37}{space 1}    1.94{col 46}{space 3}0.052{col 54}{space 4} -.014314{col 67}{space 3} 3.633943
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.853703{col 26}{space 2} .9366462{col 37}{space 1}   -1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4}-3.689496{col 67}{space 3}-.0179105
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3264633{col 26}{space 2} .1721389{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0109227{col 67}{space 3} .6638493
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0152512{col 26}{space 2} .0080349{col 37}{space 1}   -1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0309994{col 67}{space 3}  .000497
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.825265{col 26}{space 2} 1.783494{col 37}{space 1}   -3.27{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-9.320849{col 67}{space 3}-2.329681
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 1}AidDeclines {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.59277{col 26}{space 2} .4737337{col 37}{space 1}    3.36{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .6642695{col 67}{space 3} 2.521271
{txt}AidIncreases {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.35093{col 26}{space 2} .4591753{col 37}{space 1}    2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .4509635{col 67}{space 3} 2.250897
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5951418{col 26}{space 2} .4708846{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4}-.3277751{col 67}{space 3} 1.518059
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.075139{col 26}{space 2} .6465856{col 37}{space 1}    1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.096{col 54}{space 4}-.1921453{col 67}{space 3} 2.342424
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.028034{col 26}{space 2}  .069527{col 37}{space 1}   -0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.687{col 54}{space 4}-.1643045{col 67}{space 3} .1082365
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1290194{col 26}{space 2}  .333839{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.699{col 54}{space 4} -.525293{col 67}{space 3} .7833317
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2478209{col 26}{space 2}  .915603{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.787{col 54}{space 4}-1.546728{col 67}{space 3}  2.04237
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4357145{col 26}{space 2} .5579345{col 37}{space 1}   -0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.435{col 54}{space 4}-1.529246{col 67}{space 3}  .657817
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2078196{col 26}{space 2} .3746437{col 37}{space 1}   -0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.579{col 54}{space 4}-.9421077{col 67}{space 3} .5264685
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9718558{col 26}{space 2} .4232905{col 37}{space 1}   -2.30{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4} -1.80149{col 67}{space 3}-.1422217
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.840976{col 26}{space 2} 1.605922{col 37}{space 1}   -1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.252{col 54}{space 4}-4.988525{col 67}{space 3} 1.306574
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8093628{col 26}{space 2}  .609008{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.184{col 54}{space 4}-.3842709{col 67}{space 3} 2.002996
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1037538{col 26}{space 2} .0676395{col 37}{space 1}   -1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.125{col 54}{space 4}-.2363249{col 67}{space 3} .0288172
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2284837{col 26}{space 2} 1.494807{col 37}{space 1}   -0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.879{col 54}{space 4}-3.158251{col 67}{space 3} 2.701283
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 1}AidDeclines {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.005903{col 26}{space 2} .5750293{col 37}{space 1}   -0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.992{col 54}{space 4} -1.13294{col 67}{space 3} 1.121134
{txt}AidIncreases {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5425524{col 26}{space 2}  .499858{col 37}{space 1}    1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.278{col 54}{space 4}-.4371513{col 67}{space 3} 1.522256
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2279221{col 26}{space 2} .4887668{col 37}{space 1}   -0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.641{col 54}{space 4}-1.185887{col 67}{space 3} .7300432
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.165547{col 26}{space 2}  .426814{col 37}{space 1}    2.73{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .3290071{col 67}{space 3} 2.002087
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0347681{col 26}{space 2} .0942816{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.712{col 54}{space 4}-.1500205{col 67}{space 3} .2195567
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3270768{col 26}{space 2} .3913367{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.403{col 54}{space 4}-1.094083{col 67}{space 3} .4399291
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.996378{col 26}{space 2} 1.097564{col 37}{space 1}    1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.069{col 54}{space 4}-.1548081{col 67}{space 3} 4.147564
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4377597{col 26}{space 2} .7287684{col 37}{space 1}    0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.548{col 54}{space 4}-.9906002{col 67}{space 3}  1.86612
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.669251{col 26}{space 2}  .485617{col 37}{space 1}   -1.38{col 46}{space 3}0.168{col 54}{space 4}-1.621043{col 67}{space 3} .2825409
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0554396{col 26}{space 2} .6052294{col 37}{space 1}    0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.927{col 54}{space 4}-1.130788{col 67}{space 3} 1.241667
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.123966{col 26}{space 2} .5398148{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0659482{col 67}{space 3} 2.181983
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2205545{col 26}{space 2} .1132367{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-.4424943{col 67}{space 3} .0013853
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0094998{col 26}{space 2} .0048788{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.052{col 54}{space 4}-.0000626{col 67}{space 3} .0190622
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.458722{col 26}{space 2} 1.465309{col 37}{space 1}   -2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4}-6.330676{col 67}{space 3}-.5867687
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}AidDeclines {res}        0.369           0.190   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.64{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}AidIncreases{res}       -0.915          -1.319   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.381***       -1.854** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.435***        0.326*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.020***       -0.015*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.017   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.73{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.429   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.75{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.414***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.681***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.107   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.26{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.515   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.295***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.810*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.93{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.371          -5.825***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.78{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}AidDeclines {res}        1.250***        1.593***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}AidIncreases{res}        0.729**         1.351***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.494*         -1.841   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.61{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.997*          0.809   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.61{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.121**        -0.104   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.595   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.075*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.028   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.129   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.33{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.248   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.436   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.208   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.972** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.184          -0.228   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.49{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}AidDeclines {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}AidIncreases{res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}AidDeclines {res}        0.077          -0.006   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}AidIncreases{res}        0.350           0.543   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.956*          1.124** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.214**        -0.221*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.009*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.228   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.166***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.035   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.327   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.996*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.438   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.73{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.669   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.055   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.61{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.726***       -3.459** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.47{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          461             411   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.086           0.146   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A13:  The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Excluding the Cases of Negative U.S. Aid Foreign Aid Values**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                    time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUS_NAT>=0 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -443.5142}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-418.00527}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.89737}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-408.38831}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-408.07951}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-406.76975}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-405.97747}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-405.92791}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-405.92771}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-405.92771}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       420
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    105.62
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-405.92771{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0847

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:111} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011308{col 26}{space 2} .0003895{col 37}{space 1}    2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .0003674{col 67}{space 3} .0018942
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.726519{col 26}{space 2} .9025979{col 37}{space 1}   -3.02{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.495578{col 67}{space 3}-.9574591
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .503662{col 26}{space 2} .1638475{col 37}{space 1}    3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1825268{col 67}{space 3} .8247972
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.023971{col 26}{space 2} .0079762{col 37}{space 1}   -3.01{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0396042{col 67}{space 3}-.0083378
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5086933{col 26}{space 2}  .901816{col 37}{space 1}    0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.573{col 54}{space 4}-1.258834{col 67}{space 3}  2.27622
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0015675{col 26}{space 2} .0003449{col 37}{space 1}    4.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0008914{col 67}{space 3} .0022435
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.423096{col 26}{space 2} 1.467108{col 37}{space 1}   -1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.099{col 54}{space 4}-5.298574{col 67}{space 3} .4523825
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9832355{col 26}{space 2} .5449691{col 37}{space 1}    1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.071{col 54}{space 4}-.0848842{col 67}{space 3} 2.051355
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1197401{col 26}{space 2} .0593524{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4}-.2360687{col 67}{space 3}-.0034114
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5635039{col 26}{space 2} 1.069321{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.598{col 54}{space 4}-1.532326{col 67}{space 3} 2.659334
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0013622{col 26}{space 2}  .000429{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0005215{col 67}{space 3}  .002203
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9593681{col 26}{space 2} .5613403{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.087{col 54}{space 4}-.1408386{col 67}{space 3} 2.059575
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2218405{col 26}{space 2} .1148145{col 37}{space 1}   -1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-.4468728{col 67}{space 3} .0031918
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0100296{col 26}{space 2} .0049144{col 37}{space 1}    2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4} .0003976{col 67}{space 3} .0196616
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.630921{col 26}{space 2} .6501032{col 37}{space 1}   -4.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  -3.9051{col 67}{space 3}-1.356743
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUS_NAT>=0 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -401.1528}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-354.71358}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-345.96143}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-344.88071}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-344.74893}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -343.8859}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-343.29761}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-343.25057}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-343.25023}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-343.25023}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       372
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    298.40
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-343.25023{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1443

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:100} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012464{col 26}{space 2} .0004869{col 37}{space 1}    2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}  .000292{col 67}{space 3} .0022007
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.167294{col 26}{space 2} .8961147{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.193{col 54}{space 4}-2.923647{col 67}{space 3} .5890585
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1504467{col 26}{space 2} .8351772{col 37}{space 1}    0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.857{col 54}{space 4} -1.48647{col 67}{space 3} 1.787364
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4143513{col 26}{space 2} .1156457{col 37}{space 1}    3.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1876899{col 67}{space 3} .6410127
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.292046{col 26}{space 2}  .504503{col 37}{space 1}   -2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-2.280854{col 67}{space 3}-.3032383
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9751993{col 26}{space 2} 1.301855{col 37}{space 1}    0.75{col 46}{space 3}0.454{col 54}{space 4}-1.576389{col 67}{space 3} 3.526788
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7373101{col 26}{space 2} .8767967{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.400{col 54}{space 4}-.9811799{col 67}{space 3}   2.4558
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.035864{col 26}{space 2}   .44694{col 37}{space 1}    2.32{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .1598776{col 67}{space 3}  1.91185
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.432075{col 26}{space 2}  .842258{col 37}{space 1}    1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-.2187209{col 67}{space 3}  3.08287
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.287874{col 26}{space 2} .9906803{col 37}{space 1}   -2.31{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4}-4.229571{col 67}{space 3} -.346176
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4115839{col 26}{space 2} .1817454{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .0553694{col 67}{space 3} .7677984
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0194886{col 26}{space 2}  .008622{col 37}{space 1}   -2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}-.0363874{col 67}{space 3}-.0025899
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.494935{col 26}{space 2} 1.839388{col 37}{space 1}   -2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-9.100069{col 67}{space 3}  -1.8898
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0015793{col 26}{space 2} .0004076{col 37}{space 1}    3.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0007804{col 67}{space 3} .0023782
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .242075{col 26}{space 2} .4939708{col 37}{space 1}    0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.624{col 54}{space 4}  -.72609{col 67}{space 3}  1.21024
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.483915{col 26}{space 2} .6494948{col 37}{space 1}    2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4} .2109288{col 67}{space 3} 2.756902
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2607503{col 26}{space 2} .0853451{col 37}{space 1}   -3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-.4280237{col 67}{space 3}-.0934769
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0643476{col 26}{space 2} .3935976{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.870{col 54}{space 4}-.7070896{col 67}{space 3} .8357847
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .982034{col 26}{space 2} .9940457{col 37}{space 1}    0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.323{col 54}{space 4}-.9662597{col 67}{space 3} 2.930328
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4430729{col 26}{space 2} .6265065{col 37}{space 1}   -0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.479{col 54}{space 4}-1.671003{col 67}{space 3} .7848573
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2146317{col 26}{space 2} .4243533{col 37}{space 1}   -0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.613{col 54}{space 4}-1.046349{col 67}{space 3} .6170855
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6465445{col 26}{space 2} .4383433{col 37}{space 1}   -1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.140{col 54}{space 4}-1.505682{col 67}{space 3} .2125925
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.864616{col 26}{space 2} 1.467863{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.204{col 54}{space 4}-4.741576{col 67}{space 3} 1.012343
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8129943{col 26}{space 2} .5373178{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-.2401293{col 67}{space 3} 1.866118
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0993873{col 26}{space 2} .0573693{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.083{col 54}{space 4}-.2118291{col 67}{space 3} .0130546
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.851306{col 26}{space 2} 1.510854{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.059{col 54}{space 4}-.1099129{col 67}{space 3} 5.812525
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0014224{col 26}{space 2} .0004678{col 37}{space 1}    3.04{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0005056{col 67}{space 3} .0023392
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2753038{col 26}{space 2} .5492778{col 37}{space 1}   -0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.616{col 54}{space 4}-1.351868{col 67}{space 3} .8012609
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.046691{col 26}{space 2} .5891885{col 37}{space 1}    1.78{col 46}{space 3}0.076{col 54}{space 4}-.1080972{col 67}{space 3} 2.201479
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0253307{col 26}{space 2} .1105921{col 37}{space 1}   -0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.819{col 54}{space 4}-.2420873{col 67}{space 3} .1914258
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2931174{col 26}{space 2}  .416379{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.481{col 54}{space 4}-1.109205{col 67}{space 3} .5229705
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.799216{col 26}{space 2} 1.052322{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.087{col 54}{space 4}-.2632972{col 67}{space 3} 3.861729
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2151321{col 26}{space 2} .6912717{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.756{col 54}{space 4}-1.139736{col 67}{space 3}     1.57
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5308214{col 26}{space 2} .4887668{col 37}{space 1}   -1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.277{col 54}{space 4}-1.488787{col 67}{space 3} .4271438
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2617349{col 26}{space 2} .6325394{col 37}{space 1}    0.41{col 46}{space 3}0.679{col 54}{space 4}-.9780195{col 67}{space 3} 1.501489
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.091183{col 26}{space 2} .5759743{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0377057{col 67}{space 3} 2.220072
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2207941{col 26}{space 2} .1188248{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-.4536864{col 67}{space 3} .0120982
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0096474{col 26}{space 2} .0050912{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0003313{col 67}{space 3}  .019626
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.784846{col 26}{space 2} 1.509552{col 37}{space 1}   -1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.065{col 54}{space 4}-5.743514{col 67}{space 3} .1738223
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.727***       -2.288** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.99{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.504***        0.412** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.18{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.024***       -0.019** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.167   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.150   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.414***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.292** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.975   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.737   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.88{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.036** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.432*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.509          -5.495***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.84{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002***        0.002***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.423*         -1.865   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.47{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.983*          0.813   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.120**        -0.099*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.242   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.484** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.261***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.064   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.982   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.99{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.443   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.215   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.647   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.564           2.851*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.51{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.959*          1.091*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.222*         -0.221*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.275   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.047*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.025   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.293   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.799*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.215   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.69{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.531   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.262   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.631***       -2.785*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.51{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          420             372   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.085           0.144   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A14: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Excluding the Significant Foreign Aid Dependency Cases**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                         time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUSAidSig==0, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-439.54366}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-417.85251}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-410.80609}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.84548}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.62502}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-408.03523}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-406.91803}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-406.82135}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-406.82061}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-406.82061}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       415
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    112.63
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-406.82061{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0744

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:112} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018107{col 26}{space 2} .0007381{col 37}{space 1}    2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}  .000364{col 67}{space 3} .0032573
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.369875{col 26}{space 2} .8439719{col 37}{space 1}   -2.81{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} -4.02403{col 67}{space 3}-.7157211
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4380008{col 26}{space 2} .1518874{col 37}{space 1}    2.88{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}  .140307{col 67}{space 3} .7356946
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0207737{col 26}{space 2} .0073246{col 37}{space 1}   -2.84{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.0351296{col 67}{space 3}-.0064177
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2218302{col 26}{space 2} .8691717{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.799{col 54}{space 4}-1.481715{col 67}{space 3} 1.925375
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0015641{col 26}{space 2} .0006567{col 37}{space 1}    2.38{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4} .0002769{col 67}{space 3} .0028513
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.143134{col 26}{space 2} 1.769117{col 37}{space 1}   -1.78{col 46}{space 3}0.076{col 54}{space 4} -6.61054{col 67}{space 3} .3242723
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.328172{col 26}{space 2} .6835066{col 37}{space 1}    1.94{col 46}{space 3}0.052{col 54}{space 4}-.0114764{col 67}{space 3}  2.66782
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1679645{col 26}{space 2} .0781189{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.3210747{col 67}{space 3}-.0148543
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.16167{col 26}{space 2}  1.25842{col 37}{space 1}    0.92{col 46}{space 3}0.356{col 54}{space 4}-1.304788{col 67}{space 3} 3.628129
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0014571{col 26}{space 2} .0008847{col 37}{space 1}    1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.100{col 54}{space 4}-.0002768{col 67}{space 3} .0031911
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .974948{col 26}{space 2} .5656804{col 37}{space 1}    1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.085{col 54}{space 4}-.1337652{col 67}{space 3} 2.083661
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2223404{col 26}{space 2} .1150758{col 37}{space 1}   -1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-.4478847{col 67}{space 3}  .003204
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0100146{col 26}{space 2} .0049177{col 37}{space 1}    2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4} .0003761{col 67}{space 3} .0196532
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.669506{col 26}{space 2}  .653776{col 37}{space 1}   -4.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.950884{col 67}{space 3}-1.388129
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT         HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUSAidSig==0, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.66937}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-357.57088}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-349.83468}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-349.00191}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-348.93519}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-348.40757}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-347.41937}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-347.20193}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-347.19816}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-347.19816}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       369
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    275.75
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-347.19816{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1291

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:102} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0018505{col 26}{space 2} .0007168{col 37}{space 1}    2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .0004455{col 67}{space 3} .0032554
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9883857{col 26}{space 2} .8671477{col 37}{space 1}   -1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.254{col 54}{space 4}-2.687964{col 67}{space 3} .7111926
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0900473{col 26}{space 2} .7899479{col 37}{space 1}   -0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.909{col 54}{space 4}-1.638317{col 67}{space 3} 1.458222
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4071449{col 26}{space 2} .1238723{col 37}{space 1}    3.29{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1643598{col 67}{space 3} .6499301
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.668059{col 26}{space 2} .4906183{col 37}{space 1}   -3.40{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-2.629653{col 67}{space 3} -.706465
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.436837{col 26}{space 2} 1.754499{col 37}{space 1}    0.82{col 46}{space 3}0.413{col 54}{space 4}-2.001918{col 67}{space 3} 4.875591
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.133163{col 26}{space 2} 1.026944{col 37}{space 1}    1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-.8796104{col 67}{space 3} 3.145937
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.056455{col 26}{space 2} .4927042{col 37}{space 1}    2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} .0907726{col 67}{space 3} 2.022137
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.779064{col 26}{space 2} .9474164{col 37}{space 1}    1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.060{col 54}{space 4}-.0778383{col 67}{space 3} 3.635966
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.911517{col 26}{space 2} .9350993{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-3.744278{col 67}{space 3}-.0787562
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3511515{col 26}{space 2} .1705224{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .0169337{col 67}{space 3} .6853692
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0166598{col 26}{space 2} .0080443{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.0324263{col 67}{space 3}-.0008933
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -5.94232{col 26}{space 2}  1.73212{col 37}{space 1}   -3.43{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-9.337213{col 67}{space 3}-2.547427
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011694{col 26}{space 2} .0005925{col 37}{space 1}    1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} 8.14e-06{col 67}{space 3} .0023306
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3035582{col 26}{space 2} .4961794{col 37}{space 1}    0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.541{col 54}{space 4}-.6689356{col 67}{space 3} 1.276052
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8184283{col 26}{space 2} .5803896{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-.3191145{col 67}{space 3} 1.955971
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1303017{col 26}{space 2} .0703077{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-.2681022{col 67}{space 3} .0074988
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0468196{col 26}{space 2} .3679007{col 37}{space 1}   -0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.899{col 54}{space 4}-.7678916{col 67}{space 3} .6742525
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.339498{col 26}{space 2} 1.037909{col 37}{space 1}    1.29{col 46}{space 3}0.197{col 54}{space 4}-.6947671{col 67}{space 3} 3.373763
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4728633{col 26}{space 2} .5986247{col 37}{space 1}   -0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.430{col 54}{space 4}-1.646146{col 67}{space 3} .7004196
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0909569{col 26}{space 2} .4245841{col 37}{space 1}   -0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.830{col 54}{space 4}-.9231263{col 67}{space 3} .7412126
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7070761{col 26}{space 2} .4255349{col 37}{space 1}   -1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.097{col 54}{space 4}-1.541109{col 67}{space 3} .1269569
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.375631{col 26}{space 2} 1.853712{col 37}{space 1}   -1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.200{col 54}{space 4}-6.008839{col 67}{space 3} 1.257578
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.064318{col 26}{space 2} .7190792{col 37}{space 1}    1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.139{col 54}{space 4}-.3450515{col 67}{space 3} 2.473687
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1396551{col 26}{space 2} .0821223{col 37}{space 1}   -1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-.3006119{col 67}{space 3} .0213017
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.096786{col 26}{space 2} 1.414143{col 37}{space 1}    1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.138{col 54}{space 4}-.6748835{col 67}{space 3} 4.868455
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012555{col 26}{space 2} .0006983{col 37}{space 1}    1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.072{col 54}{space 4} -.000113{col 67}{space 3} .0026241
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1511482{col 26}{space 2} .4797496{col 37}{space 1}   -0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.753{col 54}{space 4} -1.09144{col 67}{space 3} .7891437
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.12903{col 26}{space 2} .4538867{col 37}{space 1}    2.49{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4} .2394286{col 67}{space 3} 2.018632
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .012612{col 26}{space 2} .1004109{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.900{col 54}{space 4}-.1841897{col 67}{space 3} .2094137
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.299836{col 26}{space 2} .4422669{col 37}{space 1}   -0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.498{col 54}{space 4}-1.166663{col 67}{space 3} .5669912
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.690957{col 26}{space 2}   1.4193{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0908202{col 67}{space 3} 5.472734
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0290514{col 26}{space 2} .7960507{col 37}{space 1}    0.04{col 46}{space 3}0.971{col 54}{space 4}-1.531179{col 67}{space 3} 1.589282
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5389146{col 26}{space 2} .5020928{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.283{col 54}{space 4}-1.522998{col 67}{space 3} .4451691
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.100841{col 26}{space 2} .6275559{col 37}{space 1}   -0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.872{col 54}{space 4}-1.330828{col 67}{space 3} 1.129146
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.210715{col 26}{space 2} .6077447{col 37}{space 1}    1.99{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} .0195572{col 67}{space 3} 2.401873
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2372693{col 26}{space 2} .1251021{col 37}{space 1}   -1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4} -.482465{col 67}{space 3} .0079264
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0101674{col 26}{space 2} .0053445{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.0003075{col 67}{space 3} .0206424
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.340192{col 26}{space 2} 1.457925{col 37}{space 1}   -2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4}-6.197671{col 67}{space 3}-.4827117
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002**         0.002***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.370***       -1.912** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.438***        0.351** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.021***       -0.017** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.988   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.090   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.407***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.668***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.437   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.75{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        1.133   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.056** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.779*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.95{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.222          -5.942***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.73{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002**         0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -3.143*         -2.376   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.77{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.85{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.328*          1.064   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.168**        -0.140*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.304   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.818   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.130*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.047   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.339   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.473   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.091   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.707*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        1.162           2.097   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.26{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.41{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001*          0.001*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.975*          1.211** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.61{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.222*         -0.237*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.151   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.129** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.013   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.300   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        2.691*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.029   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.80{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.539   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.101   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.670***       -3.340** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.46{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          415             369   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.074           0.129   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A15: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats During the Cold War (Model 1) and Post-Cold War Eras (Model 2)**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT         HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & PostCW==0, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.29795}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.32267}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.04497}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.29841}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.03345}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -122.7936}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-122.44705}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.90437}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.57419}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.49719}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.48392}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.48088}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.48015}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.47999}  
Iteration 14:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.47996}  
Iteration 15:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-121.47995}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       144
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(31)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-121.47995{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2228

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:49} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0008972{col 26}{space 2} .0005171{col 37}{space 1}    1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.083{col 54}{space 4}-.0001163{col 67}{space 3} .0019108
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.01274{col 26}{space 2} .8280117{col 37}{space 1}   -2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}-3.635613{col 67}{space 3}-.3898667
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6956116{col 26}{space 2}  1.03735{col 37}{space 1}   -0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.502{col 54}{space 4}-2.728779{col 67}{space 3} 1.337556
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3224172{col 26}{space 2} .2757732{col 37}{space 1}    1.17{col 46}{space 3}0.242{col 54}{space 4}-.2180883{col 67}{space 3} .8629227
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.381011{col 26}{space 2} 1.119509{col 37}{space 1}   -1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.217{col 54}{space 4}-3.575208{col 67}{space 3} .8131862
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.562246{col 26}{space 2} 3.612983{col 37}{space 1}    1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.207{col 54}{space 4}-2.519071{col 67}{space 3} 11.64356
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.135652{col 26}{space 2} 2.037251{col 37}{space 1}   -2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4} -8.12859{col 67}{space 3}-.1427146
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .491674{col 26}{space 2} 1.698251{col 37}{space 1}    0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.772{col 54}{space 4}-2.836838{col 67}{space 3} 3.820186
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -30.5825{col 26}{space 2}  13.0059{col 37}{space 1}   -2.35{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4}-56.07359{col 67}{space 3}-5.091408
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.16969{col 26}{space 2}  5.89857{col 37}{space 1}    2.74{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} 4.608705{col 67}{space 3} 27.73067
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.594236{col 26}{space 2} .7896011{col 37}{space 1}   -3.29{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-4.141826{col 67}{space 3}-1.046646
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.45232{col 26}{space 2} 8.162855{col 37}{space 1}    1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.200{col 54}{space 4}-5.546584{col 67}{space 3} 26.45122
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0008131{col 26}{space 2} .0002635{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0002967{col 67}{space 3} .0013295
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3416226{col 26}{space 2} .5417148{col 37}{space 1}   -0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.528{col 54}{space 4}-1.403364{col 67}{space 3} .7201188
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9288719{col 26}{space 2} .7870915{col 37}{space 1}    1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.238{col 54}{space 4}-.6137992{col 67}{space 3} 2.471543
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1823443{col 26}{space 2} .1452539{col 37}{space 1}   -1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.209{col 54}{space 4}-.4670368{col 67}{space 3} .1023482
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1409684{col 26}{space 2} .5991953{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.814{col 54}{space 4}-1.033433{col 67}{space 3}  1.31537
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.397088{col 26}{space 2} 2.469791{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.332{col 54}{space 4}-2.443613{col 67}{space 3}  7.23779
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5933622{col 26}{space 2} .6513288{col 37}{space 1}   -0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.362{col 54}{space 4}-1.869943{col 67}{space 3} .6832187
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1811531{col 26}{space 2} .6632249{col 37}{space 1}   -0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.785{col 54}{space 4} -1.48105{col 67}{space 3} 1.118744
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.943867{col 26}{space 2} 3.082781{col 37}{space 1}   -1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.109{col 54}{space 4}-10.98601{col 67}{space 3} 1.098272
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.494112{col 26}{space 2} 1.151388{col 37}{space 1}    1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.194{col 54}{space 4}-.7625673{col 67}{space 3}  3.75079
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1446148{col 26}{space 2} .1228773{col 37}{space 1}   -1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.239{col 54}{space 4}-.3854498{col 67}{space 3} .0962203
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.413156{col 26}{space 2}  2.88366{col 37}{space 1}    1.88{col 46}{space 3}0.060{col 54}{space 4}-.2387141{col 67}{space 3} 11.06503
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002502{col 26}{space 2} .0006893{col 37}{space 1}    0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.717{col 54}{space 4}-.0011007{col 67}{space 3} .0016011
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.452707{col 26}{space 2} .7847434{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-2.990776{col 67}{space 3} .0853618
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6951646{col 26}{space 2} .6816763{col 37}{space 1}    1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.308{col 54}{space 4}-.6408964{col 67}{space 3} 2.031226
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1711295{col 26}{space 2} .1921322{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.373{col 54}{space 4}-.2054427{col 67}{space 3} .5477018
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9327846{col 26}{space 2} .9038239{col 37}{space 1}    1.03{col 46}{space 3}0.302{col 54}{space 4}-.8386776{col 67}{space 3} 2.704247
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.361442{col 26}{space 2} 2.786062{col 37}{space 1}    1.21{col 46}{space 3}0.228{col 54}{space 4} -2.09914{col 67}{space 3} 8.822023
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1592196{col 26}{space 2} 1.396058{col 37}{space 1}   -0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.909{col 54}{space 4}-2.895443{col 67}{space 3} 2.577004
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6566614{col 26}{space 2} .8665552{col 37}{space 1}   -0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.449{col 54}{space 4}-2.355078{col 67}{space 3} 1.041756
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8090839{col 26}{space 2} .6657123{col 37}{space 1}    1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.224{col 54}{space 4}-.4956882{col 67}{space 3} 2.113856
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1885078{col 26}{space 2} .1445092{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.192{col 54}{space 4}-.4717406{col 67}{space 3} .0947249
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0084367{col 26}{space 2} .0063385{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4}-.0039866{col 67}{space 3}   .02086
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.588518{col 26}{space 2} 3.013405{col 37}{space 1}   -1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-10.49468{col 67}{space 3} 1.317648
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT         HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & PostCW==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-290.32492}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -240.7017}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-237.17356}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.00986}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-228.89346}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-227.41599}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -227.2683}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-227.26215}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-227.26213}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       269
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}33{txt}){col 67}= {res}    133.91
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-227.26213{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2172

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:87} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0031062{col 26}{space 2} .0014679{col 37}{space 1}    2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4} .0002291{col 67}{space 3} .0059833
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6633941{col 26}{space 2} 1.207995{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.583{col 54}{space 4}-1.704232{col 67}{space 3}  3.03102
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.345449{col 26}{space 2} .9822081{col 37}{space 1}   -1.37{col 46}{space 3}0.171{col 54}{space 4}-3.270541{col 67}{space 3} .5796436
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4774424{col 26}{space 2} .1520696{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1793916{col 67}{space 3} .7754933
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.268445{col 26}{space 2} .6607873{col 37}{space 1}   -3.43{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-3.563565{col 67}{space 3}-.9733261
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.33708{col 26}{space 2} 1.651985{col 37}{space 1}    0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.418{col 54}{space 4}-1.900751{col 67}{space 3}  4.57491
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.126855{col 26}{space 2} .9426143{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .2793654{col 67}{space 3} 3.974345
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.656639{col 26}{space 2} .5176544{col 37}{space 1}    3.20{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .6420551{col 67}{space 3} 2.671223
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.375164{col 26}{space 2} 1.778283{col 37}{space 1}    1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.182{col 54}{space 4}-1.110207{col 67}{space 3} 5.860535
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.058877{col 26}{space 2} .5206835{col 37}{space 1}   -2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4}-2.079398{col 67}{space 3}-.0383565
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0954138{col 26}{space 2} .0405273{col 37}{space 1}    2.35{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4} .0159817{col 67}{space 3} .1748458
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.178108{col 26}{space 2}  2.51592{col 37}{space 1}   -3.25{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-13.10922{col 67}{space 3}-3.246996
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0025024{col 26}{space 2} .0014896{col 37}{space 1}    1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.093{col 54}{space 4}-.0004171{col 67}{space 3} .0054219
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.167518{col 26}{space 2} .9163601{col 37}{space 1}    3.46{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 1.371485{col 67}{space 3} 4.963551
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .05964{col 26}{space 2} .8213474{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.942{col 54}{space 4}-1.550171{col 67}{space 3} 1.669451
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1487457{col 26}{space 2} .0828131{col 37}{space 1}   -1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.072{col 54}{space 4}-.3110565{col 67}{space 3} .0135651
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0234773{col 26}{space 2} .4360459{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.957{col 54}{space 4}-.8311569{col 67}{space 3} .8781116
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6421064{col 26}{space 2} 1.111613{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.564{col 54}{space 4}-1.536616{col 67}{space 3} 2.820828
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .016216{col 26}{space 2} .8546469{col 37}{space 1}    0.02{col 46}{space 3}0.985{col 54}{space 4}-1.658861{col 67}{space 3} 1.691293
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2247404{col 26}{space 2} .4733406{col 37}{space 1}    0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.635{col 54}{space 4}-.7029902{col 67}{space 3} 1.152471
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.302638{col 26}{space 2} 1.867161{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.485{col 54}{space 4}-2.356931{col 67}{space 3} 4.962207
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0175897{col 26}{space 2} .6582962{col 37}{space 1}   -0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.979{col 54}{space 4}-1.307827{col 67}{space 3} 1.272647
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.034774{col 26}{space 2} .0684163{col 37}{space 1}   -0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.611{col 54}{space 4}-.1688675{col 67}{space 3} .0993196
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.975445{col 26}{space 2} 1.601283{col 37}{space 1}   -1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.217{col 54}{space 4}-5.113903{col 67}{space 3} 1.163013
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0043237{col 26}{space 2} .0015763{col 37}{space 1}    2.74{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0012342{col 67}{space 3} .0074132
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.317729{col 26}{space 2} .7422275{col 37}{space 1}    3.12{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .8629894{col 67}{space 3} 3.772468
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .777018{col 26}{space 2} .6936868{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.263{col 54}{space 4}-.5825831{col 67}{space 3} 2.136619
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0733486{col 26}{space 2} .1355173{col 37}{space 1}   -0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.588{col 54}{space 4}-.3389576{col 67}{space 3} .1922605
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6154061{col 26}{space 2} .5859232{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-1.763794{col 67}{space 3} .5329822
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.664874{col 26}{space 2}  1.00602{col 37}{space 1}    2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} .6931111{col 67}{space 3} 4.636637
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3541984{col 26}{space 2} 1.179834{col 37}{space 1}    0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.764{col 54}{space 4}-1.958234{col 67}{space 3} 2.666631
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7079861{col 26}{space 2} .6642923{col 37}{space 1}   -1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.287{col 54}{space 4}-2.009975{col 67}{space 3} .5940028
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.15515{col 26}{space 2} 1.200069{col 37}{space 1}    2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .8030582{col 67}{space 3} 5.507242
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.696729{col 26}{space 2} .3294343{col 37}{space 1}   -2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-1.342408{col 67}{space 3}-.0510497
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .043565{col 26}{space 2} .0240159{col 37}{space 1}    1.81{col 46}{space 3}0.070{col 54}{space 4}-.0035053{col 67}{space 3} .0906352
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -4.57189{col 26}{space 2} 1.654068{col 37}{space 1}   -2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}-7.813804{col 67}{space 3}-1.329976
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001*          0.003** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -2.013**         0.663   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.21{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}       -0.696          -1.345   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.98{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.322           0.477***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.28{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -1.381          -2.268***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        4.562           1.337   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}3.61{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.65{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}       -4.136**         2.127** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.04{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        0.492           1.657***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.70{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}      -30.582**         2.375   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}13.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.78{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       16.170***       -1.059** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}5.90{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -2.594***        0.095** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.04{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       10.452          -8.178***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}8.16{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.52{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.003*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -0.342           3.168***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.929           0.060   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.82{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}       -0.182          -0.149*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}        0.141           0.023   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        2.397           0.642   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.47{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}       -0.593           0.016   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}       -0.181           0.225   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -4.944           1.303   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}3.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.87{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.494          -0.018   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.145          -0.035   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        5.413*         -1.975   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.88{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.60{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.004***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -1.453*          2.318***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.78{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.695           0.777   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.69{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.171          -0.073   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}        0.933          -0.615   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        3.361           2.665***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.79{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}       -0.159           0.354   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.40{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.18{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}       -0.657          -0.708   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.809           3.155***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.67{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.20{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.189          -0.697** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.33{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.008           0.044*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -4.589          -4.572***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}3.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.65{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          144             269   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.223           0.217   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A16: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Including Oil and Gas Prod. Value**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT         HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW lnOilandGas time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-441.70753}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -394.1799}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-386.02391}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-385.30206}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-385.11115}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-383.79046}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-382.80823}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -382.6814}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -382.6803}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -382.6803}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       402
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}39{txt}){col 67}= {res}    396.03
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -382.6803{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1336

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:103} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .001047{col 26}{space 2} .0004301{col 37}{space 1}    2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}  .000204{col 67}{space 3}   .00189
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.165751{col 26}{space 2} .9009514{col 37}{space 1}   -1.29{col 46}{space 3}0.196{col 54}{space 4}-2.931583{col 67}{space 3} .6000815
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1892107{col 26}{space 2} .7754541{col 37}{space 1}   -0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.807{col 54}{space 4}-1.709073{col 67}{space 3} 1.330651
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5433282{col 26}{space 2} .1424677{col 37}{space 1}    3.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2640967{col 67}{space 3} .8225597
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.781831{col 26}{space 2} .5946676{col 37}{space 1}   -3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-2.947358{col 67}{space 3}-.6163036
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2130757{col 26}{space 2} 1.224991{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.862{col 54}{space 4}-2.187863{col 67}{space 3} 2.614015
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2965302{col 26}{space 2} .8121495{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.715{col 54}{space 4}-1.295253{col 67}{space 3} 1.888314
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.473728{col 26}{space 2} .5295478{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .4358332{col 67}{space 3} 2.511622
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.528743{col 26}{space 2} .8700831{col 37}{space 1}    1.76{col 46}{space 3}0.079{col 54}{space 4}-.1765887{col 67}{space 3} 3.234074
{txt}{space 1}lnOilandGas {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2223255{col 26}{space 2} .1061751{col 37}{space 1}   -2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.4304249{col 67}{space 3}-.0142262
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.987842{col 26}{space 2} .9123667{col 37}{space 1}   -2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-3.776048{col 67}{space 3}-.1996365
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3642086{col 26}{space 2} .1648946{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0410212{col 67}{space 3}  .687396
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0171222{col 26}{space 2} .0076131{col 37}{space 1}   -2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-.0320437{col 67}{space 3}-.0022008
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.679594{col 26}{space 2} 1.922886{col 37}{space 1}   -3.47{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-10.44838{col 67}{space 3}-2.910806
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010646{col 26}{space 2} .0002968{col 37}{space 1}    3.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0004829{col 67}{space 3} .0016464
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4072888{col 26}{space 2} .4886987{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.405{col 54}{space 4}-.5505431{col 67}{space 3} 1.365121
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9807965{col 26}{space 2} .5789958{col 37}{space 1}    1.69{col 46}{space 3}0.090{col 54}{space 4}-.1540144{col 67}{space 3} 2.115607
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0637021{col 26}{space 2} .0904979{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.481{col 54}{space 4}-.2410747{col 67}{space 3} .1136706
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0353774{col 26}{space 2} .3553261{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.921{col 54}{space 4}-.7318038{col 67}{space 3} .6610491
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4083822{col 26}{space 2} .8884428{col 37}{space 1}    0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.646{col 54}{space 4}-1.332934{col 67}{space 3} 2.149698
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5445471{col 26}{space 2} .5458808{col 37}{space 1}   -1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.318{col 54}{space 4}-1.614454{col 67}{space 3} .5253595
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2268027{col 26}{space 2} .3853238{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.556{col 54}{space 4} -.528418{col 67}{space 3} .9820234
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6236196{col 26}{space 2} .3837498{col 37}{space 1}   -1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-1.375755{col 67}{space 3} .1285162
{txt}{space 1}lnOilandGas {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0610553{col 26}{space 2} .0642689{col 37}{space 1}   -0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.342{col 54}{space 4}  -.18702{col 67}{space 3} .0649093
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.935844{col 26}{space 2} 1.678431{col 37}{space 1}   -1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4}-6.225508{col 67}{space 3}   .35382
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.19729{col 26}{space 2} .6448594{col 37}{space 1}    1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4} -.066611{col 67}{space 3} 2.461191
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1435186{col 26}{space 2} .0726898{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} -.285988{col 67}{space 3}-.0010493
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.877173{col 26}{space 2} 1.499761{col 37}{space 1}    1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.211{col 54}{space 4}-1.062304{col 67}{space 3} 4.816651
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011312{col 26}{space 2} .0003817{col 37}{space 1}    2.96{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0003831{col 67}{space 3} .0018793
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3117007{col 26}{space 2} .4968217{col 37}{space 1}   -0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.530{col 54}{space 4}-1.285453{col 67}{space 3} .6620519
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.093322{col 26}{space 2} .4522427{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .2069422{col 67}{space 3} 1.979701
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0276095{col 26}{space 2} .1107385{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.803{col 54}{space 4}-.1894338{col 67}{space 3} .2446529
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3995846{col 26}{space 2} .4079122{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-1.199078{col 67}{space 3} .3999087
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.560544{col 26}{space 2} 1.062057{col 37}{space 1}    1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.142{col 54}{space 4}-.5210486{col 67}{space 3} 3.642137
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1540929{col 26}{space 2} .6583906{col 37}{space 1}    0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.815{col 54}{space 4}-1.136329{col 67}{space 3} 1.444515
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4279802{col 26}{space 2} .4186688{col 37}{space 1}   -1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.307{col 54}{space 4}-1.248556{col 67}{space 3} .3925956
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2028531{col 26}{space 2} .5849743{col 37}{space 1}    0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.729{col 54}{space 4}-.9436755{col 67}{space 3} 1.349382
{txt}{space 1}lnOilandGas {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0217864{col 26}{space 2} .0687521{col 37}{space 1}   -0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.751{col 54}{space 4} -.156538{col 67}{space 3} .1129652
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.20853{col 26}{space 2} .5537427{col 37}{space 1}    2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .1232143{col 67}{space 3} 2.293846
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2371725{col 26}{space 2} .1145434{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.4616734{col 67}{space 3}-.0126716
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0101837{col 26}{space 2} .0049159{col 37}{space 1}    2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0005486{col 67}{space 3} .0198187
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.379006{col 26}{space 2} 1.471895{col 37}{space 1}   -2.30{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4}-6.263868{col 67}{space 3}-.4941436
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}                      (1)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 28}
{res}-2                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -1.166   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}       -0.189   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.78{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.543***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -1.782***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.213   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.22{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.297   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.81{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        1.474***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        1.529*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.87{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnOilandGas {res}       -0.222** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -1.988** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.364** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.017** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -6.680***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.92{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}-1                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}        0.407   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.981*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}       -0.064   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -0.035   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.408   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.89{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}       -0.545   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        0.227   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}       -0.624   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnOilandGas {res}       -0.061   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.936*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.68{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.197*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.64{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.144** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        1.877   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.50{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}0                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnOilandGas {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}1                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -0.312   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        1.093** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.028   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -0.400   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        1.561   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.154   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}       -0.428   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        0.203   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnOilandGas {res}       -0.022   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.209** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.237** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.379** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.47{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}N           {res}          402   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.134   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A17: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Using an Interaction Term with High Salience Issue **
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.HighSal4 c.realUS_NAT#i.HighSal4   IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.62935}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.94732}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.99505}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.66031}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.68482}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.00715}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93639}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93593}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93593}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}39{txt}){col 67}= {res}    604.06
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-388.93593{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1365

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}      CR_ThreatsSanct{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                    {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0026912{col 35}{space 2} .0011307{col 46}{space 1}    2.38{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4} .0004751{col 76}{space 3} .0049074
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5896547{col 35}{space 2} .7179218{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.411{col 63}{space 4}-1.996756{col 76}{space 3} .8174462
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0137654{col 35}{space 2} .0052391{col 46}{space 1}   -2.63{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}-.0240338{col 76}{space 3} -.003497
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 12}IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0688018{col 35}{space 2} .7435769{col 46}{space 1}   -0.09{col 55}{space 3}0.926{col 63}{space 4}-1.526186{col 76}{space 3} 1.388582
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3931671{col 35}{space 2} .1165885{col 46}{space 1}    3.37{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} .1646578{col 76}{space 3} .6216763
{txt}{space 18}Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.533372{col 35}{space 2}  .453344{col 46}{space 1}   -3.38{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -2.42191{col 76}{space 3}-.6448343
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7068879{col 35}{space 2} 1.401649{col 46}{space 1}    0.50{col 55}{space 3}0.614{col 63}{space 4}-2.040294{col 76}{space 3}  3.45407
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8882065{col 35}{space 2} .8828146{col 46}{space 1}    1.01{col 55}{space 3}0.314{col 63}{space 4}-.8420784{col 76}{space 3} 2.618491
{txt}{space 16}US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.125605{col 35}{space 2} .4536923{col 46}{space 1}    2.48{col 55}{space 3}0.013{col 63}{space 4}  .236384{col 76}{space 3} 2.014825
{txt}{space 15}PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.464357{col 35}{space 2} .7679598{col 46}{space 1}    1.91{col 55}{space 3}0.057{col 63}{space 4}-.0408167{col 76}{space 3} 2.969531
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -2.00888{col 35}{space 2} .9342691{col 46}{space 1}   -2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4}-3.840013{col 76}{space 3}-.1777458
{txt}{space 14}time_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3675439{col 35}{space 2} .1710775{col 46}{space 1}    2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4} .0322382{col 76}{space 3} .7028496
{txt}{space 14}time_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0175245{col 35}{space 2} .0081347{col 46}{space 1}   -2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.031{col 63}{space 4}-.0334682{col 76}{space 3}-.0015809
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.478175{col 35}{space 2} 1.642032{col 46}{space 1}   -3.34{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-8.696497{col 76}{space 3}-2.259852
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0005387{col 35}{space 2} .0010018{col 46}{space 1}    0.54{col 55}{space 3}0.591{col 63}{space 4}-.0014247{col 76}{space 3} .0025021
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1988482{col 35}{space 2} .4823673{col 46}{space 1}    0.41{col 55}{space 3}0.680{col 63}{space 4}-.7465743{col 76}{space 3} 1.144271
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0004485{col 35}{space 2} .0010044{col 46}{space 1}    0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.655{col 63}{space 4}-.0015201{col 76}{space 3}  .002417
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 12}IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.036806{col 35}{space 2}  .575277{col 46}{space 1}    1.80{col 55}{space 3}0.072{col 63}{space 4}-.0907162{col 76}{space 3} 2.164328
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1396768{col 35}{space 2} .0719307{col 46}{space 1}   -1.94{col 55}{space 3}0.052{col 63}{space 4}-.2806583{col 76}{space 3} .0013047
{txt}{space 18}Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0286903{col 35}{space 2} .3411132{col 46}{space 1}   -0.08{col 55}{space 3}0.933{col 63}{space 4}-.6972599{col 76}{space 3} .6398793
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5275877{col 35}{space 2} .9253189{col 46}{space 1}    0.57{col 55}{space 3}0.569{col 63}{space 4}-1.286004{col 76}{space 3} 2.341179
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4479018{col 35}{space 2} .5460539{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.412{col 63}{space 4}-1.518148{col 76}{space 3} .6223442
{txt}{space 16}US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1076408{col 35}{space 2} .4075093{col 46}{space 1}    0.26{col 55}{space 3}0.792{col 63}{space 4}-.6910627{col 76}{space 3} .9063443
{txt}{space 15}PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6214785{col 35}{space 2} .3853204{col 46}{space 1}   -1.61{col 55}{space 3}0.107{col 63}{space 4}-1.376693{col 76}{space 3} .1337356
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.069445{col 35}{space 2} 1.559217{col 46}{space 1}   -1.33{col 55}{space 3}0.184{col 63}{space 4}-5.125454{col 76}{space 3} .9865631
{txt}{space 14}time_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .875526{col 35}{space 2} .5889987{col 46}{space 1}    1.49{col 55}{space 3}0.137{col 63}{space 4}-.2788903{col 76}{space 3} 2.029942
{txt}{space 14}time_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1093312{col 35}{space 2} .0652263{col 46}{space 1}   -1.68{col 55}{space 3}0.094{col 63}{space 4}-.2371725{col 76}{space 3}   .01851
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.053305{col 35}{space 2} 1.334204{col 46}{space 1}    1.54{col 55}{space 3}0.124{col 63}{space 4}-.5616873{col 76}{space 3} 4.668297
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                    {col 23}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                     {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0029323{col 35}{space 2} .0009513{col 46}{space 1}    3.08{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4} .0010678{col 76}{space 3} .0047968
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1275468{col 35}{space 2} .5002791{col 46}{space 1}   -0.25{col 55}{space 3}0.799{col 63}{space 4}-1.108076{col 76}{space 3} .8529823
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0024196{col 35}{space 2} .0011069{col 46}{space 1}   -2.19{col 55}{space 3}0.029{col 63}{space 4}-.0045889{col 76}{space 3}-.0002502
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 12}IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.192253{col 35}{space 2}  .455725{col 46}{space 1}    2.62{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .2990487{col 76}{space 3} 2.085458
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0095162{col 35}{space 2} .0960208{col 46}{space 1}    0.10{col 55}{space 3}0.921{col 63}{space 4}-.1786811{col 76}{space 3} .1977135
{txt}{space 18}Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3902991{col 35}{space 2} .4172802{col 46}{space 1}   -0.94{col 55}{space 3}0.350{col 63}{space 4}-1.208153{col 76}{space 3} .4275552
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  1.85304{col 35}{space 2} 1.045076{col 46}{space 1}    1.77{col 55}{space 3}0.076{col 63}{space 4} -.195272{col 76}{space 3} 3.901351
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3136531{col 35}{space 2}   .71659{col 46}{space 1}    0.44{col 55}{space 3}0.662{col 63}{space 4}-1.090838{col 76}{space 3} 1.718144
{txt}{space 16}US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6345217{col 35}{space 2} .4591026{col 46}{space 1}   -1.38{col 55}{space 3}0.167{col 63}{space 4}-1.534346{col 76}{space 3} .2653028
{txt}{space 15}PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2543164{col 35}{space 2} .5948386{col 46}{space 1}    0.43{col 55}{space 3}0.669{col 63}{space 4}-.9115458{col 76}{space 3} 1.420179
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.249659{col 35}{space 2} .5526376{col 46}{space 1}    2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4} .1665088{col 76}{space 3} 2.332808
{txt}{space 14}time_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2396612{col 35}{space 2} .1145045{col 46}{space 1}   -2.09{col 55}{space 3}0.036{col 63}{space 4}-.4640858{col 76}{space 3}-.0152365
{txt}{space 14}time_cb {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0102423{col 35}{space 2}  .004922{col 46}{space 1}    2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.037{col 63}{space 4} .0005954{col 76}{space 3} .0198893
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.446088{col 35}{space 2}  1.34919{col 46}{space 1}   -2.55{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4}-6.090452{col 76}{space 3}-.8017249
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. esttab M1, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}                      (1)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 28}
{res}-2                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.003** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4  {res}       -0.590   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4~T{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4~T{res}       -0.014***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}       -0.069   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.393***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -1.533***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.707   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.888   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.88{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        1.126** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        1.464*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.77{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.009** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.93{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.368** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -5.478***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.64{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}-1                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4  {res}        0.199   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4~T{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4~T{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        1.037*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}       -0.140*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -0.029   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.528   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.93{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}       -0.448   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        0.108   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.41{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}       -0.621   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.069   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.876   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.109*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        2.053   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.33{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}0                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4~T{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4~T{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}1                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.003***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4  {res}       -0.128   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}0.HighSal4~T{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}1.HighSal4~T{res}       -0.002** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        1.192***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.010   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -0.390   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        1.853*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.314   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.72{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}       -0.635   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        0.254   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.250** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.240** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.446** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.35{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}N           {res}          413   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.137   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Figure A5: Predictive Margins of High Salience on Threat Success Across the Values of U.S. Foreign Aid**
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.HighSal4 c.realUS_NAT#i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD i.PostCW  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time  c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.62935}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.94732}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.99505}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.66031}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.68482}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.00715}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93639}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93593}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93593}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}39{txt}){col 67}= {res}    604.06
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-388.93593{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1365

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}      CR_ThreatsSanct{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                    {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0026912{col 35}{space 2} .0011307{col 46}{space 1}    2.38{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4} .0004751{col 76}{space 3} .0049074
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5896547{col 35}{space 2} .7179218{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.411{col 63}{space 4}-1.996756{col 76}{space 3} .8174462
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0137654{col 35}{space 2} .0052391{col 46}{space 1}   -2.63{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}-.0240338{col 76}{space 3} -.003497
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 10}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0688018{col 35}{space 2} .7435769{col 46}{space 1}   -0.09{col 55}{space 3}0.926{col 63}{space 4}-1.526186{col 76}{space 3} 1.388582
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3931671{col 35}{space 2} .1165885{col 46}{space 1}    3.37{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} .1646578{col 76}{space 3} .6216763
{txt}{space 16}1.Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.533372{col 35}{space 2}  .453344{col 46}{space 1}   -3.38{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -2.42191{col 76}{space 3}-.6448343
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7068879{col 35}{space 2} 1.401649{col 46}{space 1}    0.50{col 55}{space 3}0.614{col 63}{space 4}-2.040294{col 76}{space 3}  3.45407
{txt}{space 13}1.PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.464357{col 35}{space 2} .7679598{col 46}{space 1}    1.91{col 55}{space 3}0.057{col 63}{space 4}-.0408167{col 76}{space 3} 2.969531
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8882065{col 35}{space 2} .8828146{col 46}{space 1}    1.01{col 55}{space 3}0.314{col 63}{space 4}-.8420784{col 76}{space 3} 2.618491
{txt}{space 14}1.US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.125605{col 35}{space 2} .4536923{col 46}{space 1}    2.48{col 55}{space 3}0.013{col 63}{space 4}  .236384{col 76}{space 3} 2.014825
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -2.00888{col 35}{space 2} .9342691{col 46}{space 1}   -2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4}-3.840013{col 76}{space 3}-.1777458
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 8}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3675439{col 35}{space 2} .1710775{col 46}{space 1}    2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4} .0322382{col 76}{space 3} .7028496
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 1}c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0175245{col 35}{space 2} .0081347{col 46}{space 1}   -2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.031{col 63}{space 4}-.0334682{col 76}{space 3}-.0015809
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.478175{col 35}{space 2} 1.642032{col 46}{space 1}   -3.34{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-8.696497{col 76}{space 3}-2.259852
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0005387{col 35}{space 2} .0010018{col 46}{space 1}    0.54{col 55}{space 3}0.591{col 63}{space 4}-.0014247{col 76}{space 3} .0025021
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1988482{col 35}{space 2} .4823673{col 46}{space 1}    0.41{col 55}{space 3}0.680{col 63}{space 4}-.7465743{col 76}{space 3} 1.144271
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0004485{col 35}{space 2} .0010044{col 46}{space 1}    0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.655{col 63}{space 4}-.0015201{col 76}{space 3}  .002417
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 10}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.036806{col 35}{space 2}  .575277{col 46}{space 1}    1.80{col 55}{space 3}0.072{col 63}{space 4}-.0907162{col 76}{space 3} 2.164328
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1396768{col 35}{space 2} .0719307{col 46}{space 1}   -1.94{col 55}{space 3}0.052{col 63}{space 4}-.2806583{col 76}{space 3} .0013047
{txt}{space 16}1.Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0286903{col 35}{space 2} .3411132{col 46}{space 1}   -0.08{col 55}{space 3}0.933{col 63}{space 4}-.6972599{col 76}{space 3} .6398793
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5275877{col 35}{space 2} .9253189{col 46}{space 1}    0.57{col 55}{space 3}0.569{col 63}{space 4}-1.286004{col 76}{space 3} 2.341179
{txt}{space 13}1.PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6214785{col 35}{space 2} .3853204{col 46}{space 1}   -1.61{col 55}{space 3}0.107{col 63}{space 4}-1.376693{col 76}{space 3} .1337356
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4479018{col 35}{space 2} .5460539{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.412{col 63}{space 4}-1.518148{col 76}{space 3} .6223442
{txt}{space 14}1.US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1076408{col 35}{space 2} .4075093{col 46}{space 1}    0.26{col 55}{space 3}0.792{col 63}{space 4}-.6910627{col 76}{space 3} .9063443
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.069445{col 35}{space 2} 1.559217{col 46}{space 1}   -1.33{col 55}{space 3}0.184{col 63}{space 4}-5.125454{col 76}{space 3} .9865631
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 8}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .875526{col 35}{space 2} .5889987{col 46}{space 1}    1.49{col 55}{space 3}0.137{col 63}{space 4}-.2788903{col 76}{space 3} 2.029942
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 1}c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1093312{col 35}{space 2} .0652263{col 46}{space 1}   -1.68{col 55}{space 3}0.094{col 63}{space 4}-.2371725{col 76}{space 3}   .01851
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.053305{col 35}{space 2} 1.334204{col 46}{space 1}    1.54{col 55}{space 3}0.124{col 63}{space 4}-.5616873{col 76}{space 3} 4.668297
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                    {col 23}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                     {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0029323{col 35}{space 2} .0009513{col 46}{space 1}    3.08{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4} .0010678{col 76}{space 3} .0047968
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1275468{col 35}{space 2} .5002791{col 46}{space 1}   -0.25{col 55}{space 3}0.799{col 63}{space 4}-1.108076{col 76}{space 3} .8529823
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0024196{col 35}{space 2} .0011069{col 46}{space 1}   -2.19{col 55}{space 3}0.029{col 63}{space 4}-.0045889{col 76}{space 3}-.0002502
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 10}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.192253{col 35}{space 2}  .455725{col 46}{space 1}    2.62{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .2990487{col 76}{space 3} 2.085458
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0095162{col 35}{space 2} .0960208{col 46}{space 1}    0.10{col 55}{space 3}0.921{col 63}{space 4}-.1786811{col 76}{space 3} .1977135
{txt}{space 16}1.Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3902991{col 35}{space 2} .4172802{col 46}{space 1}   -0.94{col 55}{space 3}0.350{col 63}{space 4}-1.208153{col 76}{space 3} .4275552
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  1.85304{col 35}{space 2} 1.045076{col 46}{space 1}    1.77{col 55}{space 3}0.076{col 63}{space 4} -.195272{col 76}{space 3} 3.901351
{txt}{space 13}1.PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2543164{col 35}{space 2} .5948386{col 46}{space 1}    0.43{col 55}{space 3}0.669{col 63}{space 4}-.9115458{col 76}{space 3} 1.420179
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3136531{col 35}{space 2}   .71659{col 46}{space 1}    0.44{col 55}{space 3}0.662{col 63}{space 4}-1.090838{col 76}{space 3} 1.718144
{txt}{space 14}1.US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6345217{col 35}{space 2} .4591026{col 46}{space 1}   -1.38{col 55}{space 3}0.167{col 63}{space 4}-1.534346{col 76}{space 3} .2653028
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.249659{col 35}{space 2} .5526376{col 46}{space 1}    2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4} .1665088{col 76}{space 3} 2.332808
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 8}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2396612{col 35}{space 2} .1145045{col 46}{space 1}   -2.09{col 55}{space 3}0.036{col 63}{space 4}-.4640858{col 76}{space 3}-.0152365
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 1}c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0102423{col 35}{space 2}  .004922{col 46}{space 1}    2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.037{col 63}{space 4} .0005954{col 76}{space 3} .0198893
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.446088{col 35}{space 2}  1.34919{col 46}{space 1}   -2.55{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4}-6.090452{col 76}{space 3}-.8017249
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins HighSal4, at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(500)6300)) pr (out(1))
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==1), predict(out(1))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}6200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
_at#HighSal4 {c |}
{space 7} 1 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0496537{col 26}{space 2} .0200853{col 37}{space 1}    2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4} .0102872{col 67}{space 3} .0890203
{txt}{space 7} 1 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .054305{col 26}{space 2}  .037823{col 37}{space 1}    1.44{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}-.0198267{col 67}{space 3} .1284368
{txt}{space 7} 2 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1547044{col 26}{space 2} .0241676{col 37}{space 1}    6.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1073367{col 67}{space 3}  .202072
{txt}{space 7} 2 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0941013{col 26}{space 2} .0314948{col 37}{space 1}    2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0323726{col 67}{space 3}   .15583
{txt}{space 7} 3 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3514921{col 26}{space 2} .1053548{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1450004{col 67}{space 3} .5579837
{txt}{space 7} 3 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0992616{col 26}{space 2} .0393398{col 37}{space 1}    2.52{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .0221571{col 67}{space 3} .1763661
{txt}{space 7} 4 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5463347{col 26}{space 2} .1452796{col 37}{space 1}    3.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2615919{col 67}{space 3} .8310774
{txt}{space 7} 4 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1000955{col 26}{space 2} .0534686{col 37}{space 1}    1.87{col 46}{space 3}0.061{col 54}{space 4}-.0047011{col 67}{space 3} .2048922
{txt}{space 7} 5 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6556252{col 26}{space 2} .1522796{col 37}{space 1}    4.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3571626{col 67}{space 3} .9540878
{txt}{space 7} 5 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0971424{col 26}{space 2} .0684988{col 37}{space 1}    1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.156{col 54}{space 4}-.0371128{col 67}{space 3} .2313975
{txt}{space 7} 6 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7046751{col 26}{space 2}  .187488{col 37}{space 1}    3.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3372054{col 67}{space 3} 1.072145
{txt}{space 7} 6 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0912854{col 26}{space 2} .0813079{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.262{col 54}{space 4}-.0680751{col 67}{space 3}  .250646
{txt}{space 7} 7 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .730549{col 26}{space 2}  .226872{col 37}{space 1}    3.22{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}  .285888{col 67}{space 3}  1.17521
{txt}{space 7} 7 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0837878{col 26}{space 2} .0905831{col 37}{space 1}    0.92{col 46}{space 3}0.355{col 54}{space 4}-.0937518{col 67}{space 3} .2613273
{txt}{space 7} 8 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7489882{col 26}{space 2} .2617884{col 37}{space 1}    2.86{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .2358924{col 67}{space 3} 1.262084
{txt}{space 7} 8 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0758698{col 26}{space 2}   .09622{col 37}{space 1}    0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.430{col 54}{space 4} -.112718{col 67}{space 3} .2644577
{txt}{space 7} 9 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .764896{col 26}{space 2} .2925225{col 37}{space 1}    2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .1915625{col 67}{space 3}  1.33823
{txt}{space 7} 9 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0684367{col 26}{space 2} .0988519{col 37}{space 1}    0.69{col 46}{space 3}0.489{col 54}{space 4}-.1253094{col 67}{space 3} .2621828
{txt}{space 7}10 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7796737{col 26}{space 2} .3196719{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .1531284{col 67}{space 3} 1.406219
{txt}{space 7}10 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .062014{col 26}{space 2} .0994033{col 37}{space 1}    0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.533{col 54}{space 4}-.1328129{col 67}{space 3} .2568409
{txt}{space 7}11 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7937131{col 26}{space 2} .3434832{col 37}{space 1}    2.31{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4} .1204984{col 67}{space 3} 1.466928
{txt}{space 7}11 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0568219{col 26}{space 2} .0987525{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.565{col 54}{space 4}-.1367294{col 67}{space 3} .2503732
{txt}{space 7}12 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8071227{col 26}{space 2} .3640524{col 37}{space 1}    2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0935931{col 67}{space 3} 1.520652
{txt}{space 7}12 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0528894{col 26}{space 2} .0975526{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.588{col 54}{space 4}-.1383101{col 67}{space 3} .2440889
{txt}{space 7}13 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8199322{col 26}{space 2} .3814407{col 37}{space 1}    2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} .0723222{col 67}{space 3} 1.567542
{txt}{space 7}13 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0501435{col 26}{space 2} .0961941{col 37}{space 1}    0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.602{col 54}{space 4}-.1383935{col 67}{space 3} .2386806
{txt}{space 7}14 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8321504{col 26}{space 2} .3957165{col 37}{space 1}    2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4} .0565603{col 67}{space 3} 1.607741
{txt}{space 7}14 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0484601{col 26}{space 2} .0948505{col 37}{space 1}    0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.609{col 54}{space 4}-.1374435{col 67}{space 3} .2343637
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, recastci(rarea) xline(0) yline(0)

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: realUS_NAT HighSal4{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure A5.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure A5.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure A5.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Appendix Figure A6: Predictive Margins of High Salience on Sanctions Imposition Across the Values of U.S. Foreign Aid**
. mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct  c.realUS_NAT i.HighSal4 c.realUS_NAT#i.HighSal4 i.IOsupport c.lnrealgdp i.Dem  c.realTargTD i.PostCW  c.UNVoteSim_up i.US_DP i.PostCW c.time c.time#c.time  c.time#c.time#c.time if threatevents==1, base(0) vce(cluster ccode1)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-450.43012}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.62935}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.94732}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.99505}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.66031}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.68482}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.00715}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93639}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93593}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.93593}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}39{txt}){col 67}= {res}    604.06
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-388.93593{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1365

{txt}{ralign 87:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}      CR_ThreatsSanct{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2                    {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0026912{col 35}{space 2} .0011307{col 46}{space 1}    2.38{col 55}{space 3}0.017{col 63}{space 4} .0004751{col 76}{space 3} .0049074
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5896547{col 35}{space 2} .7179218{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.411{col 63}{space 4}-1.996756{col 76}{space 3} .8174462
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0137654{col 35}{space 2} .0052391{col 46}{space 1}   -2.63{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4}-.0240338{col 76}{space 3} -.003497
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 10}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0688018{col 35}{space 2} .7435769{col 46}{space 1}   -0.09{col 55}{space 3}0.926{col 63}{space 4}-1.526186{col 76}{space 3} 1.388582
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3931671{col 35}{space 2} .1165885{col 46}{space 1}    3.37{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} .1646578{col 76}{space 3} .6216763
{txt}{space 16}1.Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-1.533372{col 35}{space 2}  .453344{col 46}{space 1}   -3.38{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} -2.42191{col 76}{space 3}-.6448343
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7068879{col 35}{space 2} 1.401649{col 46}{space 1}    0.50{col 55}{space 3}0.614{col 63}{space 4}-2.040294{col 76}{space 3}  3.45407
{txt}{space 13}1.PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.464357{col 35}{space 2} .7679598{col 46}{space 1}    1.91{col 55}{space 3}0.057{col 63}{space 4}-.0408167{col 76}{space 3} 2.969531
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .8882065{col 35}{space 2} .8828146{col 46}{space 1}    1.01{col 55}{space 3}0.314{col 63}{space 4}-.8420784{col 76}{space 3} 2.618491
{txt}{space 14}1.US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.125605{col 35}{space 2} .4536923{col 46}{space 1}    2.48{col 55}{space 3}0.013{col 63}{space 4}  .236384{col 76}{space 3} 2.014825
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -2.00888{col 35}{space 2} .9342691{col 46}{space 1}   -2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4}-3.840013{col 76}{space 3}-.1777458
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 8}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3675439{col 35}{space 2} .1710775{col 46}{space 1}    2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.032{col 63}{space 4} .0322382{col 76}{space 3} .7028496
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 1}c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0175245{col 35}{space 2} .0081347{col 46}{space 1}   -2.15{col 55}{space 3}0.031{col 63}{space 4}-.0334682{col 76}{space 3}-.0015809
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-5.478175{col 35}{space 2} 1.642032{col 46}{space 1}   -3.34{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4}-8.696497{col 76}{space 3}-2.259852
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1                    {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0005387{col 35}{space 2} .0010018{col 46}{space 1}    0.54{col 55}{space 3}0.591{col 63}{space 4}-.0014247{col 76}{space 3} .0025021
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1988482{col 35}{space 2} .4823673{col 46}{space 1}    0.41{col 55}{space 3}0.680{col 63}{space 4}-.7465743{col 76}{space 3} 1.144271
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0004485{col 35}{space 2} .0010044{col 46}{space 1}    0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.655{col 63}{space 4}-.0015201{col 76}{space 3}  .002417
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 10}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.036806{col 35}{space 2}  .575277{col 46}{space 1}    1.80{col 55}{space 3}0.072{col 63}{space 4}-.0907162{col 76}{space 3} 2.164328
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1396768{col 35}{space 2} .0719307{col 46}{space 1}   -1.94{col 55}{space 3}0.052{col 63}{space 4}-.2806583{col 76}{space 3} .0013047
{txt}{space 16}1.Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0286903{col 35}{space 2} .3411132{col 46}{space 1}   -0.08{col 55}{space 3}0.933{col 63}{space 4}-.6972599{col 76}{space 3} .6398793
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .5275877{col 35}{space 2} .9253189{col 46}{space 1}    0.57{col 55}{space 3}0.569{col 63}{space 4}-1.286004{col 76}{space 3} 2.341179
{txt}{space 13}1.PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6214785{col 35}{space 2} .3853204{col 46}{space 1}   -1.61{col 55}{space 3}0.107{col 63}{space 4}-1.376693{col 76}{space 3} .1337356
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4479018{col 35}{space 2} .5460539{col 46}{space 1}   -0.82{col 55}{space 3}0.412{col 63}{space 4}-1.518148{col 76}{space 3} .6223442
{txt}{space 14}1.US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .1076408{col 35}{space 2} .4075093{col 46}{space 1}    0.26{col 55}{space 3}0.792{col 63}{space 4}-.6910627{col 76}{space 3} .9063443
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.069445{col 35}{space 2} 1.559217{col 46}{space 1}   -1.33{col 55}{space 3}0.184{col 63}{space 4}-5.125454{col 76}{space 3} .9865631
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 8}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .875526{col 35}{space 2} .5889987{col 46}{space 1}    1.49{col 55}{space 3}0.137{col 63}{space 4}-.2788903{col 76}{space 3} 2.029942
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 1}c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1093312{col 35}{space 2} .0652263{col 46}{space 1}   -1.68{col 55}{space 3}0.094{col 63}{space 4}-.2371725{col 76}{space 3}   .01851
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 2.053305{col 35}{space 2} 1.334204{col 46}{space 1}    1.54{col 55}{space 3}0.124{col 63}{space 4}-.5616873{col 76}{space 3} 4.668297
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0                    {col 23}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1                     {txt}{c |}
{space 11}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0029323{col 35}{space 2} .0009513{col 46}{space 1}    3.08{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4} .0010678{col 76}{space 3} .0047968
{txt}{space 11}1.HighSal4 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1275468{col 35}{space 2} .5002791{col 46}{space 1}   -0.25{col 55}{space 3}0.799{col 63}{space 4}-1.108076{col 76}{space 3} .8529823
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
HighSal4#c.realUS_NAT {c |}
{space 19}1  {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0024196{col 35}{space 2} .0011069{col 46}{space 1}   -2.19{col 55}{space 3}0.029{col 63}{space 4}-.0045889{col 76}{space 3}-.0002502
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 10}1.IOsupport {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.192253{col 35}{space 2}  .455725{col 46}{space 1}    2.62{col 55}{space 3}0.009{col 63}{space 4} .2990487{col 76}{space 3} 2.085458
{txt}{space 12}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0095162{col 35}{space 2} .0960208{col 46}{space 1}    0.10{col 55}{space 3}0.921{col 63}{space 4}-.1786811{col 76}{space 3} .1977135
{txt}{space 16}1.Dem {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3902991{col 35}{space 2} .4172802{col 46}{space 1}   -0.94{col 55}{space 3}0.350{col 63}{space 4}-1.208153{col 76}{space 3} .4275552
{txt}{space 11}realTargTD {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  1.85304{col 35}{space 2} 1.045076{col 46}{space 1}    1.77{col 55}{space 3}0.076{col 63}{space 4} -.195272{col 76}{space 3} 3.901351
{txt}{space 13}1.PostCW {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .2543164{col 35}{space 2} .5948386{col 46}{space 1}    0.43{col 55}{space 3}0.669{col 63}{space 4}-.9115458{col 76}{space 3} 1.420179
{txt}{space 9}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .3136531{col 35}{space 2}   .71659{col 46}{space 1}    0.44{col 55}{space 3}0.662{col 63}{space 4}-1.090838{col 76}{space 3} 1.718144
{txt}{space 14}1.US_DP {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.6345217{col 35}{space 2} .4591026{col 46}{space 1}   -1.38{col 55}{space 3}0.167{col 63}{space 4}-1.534346{col 76}{space 3} .2653028
{txt}{space 17}time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.249659{col 35}{space 2} .5526376{col 46}{space 1}    2.26{col 55}{space 3}0.024{col 63}{space 4} .1665088{col 76}{space 3} 2.332808
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 8}c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.2396612{col 35}{space 2} .1145045{col 46}{space 1}   -2.09{col 55}{space 3}0.036{col 63}{space 4}-.4640858{col 76}{space 3}-.0152365
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 1}c.time#c.time#c.time {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0102423{col 35}{space 2}  .004922{col 46}{space 1}    2.08{col 55}{space 3}0.037{col 63}{space 4} .0005954{col 76}{space 3} .0198893
{txt}{space 21} {c |}
{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.446088{col 35}{space 2}  1.34919{col 46}{space 1}   -2.55{col 55}{space 3}0.011{col 63}{space 4}-6.090452{col 76}{space 3}-.8017249
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins HighSal4, at(c.realUS_NAT=(-300(500)6300)) pr (out(-1))
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(CR_ThreatsSanct==-1), predict(out(-1))}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}-300}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}1700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}2700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}3700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}4700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}5700}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:realUS_NAT}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 7}6200}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
_at#HighSal4 {c |}
{space 7} 1 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .214217{col 26}{space 2} .0667844{col 37}{space 1}    3.21{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}  .083322{col 67}{space 3} .3451119
{txt}{space 7} 1 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1360054{col 26}{space 2} .0962339{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-.0526096{col 67}{space 3} .3246205
{txt}{space 7} 2 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2094259{col 26}{space 2} .0325872{col 37}{space 1}    6.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1455561{col 67}{space 3} .2732957
{txt}{space 7} 2 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3013545{col 26}{space 2} .0697829{col 37}{space 1}    4.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1645825{col 67}{space 3} .4381266
{txt}{space 7} 3 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1524368{col 26}{space 2} .0970986{col 37}{space 1}    1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.0378729{col 67}{space 3} .3427465
{txt}{space 7} 3 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3933176{col 26}{space 2} .0809283{col 37}{space 1}    4.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2347011{col 67}{space 3} .5519342
{txt}{space 7} 4 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0761029{col 26}{space 2} .1076796{col 37}{space 1}    0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.480{col 54}{space 4}-.1349453{col 67}{space 3}  .287151
{txt}{space 7} 4 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4875127{col 26}{space 2} .0971519{col 37}{space 1}    5.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2970985{col 67}{space 3} .6779269
{txt}{space 7} 5 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0286488{col 26}{space 2} .0659426{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.664{col 54}{space 4}-.1005964{col 67}{space 3}  .157894
{txt}{space 7} 5 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5773586{col 26}{space 2} .1125918{col 37}{space 1}    5.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3566826{col 67}{space 3} .7980345
{txt}{space 7} 6 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0094632{col 26}{space 2} .0298202{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.751{col 54}{space 4}-.0489833{col 67}{space 3} .0679098
{txt}{space 7} 6 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6566101{col 26}{space 2} .1215767{col 37}{space 1}    5.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4183241{col 67}{space 3}  .894896
{txt}{space 7} 7 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0029884{col 26}{space 2} .0118137{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.800{col 54}{space 4}-.0201659{col 67}{space 3} .0261427
{txt}{space 7} 7 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7220672{col 26}{space 2} .1227053{col 37}{space 1}    5.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4815694{col 67}{space 3} .9625651
{txt}{space 7} 8 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009304{col 26}{space 2} .0044014{col 37}{space 1}    0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.833{col 54}{space 4}-.0076963{col 67}{space 3}  .009557
{txt}{space 7} 8 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7735083{col 26}{space 2} .1177113{col 37}{space 1}    6.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5427985{col 67}{space 3} 1.004218
{txt}{space 7} 9 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002882{col 26}{space 2} .0015846{col 37}{space 1}    0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.856{col 54}{space 4}-.0028176{col 67}{space 3} .0033939
{txt}{space 7} 9 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8126333{col 26}{space 2} .1092565{col 37}{space 1}    7.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5984944{col 67}{space 3} 1.026772
{txt}{space 7}10 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000891{col 26}{space 2} .0005577{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.873{col 54}{space 4} -.001004{col 67}{space 3} .0011821
{txt}{space 7}10 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .841883{col 26}{space 2} .0994976{col 37}{space 1}    8.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6468713{col 67}{space 3} 1.036895
{txt}{space 7}11 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000275{col 26}{space 2}  .000193{col 37}{space 1}    0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.887{col 54}{space 4}-.0003508{col 67}{space 3} .0004057
{txt}{space 7}11 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8636374{col 26}{space 2} .0896889{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6878504{col 67}{space 3} 1.039424
{txt}{space 7}12 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.47e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000659{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.898{col 54}{space 4}-.0001207{col 67}{space 3} .0001376
{txt}{space 7}12 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8798591{col 26}{space 2} .0803815{col 37}{space 1}   10.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7223142{col 67}{space 3} 1.037404
{txt}{space 7}13 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.61e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0000223{col 37}{space 1}    0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.907{col 54}{space 4} -.000041{col 67}{space 3} .0000462
{txt}{space 7}13 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8920375{col 26}{space 2}  .071767{col 37}{space 1}   12.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7513768{col 67}{space 3} 1.032698
{txt}{space 7}14 0  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.01e-07{col 26}{space 2} 7.45e-06{col 37}{space 1}    0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.914{col 54}{space 4}-.0000138{col 67}{space 3} .0000154
{txt}{space 7}14 1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9012653{col 26}{space 2} .0639328{col 37}{space 1}   14.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7759592{col 67}{space 3} 1.026571
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, recastci(rarea) xline(0) yline(0)

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: realUS_NAT HighSal4{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure A6.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure A6.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure A6.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A18: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Using U.S. Defense Pacts Coded with ATOP Data**
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up USDPatop_C1 PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 , vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-308.95737}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-245.66027}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-237.23394}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-235.85188}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-235.24143}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-234.68717}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-234.06961}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.58112}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.33063}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.25415}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.23777}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.23402}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.23335}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.23328}  
Iteration 14:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-233.23326}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       303
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(35)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-233.23326{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2451

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:101} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012579{col 26}{space 2} .0004101{col 37}{space 1}    3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0004541{col 67}{space 3} .0020617
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.114783{col 26}{space 2} .8845447{col 37}{space 1}   -1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.208{col 54}{space 4}-2.848459{col 67}{space 3} .6188924
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1791088{col 26}{space 2} .6995887{col 37}{space 1}   -0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.798{col 54}{space 4}-1.550277{col 67}{space 3}  1.19206
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5684457{col 26}{space 2} .1368005{col 37}{space 1}    4.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3003216{col 67}{space 3} .8365698
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.618013{col 26}{space 2} .5940513{col 37}{space 1}   -2.72{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}-2.782332{col 67}{space 3}-.4536936
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4859188{col 26}{space 2} 1.642284{col 37}{space 1}   -0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.767{col 54}{space 4}-3.704736{col 67}{space 3} 2.732898
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.579972{col 26}{space 2} .6940575{col 37}{space 1}   -2.28{col 46}{space 3}0.023{col 54}{space 4}-2.940299{col 67}{space 3}-.2196441
{txt}{space 1}USDPatop_C1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.592247{col 26}{space 2} .5889208{col 37}{space 1}    2.70{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .4379833{col 67}{space 3} 2.746511
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3018805{col 26}{space 2} .7062426{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.669{col 54}{space 4} -1.08233{col 67}{space 3}  1.68609
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-23.13287{col 26}{space 2} 8.026531{col 37}{space 1}   -2.88{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-38.86458{col 67}{space 3}-7.401158
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.38599{col 26}{space 2} 3.760057{col 37}{space 1}    3.29{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 5.016412{col 67}{space 3} 19.75557
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.055106{col 26}{space 2} .5183009{col 37}{space 1}   -3.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.070957{col 67}{space 3}-1.039255
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.876937{col 26}{space 2} 5.327545{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.467{col 54}{space 4}-6.564859{col 67}{space 3} 14.31873
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009976{col 26}{space 2} .0002952{col 37}{space 1}    3.38{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}  .000419{col 67}{space 3} .0015763
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5691143{col 26}{space 2}   .43671{col 37}{space 1}    1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.193{col 54}{space 4}-.2868215{col 67}{space 3}  1.42505
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.360242{col 26}{space 2}  .557911{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}  .266757{col 67}{space 3} 2.453728
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0344843{col 26}{space 2}  .126807{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.786{col 54}{space 4}-.2140528{col 67}{space 3} .2830213
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7039633{col 26}{space 2} .4902297{col 37}{space 1}   -1.44{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}-1.664796{col 67}{space 3} .2568692
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8514007{col 26}{space 2} 1.297985{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.512{col 54}{space 4}-1.692604{col 67}{space 3} 3.395405
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0114246{col 26}{space 2}  .621053{col 37}{space 1}    0.02{col 46}{space 3}0.985{col 54}{space 4}-1.205817{col 67}{space 3} 1.228666
{txt}{space 1}USDPatop_C1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1773016{col 26}{space 2} .5476563{col 37}{space 1}   -0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.746{col 54}{space 4}-1.250688{col 67}{space 3}  .896085
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.587581{col 26}{space 2} .4657753{col 37}{space 1}   -3.41{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-2.500483{col 67}{space 3}-.6746777
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -6.4195{col 26}{space 2} 3.224775{col 37}{space 1}   -1.99{col 46}{space 3}0.047{col 54}{space 4}-12.73994{col 67}{space 3}-.0990565
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.046942{col 26}{space 2} 1.270593{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.4433744{col 67}{space 3} 4.537258
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2038517{col 26}{space 2} .1430151{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.154{col 54}{space 4}-.4841562{col 67}{space 3} .0764527
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.915282{col 26}{space 2} 2.503796{col 37}{space 1}    1.56{col 46}{space 3}0.118{col 54}{space 4} -.992069{col 67}{space 3} 8.822632
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009637{col 26}{space 2} .0004496{col 37}{space 1}    2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} .0000824{col 67}{space 3}  .001845
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1645278{col 26}{space 2} .5094001{col 37}{space 1}   -0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.747{col 54}{space 4}-1.162934{col 67}{space 3}  .833878
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.925078{col 26}{space 2} .4619171{col 37}{space 1}    4.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.019737{col 67}{space 3} 2.830419
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4589151{col 26}{space 2} .1378553{col 37}{space 1}    3.33{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1887237{col 67}{space 3} .7291066
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4312741{col 26}{space 2}  .560909{col 37}{space 1}   -0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-1.530635{col 67}{space 3} .6680873
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.252126{col 26}{space 2} 1.826392{col 37}{space 1}    1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.218{col 54}{space 4}-1.327536{col 67}{space 3} 5.831788
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8507637{col 26}{space 2} 1.283815{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.508{col 54}{space 4}-1.665468{col 67}{space 3} 3.366995
{txt}{space 1}USDPatop_C1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1548604{col 26}{space 2} .7832215{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.843{col 54}{space 4}-1.689946{col 67}{space 3} 1.380226
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2205527{col 26}{space 2} .6533607{col 37}{space 1}   -0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.736{col 54}{space 4}-1.501116{col 67}{space 3} 1.060011
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8032522{col 26}{space 2} .6843095{col 37}{space 1}    1.17{col 46}{space 3}0.240{col 54}{space 4}-.5379698{col 67}{space 3} 2.144474
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1968075{col 26}{space 2} .1586591{col 37}{space 1}   -1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.215{col 54}{space 4}-.5077737{col 67}{space 3} .1141586
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0089625{col 26}{space 2}  .007081{col 37}{space 1}    1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4} -.004916{col 67}{space 3}  .022841
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.515936{col 26}{space 2} 2.244903{col 37}{space 1}   -3.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-12.91587{col 67}{space 3}-4.116006
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}                      (1)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 28}
{res}-2                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -1.115   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.88{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}       -0.179   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.70{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.568***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -1.618***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}       -0.486   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.64{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}       -1.580** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.69{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}USDPatop_C1 {res}        1.592***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        0.302   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.71{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}      -23.133***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}8.03{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       12.386***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}3.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -2.055***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        3.877   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}5.33{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}-1                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}        0.569   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        1.360** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.034   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -0.704   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.851   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.30{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.011   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}USDPatop_C1 {res}       -0.177   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}       -1.588***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -6.419** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}3.22{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        2.047   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.27{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.204   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        3.915   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.50{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}0                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}USDPatop_C1 {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 28}
{res}1                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}       -0.165   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.51{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}        1.925***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}        0.459***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}       -0.431   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}        2.252   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.83{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}        0.851   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.28{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}USDPatop_C1 {res}       -0.155   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.78{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}       -0.221   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.65{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.803   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.197   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.16{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.009   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -8.516***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}2.24{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}N           {res}          303   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.245   {txt}
{txt}{hline 28}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Figure A7: Scatter Plot of Terminal Success Outcome Observations Illustrating U.S. Foreign Aid Values for Cases Not Included in the Statistically Significant Confidence Intervals**
. 
. edit obsid countryname caseid ccode1 year realUS_NAT  CR_ThreatsSanct if realUS_NAT>400 & realUS_NAT!=. & CR_ThreatsSanct==1
{txt}
{com}. scatter  realUS_NAT obsid if threatevents==1 & CR_ThreatsSanct==1 , mlabel(ccode1) yline(400)
{res}{txt}
{com}. scatter  realUS_NAT obsid if threatevents==1 & CR_ThreatsSanct==1 , yline(400)
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure A7.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure A7.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure A7.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A19: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Excluding the Israel 1992 Outlier Case**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                    time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & caseid!=1992012301, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-493.42969}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-467.21527}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-459.58149}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.51697}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.89765}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-456.42045}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.56248}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.49107}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.49073}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.49073}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       462
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    129.50
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-455.49073{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0769

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010223{col 26}{space 2} .0003655{col 37}{space 1}    2.80{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0003059{col 67}{space 3} .0017388
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.485981{col 26}{space 2} .8329829{col 37}{space 1}   -2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.118597{col 67}{space 3}-.8533643
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4592832{col 26}{space 2} .1504722{col 37}{space 1}    3.05{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1643631{col 67}{space 3} .7542033
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0218152{col 26}{space 2} .0072976{col 37}{space 1}   -2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0361183{col 67}{space 3}-.0075121
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3263836{col 26}{space 2} .8503546{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.701{col 54}{space 4}-1.340281{col 67}{space 3} 1.993048
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0013792{col 26}{space 2} .0003059{col 37}{space 1}    4.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0007796{col 67}{space 3} .0019787
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.749418{col 26}{space 2} 1.479163{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-5.648524{col 67}{space 3} .1496878
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.100558{col 26}{space 2} .5572718{col 37}{space 1}    1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0083252{col 67}{space 3} 2.192791
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1331346{col 26}{space 2} .0616981{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.2540606{col 67}{space 3}-.0122086
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9765431{col 26}{space 2} 1.071188{col 37}{space 1}    0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.362{col 54}{space 4}-1.122947{col 67}{space 3} 3.076033
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0008154{col 26}{space 2} .0004282{col 37}{space 1}    1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.0000239{col 67}{space 3} .0016546
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.080279{col 26}{space 2} .5343583{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .0329564{col 67}{space 3} 2.127602
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2379838{col 26}{space 2} .1096223{col 37}{space 1}   -2.17{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4}-.4528396{col 67}{space 3}-.0231281
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0105852{col 26}{space 2} .0046983{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .0013767{col 67}{space 3} .0197937
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.776594{col 26}{space 2} .6224509{col 37}{space 1}   -4.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.996576{col 67}{space 3}-1.556613
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & caseid!=1992012301, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-448.22558}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-401.85261}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.04474}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.20076}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.07788}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.12022}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -391.4236}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.34057}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.34033}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-391.34033}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       412
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    342.25
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-391.34033{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1269

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012884{col 26}{space 2} .0004696{col 37}{space 1}    2.74{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}  .000368{col 67}{space 3} .0022088
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.358055{col 26}{space 2} .9837207{col 37}{space 1}   -1.38{col 46}{space 3}0.167{col 54}{space 4}-3.286112{col 67}{space 3} .5700021
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0718545{col 26}{space 2} .7620111{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.925{col 54}{space 4}-1.565369{col 67}{space 3}  1.42166
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3898695{col 26}{space 2} .1141767{col 37}{space 1}    3.41{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1660872{col 67}{space 3} .6136518
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.474799{col 26}{space 2}  .466984{col 37}{space 1}   -3.16{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.390071{col 67}{space 3}-.5595269
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5215856{col 26}{space 2} 1.317154{col 37}{space 1}    0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.692{col 54}{space 4}-2.059989{col 67}{space 3} 3.103161
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6887175{col 26}{space 2} .8916257{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.440{col 54}{space 4}-1.058837{col 67}{space 3} 2.436272
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.092422{col 26}{space 2} .4588663{col 37}{space 1}    2.38{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4} .1930607{col 67}{space 3} 1.991784
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.489285{col 26}{space 2} .8626221{col 37}{space 1}    1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.084{col 54}{space 4}-.2014235{col 67}{space 3} 3.179993
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.054024{col 26}{space 2} .9240754{col 37}{space 1}   -2.22{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4}-3.865178{col 67}{space 3}-.2428693
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3707177{col 26}{space 2} .1694975{col 37}{space 1}    2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .0385088{col 67}{space 3} .7029267
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0176082{col 26}{space 2} .0080402{col 37}{space 1}   -2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-.0333667{col 67}{space 3}-.0018497
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.289967{col 26}{space 2}  1.67939{col 37}{space 1}   -3.15{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-8.581511{col 67}{space 3}-1.998423
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .001136{col 26}{space 2} .0003088{col 37}{space 1}    3.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005307{col 67}{space 3} .0017412
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2478952{col 26}{space 2} .4662778{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.595{col 54}{space 4}-.6659924{col 67}{space 3} 1.161783
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.059995{col 26}{space 2} .5740743{col 37}{space 1}    1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.065{col 54}{space 4}-.0651695{col 67}{space 3}  2.18516
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1433425{col 26}{space 2} .0726345{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4}-.2857035{col 67}{space 3}-.0009814
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0214385{col 26}{space 2} .3433108{col 37}{space 1}   -0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.950{col 54}{space 4}-.6943154{col 67}{space 3} .6514384
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .545065{col 26}{space 2} .9065129{col 37}{space 1}    0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.548{col 54}{space 4}-1.231668{col 67}{space 3} 2.321798
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3983032{col 26}{space 2}   .53549{col 37}{space 1}   -0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.457{col 54}{space 4}-1.447844{col 67}{space 3} .6512379
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0872999{col 26}{space 2} .3970148{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.826{col 54}{space 4}-.6908349{col 67}{space 3} .8654347
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5902003{col 26}{space 2} .3856288{col 37}{space 1}   -1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.126{col 54}{space 4}-1.346019{col 67}{space 3} .1656183
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.129699{col 26}{space 2} 1.565261{col 37}{space 1}   -1.36{col 46}{space 3}0.174{col 54}{space 4}-5.197555{col 67}{space 3}  .938157
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8966391{col 26}{space 2} .5913299{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-.2623462{col 67}{space 3} 2.055624
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1111965{col 26}{space 2} .0654419{col 37}{space 1}   -1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-.2394603{col 67}{space 3} .0170673
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.081566{col 26}{space 2} 1.318073{col 37}{space 1}    1.58{col 46}{space 3}0.114{col 54}{space 4}-.5018093{col 67}{space 3} 4.664941
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000832{col 26}{space 2} .0003945{col 37}{space 1}    2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4} .0000589{col 67}{space 3} .0016051
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3006373{col 26}{space 2} .4743254{col 37}{space 1}   -0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.526{col 54}{space 4}-1.230298{col 67}{space 3} .6290235
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.085233{col 26}{space 2} .4465897{col 37}{space 1}    2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .2099336{col 67}{space 3} 1.960533
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0245881{col 26}{space 2}    .0892{col 37}{space 1}    0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.783{col 54}{space 4}-.1502406{col 67}{space 3} .1994168
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4365189{col 26}{space 2} .4157701{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-1.251413{col 67}{space 3} .3783755
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.635723{col 26}{space 2} 1.074275{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-.4698163{col 67}{space 3} 3.741263
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0323397{col 26}{space 2}  .680702{col 37}{space 1}   -0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.962{col 54}{space 4}-1.366491{col 67}{space 3} 1.301812
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4728681{col 26}{space 2} .4449454{col 37}{space 1}   -1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.288{col 54}{space 4}-1.344945{col 67}{space 3} .3992089
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1097097{col 26}{space 2} .5723652{col 37}{space 1}    0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.848{col 54}{space 4}-1.012106{col 67}{space 3} 1.231525
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.253337{col 26}{space 2} .5674305{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .1411938{col 67}{space 3} 2.365481
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2459863{col 26}{space 2} .1186144{col 37}{space 1}   -2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4}-.4784662{col 67}{space 3}-.0135063
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .010509{col 26}{space 2} .0051053{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0005029{col 67}{space 3} .0205151
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.421569{col 26}{space 2} 1.327115{col 37}{space 1}   -2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-6.022666{col 67}{space 3}-.8204721
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.486***       -2.054** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.92{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.459***        0.371** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.358   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.98{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.072   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.390***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.475***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.522   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.689   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.89{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.092** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.489*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.326          -5.290***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.68{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.749*         -2.130   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.48{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.101**         0.897   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.133**        -0.111*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.248   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.060*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.143** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.021   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.545   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.398   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.087   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.590   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.977           2.082   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001*          0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.080**         1.253** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.238**        -0.246** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.011**         0.011** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.301   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.085** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.025   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.437   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.636   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.032   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.473   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.110   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.777***       -3.422***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.33{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          462             412   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.077           0.127   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A20: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Excluding All Observations Greater than $400 Million of Aid**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                    time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUS_NAT<=400, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-462.87865}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-443.02414}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-435.13505}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-434.18926}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-433.46012}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-432.03261}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-431.23064}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-431.18906}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-431.18882}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-431.18882}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       443
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    138.20
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-431.18882{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0685

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:116} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .00218{col 26}{space 2} .0020698{col 37}{space 1}    1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.292{col 54}{space 4}-.0018767{col 67}{space 3} .0062368
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.608992{col 26}{space 2} .9033154{col 37}{space 1}   -2.89{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-4.379458{col 67}{space 3}-.8385262
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4860139{col 26}{space 2} .1664578{col 37}{space 1}    2.92{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .1597626{col 67}{space 3} .8122652
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0232108{col 26}{space 2} .0083582{col 37}{space 1}   -2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.0395925{col 67}{space 3}-.0068292
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3201853{col 26}{space 2} .9103891{col 37}{space 1}    0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.725{col 54}{space 4}-1.464145{col 67}{space 3} 2.104515
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0011389{col 26}{space 2} .0012724{col 37}{space 1}   -0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.371{col 54}{space 4}-.0036327{col 67}{space 3}  .001355
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.827583{col 26}{space 2} 1.494118{col 37}{space 1}   -1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-5.756001{col 67}{space 3} .1008345
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.119012{col 26}{space 2} .5605085{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} .0204352{col 67}{space 3} 2.217588
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1347364{col 26}{space 2}  .061765{col 37}{space 1}   -2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-.2557935{col 67}{space 3}-.0136793
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.151799{col 26}{space 2} 1.080024{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.286{col 54}{space 4}-.9650104{col 67}{space 3} 3.268608
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0005559{col 26}{space 2} .0014393{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.699{col 54}{space 4} -.002265{col 67}{space 3} .0033768
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.054781{col 26}{space 2} .5365803{col 37}{space 1}    1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4} .0031032{col 67}{space 3} 2.106459
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2318018{col 26}{space 2} .1092096{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-.4458487{col 67}{space 3}-.0177548
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .010313{col 26}{space 2} .0046705{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0011589{col 67}{space 3}  .019467
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.773704{col 26}{space 2} .6339969{col 37}{space 1}   -4.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.016315{col 67}{space 3}-1.531093
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUS_NAT<=400, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-418.26751}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-378.65852}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-371.29054}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-370.58484}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-370.45992}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-369.53679}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-368.85377}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-368.76733}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -368.7671}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -368.7671}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       393
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    283.56
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -368.7671{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1183

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:105} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010398{col 26}{space 2} .0024797{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.675{col 54}{space 4}-.0038204{col 67}{space 3}    .0059
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8409442{col 26}{space 2} .8007848{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-2.410453{col 67}{space 3} .7285651
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0544977{col 26}{space 2} .7885277{col 37}{space 1}   -0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.945{col 54}{space 4}-1.599984{col 67}{space 3} 1.490988
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3929822{col 26}{space 2} .1343763{col 37}{space 1}    2.92{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .1296096{col 67}{space 3} .6563549
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.299867{col 26}{space 2} .5833999{col 37}{space 1}   -2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} -2.44331{col 67}{space 3}-.1564239
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7932818{col 26}{space 2} 1.384271{col 37}{space 1}    0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.567{col 54}{space 4}-1.919839{col 67}{space 3} 3.506402
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7982158{col 26}{space 2} .9519023{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.402{col 54}{space 4}-1.067478{col 67}{space 3}  2.66391
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.267712{col 26}{space 2} .5039983{col 37}{space 1}    2.52{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .2798931{col 67}{space 3}  2.25553
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.44497{col 26}{space 2}  .935736{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.123{col 54}{space 4}-.3890391{col 67}{space 3} 3.278978
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.076373{col 26}{space 2} .9602973{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-3.958521{col 67}{space 3}-.1942243
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3769537{col 26}{space 2} .1748403{col 37}{space 1}    2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4} .0342731{col 67}{space 3} .7196344
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0178151{col 26}{space 2} .0083138{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4}-.0341098{col 67}{space 3}-.0015205
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.588158{col 26}{space 2} 1.801266{col 37}{space 1}   -3.10{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-9.118573{col 67}{space 3}-2.057742
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0017929{col 26}{space 2} .0015036{col 37}{space 1}   -1.19{col 46}{space 3}0.233{col 54}{space 4}-.0047399{col 67}{space 3} .0011541
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2015411{col 26}{space 2} .4702823{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.668{col 54}{space 4}-.7201952{col 67}{space 3} 1.123277
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9049176{col 26}{space 2} .5993644{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.131{col 54}{space 4} -.269815{col 67}{space 3}  2.07965
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1470375{col 26}{space 2}  .072691{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-.2895093{col 67}{space 3}-.0045657
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1625374{col 26}{space 2} .3672545{col 37}{space 1}   -0.44{col 46}{space 3}0.658{col 54}{space 4} -.882343{col 67}{space 3} .5572682
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5238428{col 26}{space 2} .9109763{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.565{col 54}{space 4}-1.261638{col 67}{space 3} 2.309323
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4256397{col 26}{space 2} .5517858{col 37}{space 1}   -0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.440{col 54}{space 4} -1.50712{col 67}{space 3} .6558407
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .184276{col 26}{space 2}  .434343{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.671{col 54}{space 4}-.6670207{col 67}{space 3} 1.035573
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6315892{col 26}{space 2} .3941338{col 37}{space 1}   -1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.109{col 54}{space 4}-1.404077{col 67}{space 3}  .140899
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.219779{col 26}{space 2} 1.588692{col 37}{space 1}   -1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.162{col 54}{space 4}-5.333557{col 67}{space 3} .8939999
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .918233{col 26}{space 2} .5984386{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.125{col 54}{space 4}-.2546852{col 67}{space 3} 2.091151
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1131722{col 26}{space 2} .0660774{col 37}{space 1}   -1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.087{col 54}{space 4}-.2426816{col 67}{space 3} .0163372
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.412387{col 26}{space 2} 1.334532{col 37}{space 1}    1.81{col 46}{space 3}0.071{col 54}{space 4}-.2032471{col 67}{space 3} 5.028021
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0005727{col 26}{space 2} .0015156{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.706{col 54}{space 4}-.0023979{col 67}{space 3} .0035432
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2838599{col 26}{space 2} .4993744{col 37}{space 1}   -0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.570{col 54}{space 4}-1.262616{col 67}{space 3}  .694896
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.198778{col 26}{space 2} .4525256{col 37}{space 1}    2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} .3118441{col 67}{space 3} 2.085712
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0070159{col 26}{space 2} .0954781{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.941{col 54}{space 4}-.1801178{col 67}{space 3} .1941495
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2277768{col 26}{space 2} .4278217{col 37}{space 1}   -0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.594{col 54}{space 4}-1.066292{col 67}{space 3} .6107383
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.764266{col 26}{space 2} 1.080047{col 37}{space 1}    1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.102{col 54}{space 4}-.3525878{col 67}{space 3}  3.88112
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1131376{col 26}{space 2}   .70303{col 37}{space 1}   -0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.872{col 54}{space 4}-1.491051{col 67}{space 3} 1.264776
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6278845{col 26}{space 2} .4916431{col 37}{space 1}   -1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.202{col 54}{space 4}-1.591487{col 67}{space 3} .3357182
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0178797{col 26}{space 2} .6145268{col 37}{space 1}    0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.977{col 54}{space 4}-1.186571{col 67}{space 3}  1.22233
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.222185{col 26}{space 2} .5599648{col 37}{space 1}    2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .1246746{col 67}{space 3} 2.319696
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2378805{col 26}{space 2} .1166562{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4}-.4665224{col 67}{space 3}-.0092387
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0101588{col 26}{space 2} .0050124{col 37}{space 1}    2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} .0003347{col 67}{space 3} .0199829
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.276474{col 26}{space 2} 1.401354{col 37}{space 1}   -2.34{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4}-6.023078{col 67}{space 3}-.5298693
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002           0.001   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.609***       -2.076** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.96{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.486***        0.377** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.023***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.841   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.80{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.054   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.79{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.393***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.300** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.58{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.793   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.798   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.95{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.268** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.445   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.320          -5.588***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.80{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}       -0.001          -0.002   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.828*         -2.220   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.49{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.119**         0.918   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.135**        -0.113*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.202   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.905   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.60{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.147** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.163   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.524   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.426   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.184   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.632   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.39{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        1.152           2.412*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.33{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001           0.001   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.055**         1.222** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.232**        -0.238** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.284   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.50{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.199***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.007   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.228   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.43{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.764   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.113   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.70{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.628   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.018   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.61{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.774***       -3.276** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.63{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.40{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          443             393   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.068           0.118   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Figure A8: Scatter Plot of Sanctions Imposition Outcomes Observations Illustrating U.S. Foreign Aid Values for Cases Not Included in the Statistically Significant Confidence Intervals**
. 
. edit obsid countryname caseid ccode1 year realUS_NAT  CR_ThreatsSanct if realUS_NAT>1600 & realUS_NAT!=. & CR_ThreatsSanct==-1
{txt}
{com}. scatter  realUS_NAT obsid if threatevents==1 & CR_ThreatsSanct==-1 , mlabel(ccode1) yline(1600)
{res}{txt}
{com}. scatter  realUS_NAT obsid if threatevents==1 & CR_ThreatsSanct==-1 ,  yline(1600)
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. graph save Graph "Figure A8.gph", replace
{txt}(note: file Figure A8.gph not found)
{res}{txt}(file Figure A8.gph saved)

{com}. 
. **Appnedix Table A21: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Excluding the India 1965 Outlier Case**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                    time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & caseid!=1965090602, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-494.13788}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -468.5846}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-461.25536}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-460.37397}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -459.8057}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-458.35022}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.46557}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-457.41654}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -457.4161}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -457.4161}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       462
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    125.68
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -457.4161{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0743

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:118} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009873{col 26}{space 2}  .000371{col 37}{space 1}    2.66{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} .0002601{col 67}{space 3} .0017144
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.480048{col 26}{space 2} .8322578{col 37}{space 1}   -2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.111243{col 67}{space 3}-.8488527
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4581886{col 26}{space 2}  .150312{col 37}{space 1}    3.05{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1635826{col 67}{space 3} .7527946
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0217614{col 26}{space 2} .0072861{col 37}{space 1}   -2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0360419{col 67}{space 3} -.007481
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3215705{col 26}{space 2} .8506602{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.705{col 54}{space 4}-1.345693{col 67}{space 3} 1.988834
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012473{col 26}{space 2}  .000276{col 37}{space 1}    4.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0007064{col 67}{space 3} .0017883
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.693326{col 26}{space 2} 1.473145{col 37}{space 1}   -1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.068{col 54}{space 4}-5.580637{col 67}{space 3} .1939845
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.079529{col 26}{space 2} .5544839{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.052{col 54}{space 4}-.0072397{col 67}{space 3} 2.166297
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1309584{col 26}{space 2} .0613136{col 37}{space 1}   -2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-.2511309{col 67}{space 3} -.010786
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9507089{col 26}{space 2} 1.067613{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.373{col 54}{space 4}-1.141774{col 67}{space 3} 3.043192
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0013356{col 26}{space 2} .0004174{col 37}{space 1}    3.20{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0005176{col 67}{space 3} .0021537
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.072043{col 26}{space 2} .5310136{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4} .0312759{col 67}{space 3} 2.112811
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2349948{col 26}{space 2} .1084942{col 37}{space 1}   -2.17{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4}-.4476396{col 67}{space 3}-.0223501
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0104468{col 26}{space 2} .0046457{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0013414{col 67}{space 3} .0195523
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.810258{col 26}{space 2} .6234352{col 37}{space 1}   -4.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.032168{col 67}{space 3}-1.588347
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & caseid!=1965090602, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-448.97743}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-402.40182}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.96186}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-394.23637}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -394.1187}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-393.18254}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.50285}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.43302}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.43279}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-392.43279}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       412
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    333.70
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-392.43279{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1259

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:107} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011587{col 26}{space 2} .0004587{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .0002598{col 67}{space 3} .0020577
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.242074{col 26}{space 2} .8796106{col 37}{space 1}   -1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-2.966079{col 67}{space 3} .4819311
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.100105{col 26}{space 2} .7569401{col 37}{space 1}   -0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.895{col 54}{space 4} -1.58368{col 67}{space 3}  1.38347
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3926589{col 26}{space 2} .1120911{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1729643{col 67}{space 3} .6123534
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.487864{col 26}{space 2} .4696525{col 37}{space 1}   -3.17{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.408366{col 67}{space 3} -.567362
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4232904{col 26}{space 2} 1.335317{col 37}{space 1}    0.32{col 46}{space 3}0.751{col 54}{space 4}-2.193884{col 67}{space 3} 3.040464
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .558191{col 26}{space 2} .8637049{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.518{col 54}{space 4} -1.13464{col 67}{space 3} 2.251022
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.135949{col 26}{space 2} .4632577{col 37}{space 1}    2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} .2279809{col 67}{space 3} 2.043918
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.43781{col 26}{space 2} .8419716{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.088{col 54}{space 4}-.2124242{col 67}{space 3} 3.088044
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.053426{col 26}{space 2} .9324625{col 37}{space 1}   -2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}-3.881019{col 67}{space 3}-.2258327
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3712352{col 26}{space 2} .1718219{col 37}{space 1}    2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4} .0344705{col 67}{space 3} .7079998
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0176895{col 26}{space 2} .0081744{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} -.033711{col 67}{space 3} -.001668
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.310261{col 26}{space 2} 1.669398{col 37}{space 1}   -3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-8.582222{col 67}{space 3}-2.038301
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010744{col 26}{space 2} .0003092{col 37}{space 1}    3.47{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0004683{col 67}{space 3} .0016804
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2678313{col 26}{space 2} .4643953{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.564{col 54}{space 4}-.6423669{col 67}{space 3} 1.178029
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.05188{col 26}{space 2} .5731326{col 37}{space 1}    1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-.0714394{col 67}{space 3} 2.175199
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1432916{col 26}{space 2}  .072895{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.2861631{col 67}{space 3}-.0004201
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0271079{col 26}{space 2} .3452546{col 37}{space 1}   -0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.937{col 54}{space 4}-.7037945{col 67}{space 3} .6495786
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5247714{col 26}{space 2} .9098835{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.564{col 54}{space 4}-1.258567{col 67}{space 3}  2.30811
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4202955{col 26}{space 2}  .524259{col 37}{space 1}   -0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.423{col 54}{space 4}-1.447824{col 67}{space 3} .6072333
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1021077{col 26}{space 2} .3989955{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.798{col 54}{space 4}-.6799091{col 67}{space 3} .8841245
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6076073{col 26}{space 2} .3801595{col 37}{space 1}   -1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.110{col 54}{space 4}-1.352706{col 67}{space 3} .1374917
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.084095{col 26}{space 2} 1.568295{col 37}{space 1}   -1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.184{col 54}{space 4}-5.157897{col 67}{space 3} .9897068
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8799669{col 26}{space 2}  .592513{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.138{col 54}{space 4}-.2813373{col 67}{space 3} 2.041271
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1095639{col 26}{space 2} .0655768{col 37}{space 1}   -1.67{col 46}{space 3}0.095{col 54}{space 4} -.238092{col 67}{space 3} .0189642
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.057833{col 26}{space 2} 1.318936{col 37}{space 1}    1.56{col 46}{space 3}0.119{col 54}{space 4}-.5272337{col 67}{space 3} 4.642901
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0013593{col 26}{space 2} .0004069{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0005619{col 67}{space 3} .0021568
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4261788{col 26}{space 2} .4901535{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.385{col 54}{space 4}-1.386862{col 67}{space 3} .5345044
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.147595{col 26}{space 2} .4541524{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .2574731{col 67}{space 3} 2.037718
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0191879{col 26}{space 2} .0901047{col 37}{space 1}    0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.831{col 54}{space 4}-.1574141{col 67}{space 3} .1957898
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4162142{col 26}{space 2} .4017962{col 37}{space 1}   -1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.300{col 54}{space 4} -1.20372{col 67}{space 3}  .371292
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.724208{col 26}{space 2} 1.055902{col 37}{space 1}    1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.102{col 54}{space 4}-.3453229{col 67}{space 3} 3.793739
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1688437{col 26}{space 2} .6596597{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.798{col 54}{space 4}-1.124066{col 67}{space 3} 1.461753
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5439203{col 26}{space 2} .4354415{col 37}{space 1}   -1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.212{col 54}{space 4} -1.39737{col 67}{space 3} .3095294
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2220534{col 26}{space 2} .5932326{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.708{col 54}{space 4}-.9406611{col 67}{space 3} 1.384768
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.243629{col 26}{space 2} .5554583{col 37}{space 1}    2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .1549503{col 67}{space 3} 2.332307
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2425066{col 26}{space 2} .1154119{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.4687097{col 67}{space 3}-.0163034
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103767{col 26}{space 2} .0049624{col 37}{space 1}    2.09{col 46}{space 3}0.037{col 54}{space 4} .0006506{col 67}{space 3} .0201029
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.415255{col 26}{space 2} 1.319487{col 37}{space 1}   -2.59{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-6.001401{col 67}{space 3}-.8291086
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.480***       -2.053** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.83{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.93{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.458***        0.371** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.242   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.88{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                       -0.100   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.76{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.393***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.488***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.423   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.34{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.558   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.136** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.438*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.322          -5.310***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.85{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.67{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.693*         -2.084   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.47{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.080*          0.880   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.131**        -0.110*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.268   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.052*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.143** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.027   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.525   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.91{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.420   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.102   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.608   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.38{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.951           2.058   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001***        0.001***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.072**         1.244** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.235**        -0.243** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.426   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.148** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.019   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.416   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.724   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.169   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.66{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.544   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.44{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.222   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.810***       -3.415***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.32{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          462             412   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.074           0.126   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appnedix Table A22: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Yearly Outcomes of Economic Sanctions Threats Excluding All Observations Greater than $1.6 Billion of Aid**
. 
. eststo M1: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT                                                                                                                                                    time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUS_NAT<=1600, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-485.72876}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-463.87846}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-456.11867}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-455.19276}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-454.71313}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-453.31495}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-452.47731}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-452.43225}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-452.43189}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-452.43189}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       457
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}    124.17
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-452.43189{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0686

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:117} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0017953{col 26}{space 2} .0006105{col 37}{space 1}    2.94{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0005988{col 67}{space 3} .0029918
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.521797{col 26}{space 2} .8406733{col 37}{space 1}   -3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-4.169486{col 67}{space 3}-.8741075
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4682592{col 26}{space 2} .1524871{col 37}{space 1}    3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1693899{col 67}{space 3} .7671284
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0223009{col 26}{space 2} .0074464{col 37}{space 1}   -2.99{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.0368957{col 67}{space 3}-.0077062
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2882244{col 26}{space 2} .8577256{col 37}{space 1}    0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.737{col 54}{space 4}-1.392887{col 67}{space 3} 1.969336
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0005063{col 26}{space 2}  .000579{col 37}{space 1}    0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.382{col 54}{space 4}-.0006285{col 67}{space 3}  .001641
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.533588{col 26}{space 2} 1.443731{col 37}{space 1}   -1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.079{col 54}{space 4}-5.363248{col 67}{space 3} .2960729
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.025184{col 26}{space 2} .5427408{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.059{col 54}{space 4}-.0385686{col 67}{space 3} 2.088936
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1257492{col 26}{space 2} .0599706{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4}-.2432894{col 67}{space 3} -.008209
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8684887{col 26}{space 2} 1.050931{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.409{col 54}{space 4}-1.191297{col 67}{space 3} 2.928275
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .001038{col 26}{space 2} .0006756{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4}-.0002861{col 67}{space 3} .0023621
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.065763{col 26}{space 2} .5319626{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4} .0231358{col 67}{space 3} 2.108391
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2348789{col 26}{space 2} .1091161{col 37}{space 1}   -2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.4487426{col 67}{space 3}-.0210152
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0104546{col 26}{space 2} .0046765{col 37}{space 1}    2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0012889{col 67}{space 3} .0196203
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.776499{col 26}{space 2} .6185811{col 37}{space 1}   -4.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.988896{col 67}{space 3}-1.564102
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: mlogit  CR_ThreatsSanct   realUS_NAT  HighSal4 IOsupport lnrealgdp Dem  realTargTD  c.UNVoteSim_up US_DP PostCW time time_sq time_cb if threatevents==1 & realUS_NAT<=1600, vce(cluster ccode1) base(0)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-440.89334}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.90593}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.92146}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.14357}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-390.03984}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-389.18698}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.58209}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.53395}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.53383}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-388.53383}  
{res}
{txt}Multinomial logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       407
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}36{txt}){col 67}= {res}    336.98
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-388.53383{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1188

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:106} clusters in ccode1)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}CR_Threats~t{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-2           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0021479{col 26}{space 2} .0011512{col 37}{space 1}    1.87{col 46}{space 3}0.062{col 54}{space 4}-.0001085{col 67}{space 3} .0044043
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.425501{col 26}{space 2} 1.063436{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.180{col 54}{space 4}-3.509798{col 67}{space 3} .6587956
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0248427{col 26}{space 2} .7981389{col 37}{space 1}    0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.975{col 54}{space 4}-1.539481{col 67}{space 3} 1.589166
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3978012{col 26}{space 2} .1192418{col 37}{space 1}    3.34{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1640916{col 67}{space 3} .6315107
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.404003{col 26}{space 2} .4747814{col 37}{space 1}   -2.96{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-2.334557{col 67}{space 3}-.4734484
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3576085{col 26}{space 2} 1.361599{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.793{col 54}{space 4}-2.311077{col 67}{space 3} 3.026294
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6322395{col 26}{space 2} .8553313{col 37}{space 1}    0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.460{col 54}{space 4}-1.044179{col 67}{space 3} 2.308658
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.099915{col 26}{space 2}  .464718{col 37}{space 1}    2.37{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .1890842{col 67}{space 3} 2.010745
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.463657{col 26}{space 2} .8118051{col 37}{space 1}    1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.071{col 54}{space 4}-.1274519{col 67}{space 3} 3.054766
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.104449{col 26}{space 2} .9409297{col 37}{space 1}   -2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-3.948637{col 67}{space 3}-.2602607
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3811571{col 26}{space 2} .1726948{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0426816{col 67}{space 3} .7196326
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.01814{col 26}{space 2} .0082213{col 37}{space 1}   -2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-.0342535{col 67}{space 3}-.0020266
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.417084{col 26}{space 2} 1.645706{col 37}{space 1}   -3.29{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-8.642609{col 67}{space 3}-2.191559
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}-1           {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001738{col 26}{space 2} .0006098{col 37}{space 1}    0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.776{col 54}{space 4}-.0010214{col 67}{space 3}  .001369
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2458913{col 26}{space 2}  .456362{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.590{col 54}{space 4}-.6485618{col 67}{space 3} 1.140344
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9410151{col 26}{space 2} .5919468{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.112{col 54}{space 4}-.2191794{col 67}{space 3}  2.10121
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1386651{col 26}{space 2} .0718013{col 37}{space 1}   -1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-.2793931{col 67}{space 3} .0020629
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0987595{col 26}{space 2} .3512938{col 37}{space 1}   -0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.779{col 54}{space 4}-.7872828{col 67}{space 3} .5897637
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5681385{col 26}{space 2} .9025663{col 37}{space 1}    0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.529{col 54}{space 4}-1.200859{col 67}{space 3} 2.337136
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4362085{col 26}{space 2} .5352264{col 37}{space 1}   -0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.415{col 54}{space 4}-1.485233{col 67}{space 3}  .612816
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1205767{col 26}{space 2} .4045445{col 37}{space 1}    0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.766{col 54}{space 4}-.6723159{col 67}{space 3} .9134694
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6247261{col 26}{space 2}  .374219{col 37}{space 1}   -1.67{col 46}{space 3}0.095{col 54}{space 4}-1.358182{col 67}{space 3} .1087297
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.872791{col 26}{space 2} 1.524501{col 37}{space 1}   -1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.219{col 54}{space 4}-4.860758{col 67}{space 3} 1.115175
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8062634{col 26}{space 2} .5747658{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.161{col 54}{space 4}-.3202568{col 67}{space 3} 1.932784
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1023521{col 26}{space 2} .0634911{col 37}{space 1}   -1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.2267924{col 67}{space 3} .0220882
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.951656{col 26}{space 2} 1.306252{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.135{col 54}{space 4}-.6085512{col 67}{space 3} 4.511863
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0           {col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1            {txt}{c |}
{space 2}realUS_NAT {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011837{col 26}{space 2} .0007425{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.111{col 54}{space 4}-.0002716{col 67}{space 3} .0026391
{txt}{space 4}HighSal4 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3274995{col 26}{space 2}  .469736{col 37}{space 1}   -0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.486{col 54}{space 4}-1.248165{col 67}{space 3} .5931661
{txt}{space 3}IOsupport {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.143177{col 26}{space 2} .4557894{col 37}{space 1}    2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .2498467{col 67}{space 3} 2.036508
{txt}{space 3}lnrealgdp {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .023667{col 26}{space 2}  .090792{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.794{col 54}{space 4}-.1542821{col 67}{space 3}  .201616
{txt}{space 9}Dem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4026693{col 26}{space 2} .4188529{col 37}{space 1}   -0.96{col 46}{space 3}0.336{col 54}{space 4}-1.223606{col 67}{space 3} .4182674
{txt}{space 2}realTargTD {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.639245{col 26}{space 2} 1.076054{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-.4697822{col 67}{space 3} 3.748271
{txt}UNVoteSim_up {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0090521{col 26}{space 2} .6829037{col 37}{space 1}   -0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.989{col 54}{space 4}-1.347519{col 67}{space 3} 1.329415
{txt}{space 7}US_DP {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4910942{col 26}{space 2} .4512996{col 37}{space 1}   -1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.277{col 54}{space 4}-1.375625{col 67}{space 3} .3934367
{txt}{space 6}PostCW {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1232006{col 26}{space 2} .5731165{col 37}{space 1}    0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.830{col 54}{space 4}-1.000087{col 67}{space 3} 1.246488
{txt}{space 8}time {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.241911{col 26}{space 2} .5630918{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .1382711{col 67}{space 3}  2.34555
{txt}{space 5}time_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2430494{col 26}{space 2} .1177901{col 37}{space 1}   -2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4}-.4739136{col 67}{space 3}-.0121851
{txt}{space 5}time_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0103873{col 26}{space 2} .0050696{col 37}{space 1}    2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0004511{col 67}{space 3} .0203236
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.444624{col 26}{space 2} 1.329479{col 37}{space 1}   -2.59{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4}-6.050355{col 67}{space 3} -.838892
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2, se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)   
{txt}             CR_Threats~t    CR_Threats~t   
{txt}{hline 44}
{res}-2                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.002***        0.002*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.522***       -2.104** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.84{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.94{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.468***        0.381** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.17{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.022***       -0.018** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -1.426   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.025   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.80{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.398***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -1.404***{txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.358   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.36{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.632   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        1.100** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        1.464*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.81{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.288          -5.417***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.86{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.65{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}-1                                          {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}       -2.534*         -1.873   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.44{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.52{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        1.025*          0.806   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}       -0.126**        -0.102   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.246   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.941   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.59{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                       -0.139*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.099   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.35{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.568   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.90{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.436   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.121   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.40{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                       -0.625*  {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.37{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.868           1.952   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.05{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.31{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}0                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.000   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}        0.000           0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}.{txt:)}}   {txt}
{hline 44}
{res}1                                           {txt}
{txt}realUS_NAT  {res}        0.001           0.001   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time        {res}        1.066**         1.242** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.56{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_sq     {res}       -0.235**        -0.243** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}time_cb     {res}        0.010**         0.010** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}HighSal4    {res}                       -0.327   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.47{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}IOsupport   {res}                        1.143** {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.46{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}lnrealgdp   {res}                        0.024   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Dem         {res}                       -0.403   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.42{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}realTargTD  {res}                        1.639   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}UNVoteSim_up{res}                       -0.009   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.68{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}US_DP       {res}                       -0.491   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.45{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}PostCW      {res}                        0.123   {txt}
            {res}                 {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.57{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.776***       -3.445***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.62{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.33{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}N           {res}          457             407   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.069           0.119   {txt}
{txt}{hline 44}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. **Appendix Table 23: Table A23: The Effects of U.S. Foreign Aid on the Imposition of U.S. Economic Sanctions Threats, 1960-2005**
. 
. /* Identify the folder where the data set is located 
> 
> use "Threat Imposition Robustness Check - Table A23.dta", clear
> 
> logit TIES_USThreat  realUSnat
> 
> */
. 
. 
. 
. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Dropbox\Foreign Aid & Sanctions Imposition\FPA Version\R&R\Second R&R\Final Second R&R\Using the Carrot as the Stick Replication Files\Using the Carrort as the Stick.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 9 Mar 2018, 12:52:58
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Dropbox\Foreign Aid & Sanctions Imposition\FPA Version\R&R\Second R&R\Final Second R&R\Using the Carrot as the Stick Replication Files\Using the Carrort as the Stick.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 9 Mar 2018, 13:05:22

{com}. use "D:\Dropbox\Foreign Aid & Sanctions Imposition\FPA Version\R&R\Second R&R\Final Second R&R\Using the Carrot as the Stick Replication Files\Threat Imposition Robustness Check - Table A23.dta" 

. do "C:\Users\be947625\AppData\Local\Temp\STD01000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. logit TIES_USThreat  realUSnat

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-763.42614}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-763.16908}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-763.10414}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-763.10413}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     7,550
{txt}{col 49}LR chi2({res}1{txt}){col 67}= {res}      0.64
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.4223
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-763.10413{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004

{txt}{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}TIES_USThreat{col 15}{c |}      Coef.{col 27}   Std. Err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [95% Con{col 68}f. Interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}realUSnat {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0002187{col 27}{space 2} .0002452{col 38}{space 1}    0.89{col 47}{space 3}0.372{col 55}{space 4}-.0002619{col 68}{space 3} .0006994
{txt}{space 8}_cons {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}-3.865032{col 27}{space 2} .0823736{col 38}{space 1}  -46.92{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4}-4.026482{col 68}{space 3}-3.703583
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Dropbox\Foreign Aid & Sanctions Imposition\FPA Version\R&R\Second R&R\Final Second R&R\Using the Carrot as the Stick Replication Files\Using the Carrort as the Stick.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 9 Mar 2018, 13:06:29
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}